Sun.Dec 03, 2023

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site On the end of the influential The Reformed Broker blog. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Why market timing is so difficult. (ritholtz.com) On the Magnificent 7 vs. Other 493 narrative. (investmenttalk.co) Jason Zweig, "More than almost anyone I’ve ever known, Munger also possessed what philosophers call epistemic humility: a profound sense of how little anyone can know and how important it is to open and change your mind.

Numbers 299
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Sunday Night Futures

Calculated Risk

Weekend: • Schedule for Week of December 3, 2023 Monday: • No major economic releases scheduled. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 futures are down 7 and DOW futures are up 22 (fair value). Oil prices were down over the last week with WTI futures at $74.07 per barrel and Brent at $78.88 per barrel. A year ago, WTI was at $80, and Brent was at $87 - so WTI oil prices were down 7% year-over-year.

Economics 189
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Sunday links: poor listeners

Abnormal Returns

Markets Should you care what Wall Street strategists have to say about 2024? (tker.co) There are a lot of stocks, especially on the Nasdaq, trading below $1 a share. (wsj.com) Strategy Remember all that talk about how the 60/40 portfolio was broken? (nytimes.com) It's easy to load up on cash, harder to put it to work. (awealthofcommonsense.com) There are a lot of different asset allocations you can live with.

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Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 1.4% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 25 November As expected due to the Thanksgiving holiday, U.S. hotel performance fell from the previous week, according to CoStar’s latest data through 25 November. 19-25 November 2023 (percentage change from comparable week in 2022): • Occupancy: 49.4% (-1.4%) • Average daily rate (ADR): US$138.29 (+0.9%) • Revenue per available room (RevPAR): US$68.32 (-0.6%) emphasis added The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy rate u

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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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Successful Investing is Hard

A Wealth of Common Sense

After Charlie Munger passed away this week, I went looking through an old post I wrote about his investing principles from a decade ago. There was a table I recreated that showed the annual returns from the Munger Partnership, which was the fund he ran before joining Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway for good: The results are spectacular but look at how volatile his returns were.

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What I’ve learned about people from 3 years of podcasting 

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Alessandro M. Forte, FCII, CFP My podcast was born of a desire to pass on the lovely anecdotes I was discovering when meeting some of my better-known clients. They would often share these amazing stories about how they achieved success or overcame challenges in life. One day, I mentioned to my son, Tom, I was going to take all the anecdotes and put them in a book.

CFP 105

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Best Midcap Stocks with High ROE To Add To Your Watchlist

Trade Brains

Best Midcap Stocks with High ROE : If an Investor were given a choice to pick just One Ratio , when picking a stock, What do you think is the best ratio? The ratio, of course, has to be more specific to the returns generated to the shareholder, than anything else. If you haven’t guessed it already, the ratio is none other than the Return on Equity.

Clients 59
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[cdata[ Holiday Headache: Navigating the Tightening Return Policies Post Black Friday and Cyber Monday ]]

oXYGen Financial

![CDATA[ The holiday season is upon us, and as we immerse ourselves in the joy of giving and receiving, it's essential to be mindful of the return policies that accompany our festive purchases. With the rise of online shopping and the culmination of Black Friday and Cyber Monday deals, consumers must be aware that return policies this holiday season are becoming more stringent.

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4 Reasons Why You Need To Rebalance Your Portfolio

WiserAdvisor

Creating a well-diversified portfolio is a pivotal task in investing. However, your work is far from complete, even after drafting a diversified portfolio. It is also essential to recheck your allocation from time to time. Rebalancing is a critical step that can help you optimize your portfolio’s performance. This practice involves periodic adjustments to your investments to ensure they align with your financial objectives.

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A Tribute to Charlie Munger and the Promise of the American Dream

Advisor Perspectives

The life story of Charlie Munger, who passed away on Tuesday at age 99, serves as a shining example of the enduring American Dream, especially now at a time when many people doubt whether the promise of a better life is still intact.

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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Are Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • A Trump dictatorship is increasingly inevitable. We should stop pretending. The magical-thinking phase is ending. Barring some miracle, Trump will soon be the presumptive Republican nominee for president. When that happens, there will be a swift and dramatic shift in the political power dynamic, in his favor.

Insurance 237
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Diversity in Investment Management: What Are the Latest Trends and Insights?

Advisor Perspectives

Our 2023 Manager ESG Survey shows that transparency around DEI data is increasing among investment managers. The results reveal that equity product managers in particular are more inclined to share DEI data compared to managers in other asset classes.

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Attractive Income Opportunities for Uncertain Markets

Advisor Perspectives

In a turnaround from last year, there is renewed interest in the fixed income asset class as yields have risen. Ed Perks, CIO of Franklin Income Investors, shares his analysis of recent macro developments and where he sees opportunities for income.

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Healthcare, a Minor Major Problem

Advisor Perspectives

Back in the Great Financial Crisis era, someone quipped that the federal government had become a giant hedge fund with an army attached. That wasn’t far off. Various agencies and entities were absorbing all kinds of risky assets to stabilize an overleveraged system.

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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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Can AI Hallucinations Be Tamed for Investing Models?

Advisor Perspectives

Generative artificial intelligence has a reliability problem. Here’s how investors can gain confidence in portfolios that deploy the technology.

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Chart of the Week: Advisors Willing to Take on Rate Risk

Advisor Perspectives

Many advisors and investors in 2023 have turned to fixed income ETFs with an average duration of less than one year. Taking on very little interest rate risk through duration has been rewarding as well.

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Turning Lemons Into Lemonade: The Power of Tax-Loss Harvesting

Advisor Perspectives

Tax-loss harvesting creates an opportunity every year for advisors to turn lemons into lemonade. Advisors can realize losses that their clients experienced during the year and use them to offset realized gains in other parts of their portfolio.

Taxes 40