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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

Finally, it would be dangerous to extrapolate the post-1990 outperformance of US equities, as it mainly reflects rising relative valuations. He’s often referred to as Jungleman, a nod to his longtime screen name on poker sites. If anything, the current richness of US equities may point to prospective underperformance. (

Startup 359
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Three Things I Think I Think – The Fed Didn’t Do It

Discipline Funds

I am referring to my explanation of “asset price inflation” relative to QE. I jokingly referred to this as assflation because how else can you respond to things that seem obviously wrong, except with a joke? My argument for why stocks were going up was because there was real fundamental improvement in the economy.

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Wednesday links: late strategizing

Abnormal Returns

Markets Market valuations are a lot more attractive than they were a year ago. mantaro.money) Media Jeff Jarvis, "If network prime time has lost its value, so have networks, so has television, so has broadcast." (finance.yahoo.com) Economy Auto loan delinquencies are on the rise. blog.validea.com) Visualizing U.S.

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Where Will Housing Go From Here? | Weekly Market Commentary | August 22, 2022

James Hendries

Given the lag between Federal Reserve (Fed) policy and the real economy, we have not likely seen the bottom in the housing market. Outside of the pandemic, the rate of sales were close to sales rates in 2007 and 2008, when the economy was in the depths of a housing crisis [Figure 3]. Regional differences are profound. Conclusion.

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Should You T-Bill and Chill?

Discipline Funds

This refers to the strategy where you just move everything into T-Bills and “chill” 1 This move sounds increasingly enticing. today, but what if the economy keeps humming along, the stock market never crashes and the Fed eases rates back to 2% over the next few years? After all, 5.5% For example, rates are 5.5%

Portfolio 136
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Market Commentary: Earnings in the Long Run, and Short

Carson Wealth

And companies can grow earnings as long as the global economy grows, which is something it has been doing much more often than not for several millennia. There have been short-term fluctuations when the economy has slowed, but the overall trend has been strong. economy can continue to grow, and the rest follows.

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What a Week | Weekly Market Commentary | August 1, 2022

James Hendries

Perhaps the market’s biggest fear has been that the Fed may overdo its tightening to fight inflation and send the economy into a painful recession, break something, or both. He acknowledged that the economy is slowing (which is what the Fed wants) and that the full effect of the rate hikes had not yet been felt. Of course, the U.S.