Calculated Risk

JANUARY 11, 2025

The key reports this week are December CPI, retail sales, and housing starts. 2:00 PM: the Federal Reserve Beige Book , an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts. -- Thursday, January 16th -- 8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. down from 0.2.

Retail 162

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 162

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 2, 2022

The headline jobs number in the November employment report was above expectations, however employment for the previous two months was revised down by 23,000, combined. Seasonal Retail Hiring Typically, retail companies start hiring for the holiday season in October, and really increase hiring in November. million jobs.

Retail 328

Retail Numbers Economics Manufacturing 328

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 16, 2024

Markets will be more focused on the rate trajectory outlined in the Fed's economic projections as well as the guidance offered in the text of the announcement and Fed Chair Powell's press conference. 30 year fixed 6.12% ] emphasis added Tuesday: • At 8:30 AM ET, Retail sales for August will be released. increase in retail sales. •

Retail 182

Retail Sales Numbers Economics 182

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 3, 2023

The headline jobs number in the October employment report was below expectations, and employment for the previous two months was revised down by 101,000, combined. Seasonal Retail Hiring Typically, retail companies start hiring for the holiday season in October, and really increase hiring in November. million jobs.

Retail 333

Retail Numbers Economics Manufacturing 333

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 8, 2023

The headline jobs number in the November employment report was at expectations, however employment for the previous two months was revised down by 35,000, combined. Seasonal Retail Hiring Typically, retail companies start hiring for the holiday season in October, and really increase hiring in November. million jobs.

Retail 317

Retail Numbers Economics Manufacturing 317

Abnormal Returns

AUGUST 6, 2024

Retail Using LLMs to identify retail trader strategies. blogs.cfainstitute.org) How the number of firms in an industry affects idiosyncratic volatility. returnstacked.com) A look at how to identify economic regimes. papers.ssrn.com) A look at the value, or lack thereof, of WallStreetBets stock picks. mailchi.mp)

Retail 273

Retail Accounting Taxes Numbers 273

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 5, 2024

The headline jobs number in the December employment report was above expectations, however employment for the previous two months was revised down by 71,000, combined. Unemployment Rate Seasonal Retail Hiring Typically, retail companies start hiring for the holiday season in October, and really increase hiring in November.

Retail 302

Retail Numbers Economics Manufacturing 302

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 14, 2024

The key reports this week are August Retail Sales, Housing Starts and Existing Home sales. up from -4.7. -- Tuesday, September 17th -- 8:30 AM ET: Retail sales for August will be released. increase in retail sales. This graph shows retail sales since 1992. The consensus is for a reading of -4.0, The consensus is for a 0.2%

Retail 312

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 312

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 17, 2023

At 8:30 AM, Retail sales for December is scheduled to be released. decrease in retail sales. Any number below 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as poor than good. • At 2:00 PM, the Federal Reserve Beige Book , an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts.

Retail 195

Retail Sales Banking Numbers 195

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 16, 2024

Moreover, there was a distinct lack of logical motivation from the economic data. 30 year fixed 6.72% ] emphasis added Tuesday: At 8:30 AM ET, Retail sales for November will be released. increase in retail sales. Any number below 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as poor than good.

Retail 147

Retail Sales Numbers Economics 147

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 14, 2024

The key economic reports this week are Retail Sales, Housing Starts, Existing Home Sales, the 3rd estimate of Q3 GDP, and November Personal income and outlays. down from 31.2. -- Tuesday, December 17th -- 8:30 AM ET: Retail sales for November will be released. increase in retail sales. The consensus is for a reading of 5.8,

Retail 262

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 262

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 16, 2024

At 8:30 AM, Retail sales for December is scheduled to be released. increase in retail sales. • Any number below 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as poor than good. • They're currently still well under 7%, meaning that a vast majority of the improvement has been retained despite the modest erosion. [

Retail 147

Retail Sales Banking Numbers 147

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 14, 2023

The key reports this week are December retail sales, housing starts and existing home sales. 8:30 AM: Retail sales for December is scheduled to be released. decrease in retail sales. This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline).

Retail 264

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 264

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 12, 2022

The key economic reports this week are October Retail Sales, Housing Starts and Existing Home sales. 8:30 AM ET: Retail sales for October will be released. increase in retail sales. This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline).

Retail 242

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 242

Validea

APRIL 4, 2025

The recent market sell-off, driven by rising tariff concerns and economic uncertainty, has significantly impacted retail and consumer-facing stocks. Using Valideas Guru Stock Screener, we’ve identified a number of quality retail stocks trading at that have declined significantly. Apparel Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

Retail 52

Retail Risk Tolerance Marketing Marketing 52

Calculated Risk

JULY 13, 2024

The key reports this week are June Retail Sales and Housing Starts. Rubenstein, Chairman of the Economic Club of Washington, D.C. -- Tuesday, July 16th -- 8:30 AM: Retail sales for June is scheduled to be released. The consensus is for no change in retail sales. This graph shows retail sales since 1992.

Retail 182

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 182

The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 7, 2022

When I put together my list of what was to blame for inflation , corporate profit-seeking was number (13 of 15). Traditional economic consensus used to be inflation occurred when too many dollars chased too few goods. Economic Policy Institute, April 21, 2022). That was June; we now have a lot more data.

Economics 336

Economics Economy Retail Numbers 336

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 6, 2023

Contacts from most Districts indicated economic growth was modest during July and August. But other retail spending continued to slow, especially on non-essential items. Fed's Beige Book "This report was prepared at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City based on information collected on or before August 28, 2023."

Manufacturing 298

Manufacturing Transportation Retail Sales 298

The Big Picture

JANUARY 18, 2023

Today, the Producer Price Index and Consumer Retail Sales both showed the economy is decelerating and not on an inflation-adjusted basis. But this does not mean the Fed should inflict pain on millions of people (especially those earning at or below median wages ) because they are waiting for an update to an economic model.

Economics 312

Economics Retail Banking Economy 312

Calculated Risk

MAY 14, 2024

The New York Fed also issued an accompanying Liberty Street Economics blog post examining credit card utilization and its relationship with delinquency. An increasing number of borrowers missed credit card payments, revealing worsening financial distress among some households.” trillion at the end of March. trillion.

Economics 305

Economics Retail Banking Accounting 305

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 10, 2024

The key reports this week are July CPI, Retail Sales and Housing Starts. For manufacturing, the Industrial Production report will be released. -- Monday, August 12th -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Tuesday, August 13th -- 6:00 AM ET: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for July. increase in retail sales.

Retail 182

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 182

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 19, 2022

I find it hard to believe something that obvious is the play, so I call the number listed at their Facebook account: (800) 571-7765. This organization primarily operates in the Watches business / industry within the Miscellaneous Retail sector. Of note: Delivery within 180 Days. Amex chargeback cutoff is 120 days.

Retail 332

Retail Economy Accounting Numbers 332

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 12, 2024

The key economic reports this week are September Retail Sales and Housing Starts. increase in retail sales. This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline). The consensus is for a 0.2% The consensus is for a 0.1%

Retail 162

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 162

MarketWatch

FEBRUARY 15, 2023

stock indexes opened lower on Wednesday after January retail sales number came in higher than expected, a sign that the U.S. economic growth picked up at the start of the year despite increased rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to tame inflation. retailers jumped 3% in January, topping the 1.9% The S&P 500 was off 0.6%

Retail 98

Retail Sales Economy Numbers 98

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 14, 2023

The key economic reports this week are September Retail Sales, Housing Starts and Existing Home sales. down from 1.9. -- Tuesday, October 17th -- 8:30 AM ET: Retail sales for September will be released. down from 1.9. -- Tuesday, October 17th -- 8:30 AM ET: Retail sales for September will be released. million in August.

Retail 162

Retail Manufacturing Sales Economics 162

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 17, 2023

Most economic downturns hit lower-income Americans hardest, but this time is different. They have each other’s phone numbers. January retail surge: finding the signal in the noise Source: BofA Sign up for our reads-only mailing list here. My end-of-week morning train WFH reads: • It’s a Richcession, Not a Recession.

Math 290

Math Advertising Food Retail 290

Mish Talk

DECEMBER 16, 2022

Nonetheless, economic cheerleaders tout the monthly data even when the household survey shows major discrepancies. Fall & Winter Double Issue With that background please consider the Philadelphia Fed Fall & Economic Insights Winter Double Issue for 2022 Q3 and Q4, emphasis mine. Retail Sales Evidence Food Service: +0.9

Food 361

Food Sales Economics Retail 361

Nerd's Eye View

AUGUST 22, 2022

In general, this means that people are more likely to be more aware of how much cash they're holding than the other numbers in their financial life, like the balances on their retirement accounts (which, being less 'immediate' in their intended purpose, are not often at the forefront of most people's minds to the same extent that cash is).

Clients 246

Clients Management Accounting Banking 246

Nerd's Eye View

AUGUST 22, 2022

In general, this means that people are more likely to be more aware of how much cash they're holding than the other numbers in their financial life, like the balances on their retirement accounts (which, being less 'immediate' in their intended purpose, are not often at the forefront of most people's minds to the same extent that cash is).

Clients 246

Clients Management Accounting Banking 246

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

The key economic reports this week are October CPI, Retail Sales, and Housing Starts. 8:30 AM ET: Retail sales for October will be released. decrease in retail sales. This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline).

Retail 162

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 162

Calculated Risk

MAY 11, 2024

The key reports this week are April CPI, Retail Sales and Housing Starts. For manufacturing, April Industrial Production, and the May NY and Philly Fed manufacturing surveys will be released. -- Monday, May 13th -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Tuesday, May 14th -- 6:00 AM ET: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for April.

Retail 173

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 173

Calculated Risk

APRIL 13, 2024

The key reports this week are March Retail Sales, Housing Starts and Existing Home Sales. For manufacturing, the March Industrial Production report, and NY and Philly Fed surveys will be released this week. -- Monday, April 15th -- 8:30 AM: Retail sales for March is scheduled to be released. increase in retail sales.

Retail 162

Retail Manufacturing Food Sales 162

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 13, 2024

The key reports this week are December retail sales, housing starts and existing home sales. 8:30 AM: Retail sales for December is scheduled to be released. increase in retail sales. This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline).

Retail 162

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 162

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

The key reports this week are January CPI, Housing Starts, and Retail sales. 8:30 AM: Retail sales for January is scheduled to be released. decrease in retail sales. This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline).

Retail 162

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 162

Nationwide Financial

JANUARY 17, 2023

In other economic news, the NFIB small business survey showed decreasing optimism among small business owners, many of whom have a negative outlook on the economy and expected sales for 2023. Small business optimism fell in December as firms reported lower earnings and reduced expectations for economic growth in the first half of 2023.

Numbers 52

Numbers Economics Retail Sales 52

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 11, 2023

The key reports this week are January CPI, Housing Starts, and Retail sales. 8:30 AM: Retail sales for January is scheduled to be released. increase in retail sales. This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline). up from -8.9.

Retail 130

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 130

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 12, 2023

The key reports this week are July Retail Sales and Housing Starts. For manufacturing, the Industrial Production report will be released. -- Monday, August 14th -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Tuesday, August 15th -- 8:30 AM: Retail sales for July is scheduled to be released. increase in retail sales.

Retail 130

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 130