Sun.Oct 01, 2023

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Assessing the State of Commercial Real Estate Debt

Wealth Management

MSCI Real Assets’ new report looks at the capital availability trends in the commercial real estate sector.

Assets 317
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Sunday links: 40% forecasts

Abnormal Returns

Markets The S&P 500 was down 4.77% in September 2023. (on.spdji.com) There's no shortage of stuff to be worried about at the moment. (tker.co) Rates The yield curve is finally steepening. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Higher interest rates mean higher taxes. (marketwatch.com) Closed-end muni funds are trading at big discounts to NAV. (marketwatch.com) Finance Do you really want a private investment targeted to individual investors?

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Monday: ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending

Calculated Risk

Weekend: • Schedule for Week of October 1, 2023 Monday: • At 10:00 AM ET, ISM Manufacturing Index for September. The consensus is for a reading of 47.8, up from 47.6 in August. • Also at 10:00 AM Construction Spending for August. The consensus is for a 0.5% increase. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 futures are up 16 and DOW futures are up 110 (fair value).

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site Netflix's DVD-by-mail business is winding up. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Individual investors win by not competing with professionals. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Why it is so hard to be a truly long term investor. (behaviouralinvestment.com) How long is too long when it comes to your bond allocation? (humbledollar.com) 5%+ T-bill yields are a welcome relief, but don't overdo it.

Assets 284
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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in August to New High; Up 4.0% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in August to New High; Up 4.0% Year-over-year A brief excerpt: On a year-over-year basis, the National FMHPI was up 4.0% in August , from up 3.0% YoY in July. The YoY increase peaked at 19.1% in July 2021, and for this cycle, bottomed at up 0.9% in May 2023.

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How Prepared Are Consumers For a Recession?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Brandolini’s law states: The amount of energy needed to refute b t is an order of magnitude bigger than the amount needed to produce it. Carlson’s law of finance is similar: The amount of energy needed to refute bad news is an order of magnitude bigger than the amount needed to produce it. It’s much easier to take bad news at face value than good news.

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Improve client relationships

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Mike Beirne, MDRT Round the Table editor As there are many types of clients in a range of demographics, there also are a variety of ways to communicate with them. Try these three ideas from MDRT members around the world for inspiration. Allocating retirement planning I introduce asset allocation with clients by dividing retirement life into two parts: basic life and high-quality life.

Clients 103
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Talk Your Book: Compounding Machine

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Talk Your Book is brought to you by Standpoint Asset Management: On today’s show, we spoke with Eric Crittenden, CIO of Standpoint Asset Management to discuss trend following and all-weather portfolios. See here for the Content Library and here for Standpoints monthly update. On today’s show, we discuss: An introduction to trend following Market-risk dynamics over time What managed futures are Giving i.

Assets 80
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China’s Economic Woes Have Sparked A Gold Rush

Advisor Perspectives

The Chinese yuan has lost nearly 6% of its value against the U.S. dollar this year, while Shanghai-listed stocks are off about 8% from their 2023 high, set back in May.

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These Are the Goods

The Irrelevant Investor

Articles What are all these GPUs being used for? Who is the customer’s customer? (By David Cahn) The company’s global parks attendance is not much higher than it was a decade ago; the primary driver of improved financial results in Disney’s Parks business has been a more than 100% increase in per capita guest spending. (By Alex Morris, paid) Life is about change (By Michael Antonelli) Some things I believe about inv.

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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Are Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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The Geography of Working From Home Begins to Shift Again

Advisor Perspectives

The Oakland Hills Public Use Microdata Area, or PUMA (a Census Bureau designation that I’ll explain in a moment), in Oakland, California, contains some of the most appealing urban neighborhoods in the US.

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[cdata[ Medical Debt and Your FICO Score ]]

oXYGen Financial

![CDATA[ Recently, there have been changes in legislation, proposed changes and overall consumer credit trends concerning medical debt and its impact on FICO scores. In this blog, we will explore these changes and their implications for your financial well-being. When it comes to your personal finance, staying informed about legislative changes is crucial for making sound financial decisions.

Medical 52
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Wall Street Echoes Fed’s View on Growth, Higher-for-Longer Rates

Advisor Perspectives

Wall Street economists are growing more upbeat about US economic growth while acknowledging that it may require interest rates to stay higher for longer, in line with recent projections by the Federal Reserve.

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10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • Inside Sam Bankman-Fried’s Family Bubble : At Stanford Law School, Joseph Bankman and Barbara Fried specialized in ethics and social fairness. Now that their son stands accused of one of the largest financial frauds in U.S. history, they’re scrambling for legal escape routes. ( New Yorker ) • The Nasdaq 100 Is Wildly Popular.

Ethics 130
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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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Peak CD Rates Don't Always Result in Peak Performance

Advisor Perspectives

In 2022, the Federal Reserve began aggressively raising interest rates and has continued to do so in 2023, albeit at a much more measured pace. This has helped many certificate of deposits (CDs) increase their interest rates to levels not seen in well over a decade. However, while investing in CDs at peak rates might seem like a sound strategy, in the past it hasn’t always translated into the best outcome for investors.

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Raining On All-Weather?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

The Permanent Portfolio was devised decades ago by Harry Browne as diversified approach that favored defense and tried to ensure that no matter how bad things got, at least one holding was working. It equal weights stocks, long term bonds, gold and cash. Any back testing you might do or find will probably look pretty good because of the fantastic 40 year run that long bonds had up until the end of 2021.

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Preparing for the Sunset of the TCJA Tax Relief

Advisor Perspectives

Change is inevitable. When those changes involve tax law, it is extremely important for clients to meet with their financial professional, tax advisor, and legal advisor to discuss any adjustments that may need to be made to their financial, retirement, or estate plan. One change that is looming is the expiration of provisions that were passed under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA).

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Bitcoin Is Ending September With First Quarterly Loss This Year

Advisor Perspectives

As September comes to a close, Bitcoin is poised to end the quarter on a down note in its first quarterly decline this year.

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How to Avoid Pitfalls In Automation: Keep Humans In the Loop

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

Automation is transforming finance but without strong financial oversight it can introduce more risk than reward. From missed discrepancies to strained vendor relationships, accounts payable automation needs a human touch to deliver lasting value. This session is your playbook to get automation right. We’ll explore how to balance speed with control, boost decision-making through human-machine collaboration, and unlock ROI with fewer errors, stronger fraud prevention, and smoother operations.

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Taking Stock: Q4 2023 Equity Market Outlook

Advisor Perspectives

U.S. stocks typically post their best returns in the final quarter of the year. Our review of S&P 500 performance since the index’s inception in 1957 found an average Q4 uptick of 4%. (Q1 was next best at an average of 2%.

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Millennials, Keep Your Avocado Toast and Ditch the Dream House

Advisor Perspectives

Avocado toast, hard seltzers, and Instagrammable vacations are not the reasons millennials and our Gen Z compatriots have failed to scrimp, save and budget our way into home ownership.

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Retailers Are Nervous About Your Student Loans

Advisor Perspectives

The level of concern among retail executives over the resumption of student loan payments run the gamut from brushing it off as a non-event to bracing for a big pullback in spending.

Retail 52
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Visions of Sugar Plums and Soft Landings

Advisor Perspectives

Rising real interest rates invariably trigger recessions. The residual impact of pandemic related behaviors delayed the impact in this cycle.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Once Unthinkable Bond Yields Are Now the New Normal for Markets

Advisor Perspectives

It was the week that bond markets finally seemed to grasp what central bankers have been warning all year: higher interest rates are here to stay.

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2023 Global Market Outlook – Q4 Update: Falling with Style

Advisor Perspectives

We believe a mild U.S. recession is more likely than not in 2024, although a soft-landing scenario cannot be ruled out. A recession is also likely in the UK and eurozone, but appears less likely in Australia.

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Stealth Stagnation: Why the U.S. Economy Is Not as Robust as You Think

Advisor Perspectives

The prevailing narrative about the U.S. economy is that it’s ‘resilient’: despite rapid rate hikes, economic growth has held up and may even be accelerating.

Economy 52
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Alternative Allocations: Navigating Through Economic Regimes

Advisor Perspectives

Certain asset classes thrive or lag as economies move through one cycle to the next. Franklin Templeton Institute’s Tony Davidow shares how to analyze different economic indicators and how asset classes perform through economic regime changes.

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Pressure Could Be Ahead for Big Tech as 2023 Winds Down

Advisor Perspectives

Big tech is often cited as the primary catalyst in 2023’s stock market rally. Yet at some point, the laws of market gravity will set in, and what comes up must eventually come down. As 2023 winds down, some market experts foresee pressure ahead for big tech.

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Why Investors Are Gravitating Toward Active Management In 2023

Advisor Perspectives

Active management in ETFs are gaining market share in 2023, as leading managers bring their best ideas into the ETF industry.