Trade Brains

OCTOBER 28, 2024

This alliance has the potential to challenge established power structures, particularly in global economic governance. By facilitating transactions in local currencies, it promotes economic cooperation among member states. In addition, adopting a BRICS currency aligns with India’s broader economic strategy.

Economics

The Big Picture

MARCH 7, 2025

Prior to this role at BCG, Philipp advised financial institutions and governments at the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) as well as McKinsey & Company. He is a frequent contributor to Harvard Business Review and World Economic Forum. He was also Chief Economist at Stanford C.

Economics

Calculated Risk

APRIL 2, 2025

Treasury yields continue to be volatile as economic uncertainty dominates markets. Most mortgage rates finished last week lower, with the 30-year fixed essentially unchanged at 6.70

Government

Calculated Risk

MARCH 27, 2025

Bureau of Economic Analysis. The increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter primarily reflected increases in consumer spending and government spending that were partly offset by a decrease in investment. percent in the fourth quarter of 2024 (October, November, and December), according to the third estimate released by the U.S.

Government

Calculated Risk

MARCH 1, 2025

Fed Chair Powell speaks on the economic outlook on Friday. -- Monday, March 3rd -- 10:00 AM: ISM Manufacturing Index for February. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). 12:30 PM: Speech, Fed Chair Jerome Powell , Economic Outlook , At The University of Chicago Booth School of Business 2025 U.S. in January.

Sales

Calculated Risk

MAY 14, 2025

Refinance volume was little changed for the week, with a small increase in government refinances, and a decrease in conventional refinances. Despite the economic uncertainty, the increase in home inventory means there are additional properties to buy, unlike the last two years, and this supply is supporting more transactions.

Government

Calculated Risk

MAY 7, 2025

The economic news last week included a negative reading for first-quarter GDP growth and further signs of contraction in the manufacturing sector, mixed with a solid employment report for April. Government purchase loans were also up 6 percent for the week, led by a 9 percent growth in FHA purchase applications.

Economics

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 1, 2025

NOTE: Last month I noted that state and local government education hiring was up sharply - probably due to a data collection, timing or seasonal adjustment issue. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.7 A weak report. YoY in July, up from 3.8%

Numbers

Carson Wealth

JUNE 9, 2025

Here’s the distribution among some key sectors: Health care, social assistance, and private education: 379,00 (61%) Government: 33,000 (5%) Leisure and hospitality: 74,000 (12%) That’s really skewed, and not exactly what you would see if the economy were firing on all cylinders. But the economy avoided a recession back then too.

Economics

Wealth Management

JULY 30, 2025

Related: The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Living Wills and Health Care Proxies The most defensible method for valuing carry is a discounted cash flow model that reflects the fund’s projected economics. This model should incorporate the hurdle rate, catch-up provisions, clawback mechanics, recycling of capital and timing of exits.

Estate Planning

Calculated Risk

MAY 29, 2025

Bureau of Economic Analysis. The decrease in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected an increase in imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, and a decrease in government spending. percent in the first quarter of 2025 (January, February, and March), according to the second estimate released by the U.S.

Government

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 27, 2025

Bureau of Economic Analysis. The increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter primarily reflected increases in consumer spending and government spending that were partly offset by a decrease in investment. percent in the fourth quarter of 2024 (October, November, and December), according to the second estimate released by the U.S.

Government

Calculated Risk

APRIL 23, 2025

Similar to the previous week, economic uncertainty and rate volatility impacted prospective homebuyers as we saw a 7 percent decline in purchase applications. Both conventional and government purchase activity fell relative to the week before, but the overall level of purchase applications was still 6 percent higher than a year ago..

Government

Steve Sanduski

JULY 15, 2025

Edward is the author of a new book called Chokepoints: American Power in the Age of Economic Warfare. If you are advising clients with global exposure, supply chain risk, or dollar-based portfolios, this conversation is your blueprint for spotting how economic statecraft often moves markets before headlines do.              .

Portfolio

Abnormal Returns

MARCH 2, 2025

nytimes.com) DOGE Elon Musk has been plotting the destruction of the federal government for awhile now. propublica.org) DOGE laid off the GSA's 18F team which works to make government systems work better. agglomerations.substack.com) The economic schedule for the coming week.

Manufacturing

Calculated Risk

MAY 7, 2025

Owners and developers are navigating heightened economic and policy uncertainty, which likely bogged down much of this months planning activity. On the institutional side, planning momentum waned for education, healthcare, and government buildings. Commercial construction is typically a lagging economic indicator.

Healthcare

Advisor Perspectives

MAY 22, 2025

Common sense and economic theory often collide. Take the stubborn belief that government stimulus spending and debt issuance reliably boost economic growth. It is a simple and seductive idea—when the economy falters, the government can step in, inject capital, and jumpstart growth.

Government

Calculated Risk

JUNE 18, 2025

Even with lower average mortgage rates, applications declined over the week as ongoing economic uncertainty weighed on potential homebuyers’ purchase decisions.” Added Kan, “Refinance activity declined for both conventional and government borrowers. The 30-year fixed rate decreased to 6.84

Government

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

NOVEMBER 25, 2024

7 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Consumer Confidence. Source: I nvestors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar ; November 21, 2024 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Treasury Notes are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest.

Marketing

Discipline Funds

NOVEMBER 4, 2024

As an example of this, consider this data point from JP Morgan : “ Exhibit 4 highlights real GDP growth and S&P 500 returns during Republican, Democratic, and divided governments (when one party does not control the White House and both chambers of Congress). And in the post-WW2 era the government has been divided 61% of the time.

Economy

Carson Wealth

JUNE 27, 2025

government tariff revenues have surged to record highs, consumer inflation hasn’t yet notably risen due to tariffs. Historically, unemployment tends to stay stable until a certain threshold is crossed, after which it can quickly rise, signaling potential economic downturns. Muted Tariff Inflation Although U.S.

Marketing

Carson Wealth

JULY 16, 2025

It’s often characterized by economic pessimism and declining investor confidence. Market Metrics & Economic Indicators GDP, CPI, P/E ratios—economic indicators can sound like alphabet soup, but they can be the pulse checks of your investments. It’s the ultimate scorecard for economic health. Price goes up? You profit.

Investments

Carson Wealth

MARCH 3, 2025

Given our overall still positive economic backdrop, to see this much worry in the air is actually rather bullish and why we dont expect the recent weakness to spiral out of control. So, imports are just subtracting all the goods and services households and businesses buy from abroad, since it doesnt add to domestic economic activity.

Marketing

Darrow Wealth Management

MARCH 3, 2025

while bonds are broken down by duration and sectors (for example government bonds such as municipal or Treasury bonds or corporate bonds, including investment grade or high yield bonds), etc. As economic conditions and income needs change, so too will your asset allocation. After all, investment management is an ongoing process.

Risk Tolerance

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 30, 2024

Bureau of Economic Analysis. The increase in real GDP primarily reflected increases in consumer spending, exports, and federal government spending. The increase in federal government spending was led by defense spending. percent in the third quarter of 2024 , according to the "advance" estimate released by the U.S.

Government

Discipline Funds

NOVEMBER 20, 2024

I hesitate to criticize Saylor because this bet has worked out brilliantly so far, but that doesn’t change the way economics and finance works. Of course, it’s also true that government spending is often inflationary. We experienced very high inflation during Covid in large part due to government spending.

Insurance

Harness Wealth

APRIL 4, 2025

In transactions between unrelated parties, economic forces such as the law of supply and demand produce a fair price; when the entities to the transaction are controlled by the same party, the pricing of the transaction is within the groups control. Wrappe, J.D.,

Taxes

The Big Picture

JANUARY 4, 2025

Global Financial Data ) Vanguard 2025 economic and market outlook : The global monetary easing cycle will be in full swing in 2025, with inflation in most developed economies now within touching distance of central banks targets. But cutting government spending is easy, if you take on power. Luxury car sales fell 27%.

Government

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 30, 2024

This report is for private payrolls only (no government). 2:00 PM: the Federal Reserve Beige Book , an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts. -- Thursday, December 5th -- 8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 55.5,

Manufacturing

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

DECEMBER 16, 2024

8 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Begins. Source: I nvestors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar ; December 10, 2024 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Retail Sales. Industrial Production. Business Inventories. Wednesday: Housing Starts and Permits.

Marketing

International College of Financial Planning

JUNE 17, 2025

Introduction to GIFT City and Its Legal-Economic Status The Gujarat International Finance Tech-City, commonly referred to as GIFT City, is a landmark initiative by the Government of India aimed at creating a world-class financial centre within the country.

Compliance

Abnormal Returns

JUNE 27, 2025

Economics Noah Smith talks abundance with Derek Thompson. derekthompson.substack.com) Danny Crichton and Laurence Pevsner author of “Rebooting a Nation: The Incredible Rise of Estonia, E-Government and the Startup Revolution.” noahpinion.blog) Derek Thompson talks with NYC Democratic mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani.

Startup

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

DECEMBER 23, 2024

4,5 Markets were under pressure again early Friday as the spending bill to fund the federal government appeared to stall. 8 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: Consumer Confidence. Source: I nvestors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar ; December 16, 2024 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S.

Marketing

Discipline Funds

APRIL 30, 2025

Net exports and government subtracted a total of 5.08% with exports making up the majority of that. The NBER defines a recession as A significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months. But you had a lot of conflicting things going on under the surface.

Insurance

Discipline Funds

JULY 30, 2025

This tool is trying to predict where the next quarter’s Taylor Rule will be based on real-time economic data. Since April 2nd the US government has pulled in about $97B. But another thing that’s interesting in the context of this is that my Real-Time Taylor Rule actually went UP after today’s data, from 5.1%

Valuation

Trade Brains

JULY 9, 2025

This eases interest costs for borrowers but also pushes down yields on fixed income , limiting returns on safer instruments like FDs or government bonds. Retirees often rely heavily on fixed income sources such as pensions and government-backed schemes. on June 6, 2025 , and cut CRR by 100 bps.

Retirement Planning

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

OCTOBER 28, 2024

Weekly Market Insights | October 28th, 2024 Stocks Mixed Ahead of Election Stocks were mixed last week as fresh economic data points and election-related uncertainty slowed market momentum. 8 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: International Trade in Goods. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.96 Consumer Confidence.

Marketing