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Financial market round-up – Jul’25

Truemind Capital

Equity markets in the US also hit record levels due to ease of geopolitical tensions, dovish fed and trade developments, but economic data released in early July for Q1 2025 (Jan-Mar) presents a mixed picture. Elevated valuations on the back of a rebound in investor sentiment also make the market more sensitive to negative surprises.

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7 Areas Where Probabilities of Errors Are Rising

The Big Picture

There are economic risks, market risks, systemic factors, currency risks, constitutional questions, and ultimately, the standing of the United States as a global superpower and ally. Whether it comes from DOGE or the Budget process or a minor court case or a more serious challenge, we should be aware of the changing environment.

Economy 288
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Market Commentary: Investment Takeaways as Tariffs Take Their Toll on Markets

Carson Wealth

We will discuss our take on the tariffs and economic fallout below, but we know stocks didnt like the news. But what we do know is that with every decline, more risk has already been priced in and stock valuations have become cheaper compared to their longer-term earnings potential. This brings up an important point.

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Transcript: Ron Shaich, Au Bon Pain, Panera Bread & CAVA

The Big Picture

And, you know, we can’t agree on a budget for 20 months. And, and so my point to you is, is once we define the categories, dominance matters, somebody will own the reason the, the, the market is paying upwards of, has been paying upwards of $15 billion a valuation on kava. It’s behavioral economics, behavioral finance.

Food 130
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Financial market round-up – Apr’25

Truemind Capital

Equity Market Insights: And It All Falls Down… Over the past few quarters, weve consistently shared our view that a valuation reset was overdue in India, particularly in the mid and small-cap segments. As anticipated, mid and small-caps corrected more sharply due to frothy valuations.

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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: Where We Stand: The Fiscal, Economic, and Distributional Effects of All U.S. Tariffs Enacted in 2025 : Through April 2 The Budget Lab modeled the effect of both the April 2nd tariff announcement in isolation and all US tariffs implemented in 2025. CIO ) Who Will Be the Next Larry Fink?

Budgeting 208
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Three Things – This is a Big Deal

Discipline Funds

This is a baseline estimate though and other researchers like the Yale Budget Lab have the figure closer to 17%, although they’re assuming the other countries remain at current levels. The way I think of economic growth is that some sector always needs to be expanding their balance sheet. rate at the start of the year.

Taxes 59