August, 2023

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Investing is the Study of Human Decision Making

The Big Picture

Most people believe that investing is the science of generating a return on capital. That is an accurate but incomplete assessment. I believe it is more useful and comprehensive to define investing as the decision-making behavior of human beings as they interact with money: What their financial desires are, the risks they embrace, how they think about wealth, and what emotional pain they willingly suffer in order to generate that return on capital.

Investing 246
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Apple hits big oversold levels, now what?

The Reformed Broker

The Relative Strength Index or RSI is typically expressed as a 14-day reading to determine the degree to which a stock or an index is overbought or oversold, if at all. It was created in 1978 by J. Welles Wilder Jr. (here’s the book) who was a mechanical engineer by trade before turning his mathematical mind to stock and commodity trading, subsequently developing some of the most widely traded tools in technical ana.

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Family Offices Look Ready to Step Up Real Estate Investment. What Are They Looking for in Their Partners?

Wealth Management

Transparency in financial reporting, favorable partnership structures are taking on more importance for family offices in a riskier investment climate.

Investing 126
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MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications increased 2.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 25, 2023. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 2.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

Marketing 113
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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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Weekly Unemployment Claims Fall for Third Consecutive Week

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending August 26, seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims fell for a third consecutive week to 228,000. Initial claims decreased by 4,000 from the previous week's revised figure and came in below the forecast of 235,000.

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More Trending

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Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index: +0.2%

The Big Picture

The Fed’s favored inflation report was a 2.1% annualized (3 months through July) and 3.3% year-over-year. Here is BEA: Personal income increased $45.0 billion (0.2 percent at a monthly rate) in July, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (table 3 and table 5). Disposable personal income (DPI), personal income less personal current taxes, increased $7.3 billion (less than 0.1 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $144.6 billio

Food 258
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Trading Legend Mark Fisher on What it Takes

The Reformed Broker

We had a lot of fun with Joe Terranova and Mark Fisher on the show this week. Mark shared a lot of behavioral stuff about what it takes to make it as a trader. It’s not for everyone and it costs a lot to find this out. I was fascinated by the discussion and judging for the feedback we’ve gotten, a lot of our listeners were as well. You can watch the full episode here: Or find it on your favorite podcast ap.

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Incorporating Life Settlements into Your Client Strategy

Wealth Management

A policy that performs justifies the premium costs and liquidity constraints. Unfortunately, it's all too common for life insurance to use and hold value that's better deployed elsewhere.

Clients 114
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High Promoter Holding Stocks Under Rs 50 – Strong Promoter Confidence?

Trade Brains

High Promoter Holding Stocks under Rs 50: There are various parameters such as debt level, RoE, etc. investors keep in mind while screening stocks. One such filter is ‘promoter stake’ or ‘promoter shareholding’ in the stock. A high promoter stake acts as a vote of confidence of the company owners towards the business. But with so many listed stocks, how to find out the best among them?

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Is Nvidia the Next Cisco?

The Irrelevant Investor

Nvidia is one of the most expensive stocks in the S&P 500. Nvidia is not the first giant tech company to trade at a rich valuation. The one that people often compare it to is Cisco, one of the darlings from the dot com era. We can’t compare things to the future, so we look to the past. Cisco sported an $8.9 billion market cap on the opening day of 1995.

Valuation 110
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Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 6% YoY; New Listings Down 8% YoY

Calculated Risk

Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report from Hannah Jones: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Aug 26, 2023 • Active inventory declined, with for-sale homes lagging behind year ago levels by 5.9%. This past week marked the 10th consecutive decline in the number of homes actively for sale compared to the prior year, however the gap narrowed for the fourth week in a row. • New listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale

Sales 110
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10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My end of August, morning train WFH reads: • Money Is Pouring Into AI. Skeptics Say It’s a ‘Grift Shift.’ The move from crypto to artificial intelligence has fueled the markets this year, but some are questioning how much of it is real. ( Institutional Investor ) • What to Do With a 45-Story Skyscraper and No Tenants : HSBC’s plan to leave its Canary Wharf tower for a smaller site shows the global challenges ahead in repurposing unwanted office space for a post-pandemic world. ( Citylab ) see al

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China: Contagion or Contained?

Advisor Perspectives

China's economy may have spillover effects on global economic and earnings growth, but it's unlikely to lead to global financial contagion and send stock markets materially lower.

Economy 98
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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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The Word on WealthTech for September 2023

Wealth Management

F2 Strategy's co-founder and CEO provides his take on the most important wealth management technology news of the last month.

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Williams Fractal Indicator – Meaning, Formula & Trading Strategy

Trade Brains

Williams Fractal Indicator : The price movement of the security help traders to identify opportunities in future directions with the help of technical analysis tools. Trending markets are best suited to take long or short position for better profits. Among all the indicators, one of the technical indicators to use in trending markets is the Williams Fractal indicator.

Banking 104
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NAIFA, Life Happens, and the Society of Financial Service Professionals Unite Together to Advance Financial Security for America

NAIFA Advisor Today

Three best-in-class associations will integrate operations to amplify their impact on advocacy and education for financial service professionals and promote financial wellness for American consumers. The National Association of Insurance and Financial Advisors (NAIFA), the Society of Financial Service Professionals (FSP), and Life Happens announced plans to come together as one organization, pending membership approval.

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Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.9% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.6% below recent peak

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.9% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.6% below recent peak Excerpt: It has been over 17 years since the bubble peak. In the June Case-Shiller house price index released yesterday, the seasonally adjusted National Index (SA), was reported as being 65% above the bubble peak in 2006.

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Forget the iPhone: BlackBerry is still the one to beat

The Big Picture

How little do we know about the future? A great way to figure that out is to look to our past, to see what we previously thought about what the future will hold. To wit: 26 years ago, the image above came from the cover story of Fortune magazine: “There’s a lot of buzz in the smartphone business lately, with Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone turning the mobile world upside down and Nokia’s (NOK) upcoming phone announcement providing a new challenge.

Media 246
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Job Openings Drop to Lowest Level in Over Two Years

Advisor Perspectives

The latest job openings and labor turnover summary (JOLTS) report showed that job openings dropped to their lowest level in over two years. Vacancies fell to 8.827 million in July, lower than the expected 9.465 million vacancies.

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12 Must Reads for Real Estate Investors (Sept. 1, 2023)

Wealth Management

Some companies that reduced their office space are now going back and signing new leases, reports Bisnow. U.S. non-life insurers are positioned to withstand any difficulties in their mortgage portfolios, according to Fitch Ratings. These are among the must reads from around the real estate investment world to end the week.

Insurance 109
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MISTAKE MONDAY for August 28: Can YOU spot what’s wrong?

Investment Writing

Can you spot what’s wrong in the image below? Please post your answer as a comment. This mistake made me laugh, but it’s not funny if your clients spot mistakes like this. I post these challenges to raise awareness of the importance of proofreading. The post MISTAKE MONDAY for August 28: Can YOU spot what’s wrong? appeared first on Susan Weiner Investment Writing.

Clients 98
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Putting the ‘Tech’ in Spend Management Techniques

Speaker: Wayne Spivak, President and CFO of SBA * Consulting Ltd., Industry Writer, Public Speaker

If you’re lost in the world of spend management needs and your GAP analysis is lacking perspective on the future state of your business performance, listen up! With the advancement of technology, the implementation of spend management best practices and concrete GAP analyses is more streamlined and accessible than ever before. And while this may sound like great news for you and your clients, it won’t be worthwhile unless you have the latest techniques to back up your ambitions!

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Fundamental Analysis of Balkrishna Industries – Future Plans & More

Trade Brains

Fundamental Analysis of Balkrishna Industries: MRF share has reached dizzying heights crossing the Rs 1,00,000 mark making it difficult for retail investors to include it in their diversified portfolios. But did you know, the stock of Balkrishna Industries (another leading Indian tyre manufacturer) sells for Rs 2,500 only? And the company is as big as MRF.

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Fannie Mae Single-Family Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Lowest since 2002

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Fannie Mae Single-Family Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Lowest since 2002 Brief excerpt: Fannie Mae reported that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency decreased to 0.54% in July from 0.55% in June. The serious delinquency rate is down year-over-year from 0.76% in July 2022. This is below the pre-pandemic low of 0.65% and the lowest rate since 2002.

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Lessons for Investors from Mini-Panics

The Big Picture

The first post-pandemic presentation I pulled together for my pal Joe Fitzgerald (we worked together in the late 2000s) was a new deck titled: Biggest Mistakes Made by UHNW Investors. In the intervening year, I updated and refined the deck, adding more examples and specific advice. below is my discussion of what the presentation will be like at the MoneyShow in Orlando on October 30.

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Don’t Buy an Indexed-Universal Life Policy Until You Read This

Advisor Perspectives

So-called “finfluencers” are preying on naïve investors, promising unrealistic returns while generating excessive commissions for themselves. Their bait is an indexed-universal life (IUL) policy. Read this to avoid making a costly mistake.

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Connect, Care, Convert: Secrets to Establishing Trust with Niche Markets and Turning Them Into Clients

Speaker: Lynnette Khalfani-Cox, The Money Coach®

Niche markets represent a huge opportunity for the financial services industry in America. From college students and women to communities of color and low-to-moderate-income households, niche populations have specialized financial needs – but they often underutilize many valuable financial products and services. How can you better connect with these consumers?

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Why Now Might Be the Best Time to Invest in Publicly-Traded REITs

Wealth Management

With some publicly-traded REITs beginning to pick up assets from the private markets it may be an indication that they are entering a phase when they tend to deliver the highest returns.

Investing 103
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How You Feel About Money Changes Over Time

The Irrelevant Investor

We got an email in response to Ben’s excellent post, You Probably Need Less Money Than You Think For Retirement, that is worth sharing. re : retirees underspending. I retired at 36 and turn 60 next year, and am of course a latedad with a 7 and 5 year old. I estimate I live off 1/3rd of my cash flow, and of course some of my assets are also appreciating.

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The Evolution of Retirement

A Wealth of Common Sense

There’s a great scene in Midnight in Paris about nostalgia that I think about a lot: Some people always think the past is better than the present because of this golden age line of thinking. I always see memes like this going around Twitter: Life would be better is this was true. Unfortunately, it’s not (see here and here). Another social media trope these days is showing a picture of an old castle or church.