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Friday links: a healthy dose of skepticism

Abnormal Returns

ritholtz.com) Semiconductors Trying to put a valuation on Nvidia ($NVDA). ft.com) Economy The Fed is going to have to cut rates to stick the soft landing. sherwood.news) What does the collapse in dollar store sales tell us about the economy? Strategy Three reasons why the stock market declines. unemployment rate.

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Friday links: the most important investing skill

Abnormal Returns

(ft.com) Startups How unicorns are dealing with the decline in valuations. theinformation.com) The bloom is off the 'passion economy' rose? ft.com) Economy Existing home sales plunged in December. bonddad.blogspot.com) Why falling retail sales aren't all bad. Those stakes are set to change hands.

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Monday links: getting stuff done

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Valuations matter, but using them in your investment process is a challenge. ft.com) Economy The U.S. is leading the global economy, post-pandemic. minneapolisfed.org) Heavy truck sales rose in January. entrylevel.topdowncharts.com) When does passive investing become a problem for valuing companies?

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Thursday links: embracing imperfection

Abnormal Returns

(techcrunch.com) SpaceX SpaceX is reportedly planning a tender offer for employee shares at a $175 billion valuation. axios.com) Economy Kyla Scanlon, "People are complex and economics doesn’t (can’t!) (carsongroup.com) Not everything is getting more expensive. bonddad.blogspot.com) Heavy truck sales grew in November.

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Monday links: the changed housing market

Abnormal Returns

Markets Small cap stocks stand out for their cheap valuations. morningstar.com) Economy The labor economy drives spending, not savings. bonddad.blogspot.com) New heavy truck sales continue apace. morningstar.com) Why have energy stocks and oil prices diverged? calculatedriskblog.com) More jobs don't equal inflation.

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Tuesday links: the case for diversification

Abnormal Returns

bloomberg.com) SpaceX's valuation keeps rising, due in part to Starlink's success. morningstar.com) Economy Home prices peaked June 2022. calculatedriskblog.com) New home sales are on the rise. (behaviouralinvestment.com) Do commodities have a role to play in a long-term, strategic asset allocation? Prices are now rising again.

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At the Money: Stock Picking vs. Value Investing 

The Big Picture

Dividends come from earnings, and so those are sort of anchors to valuation. Jeremy Schwartz : And basically said that there’s huge Tech stocks, triple-digit PEs, you can never justify the valuations no matter what the growth rates are. Present value of future cash flows, any asset is present value of future cash flows.

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