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Question #1 for 2025: How much will the economy grow in 2025? Will there be a recession in 2025?

Calculated Risk

How much will the economy grow in 2025? A year ago, I argued that "the economy will avoid recession" in 2024, and that a soft landing was the likely outcome. Here are the Ten Economic Questions for 2025 and a few predictions: Question #1 for 2025: How much will the economy grow in 2025? Or will the economy lose jobs?

Economy 173
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Question #2 for 2024: How much will job growth slow in 2024? Or will the economy lose jobs?

Calculated Risk

2) Employment: Through November 2023, the economy added 2.6 Or will the economy lose jobs? The bad news - for job growth - is that a combination of a slowing economy, demographics and a labor market near full employment suggests fewer jobs will be added in 2024. Or will the economy lose jobs? million jobs in 2023.

Economy 298
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Question #1 for 2023: How much will the economy grow in 2023? Will there be a recession in 2023?

Calculated Risk

1) Economic growth: Economic growth was probably close to 1% in 2022 as the economy slowed following the economic rebound in 2021. How much will the economy grow in 2023? Defaulting on the debt with an already weak economy will likely push the economy into recession. Residential investment has also peaked.

Economy 278
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Market Concentration

The Big Picture

These reflect the economic dominance of one specific part of the economy or another for very long periods of time. You might be surprised at the findings. As the chart above shows, there are long periods of market concentration.

Marketing 314
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Question #1 for 2024: How much will the economy grow in 2024? Will there be a recession in 2024?

Calculated Risk

How much will the economy grow in 2024? A year ago, I argued that "the economy will avoid recession" in 2023, even though some key indicators suggested a possible recession, the FOMC was forecasting an employment recession, and many Wall Street analysts were forecasting an economic recession. Or will the economy lose jobs?

Economy 200
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Thursday links: investment and entertainment

Abnormal Returns

Gox disappeared overnight in 2014." washingtonpost.com) Economy High inflation at this point is primarily a function of housing. (fortunesandfrictions.com) What lessons are investors going to take away from 2022? axios.com) The FTX empire is complicated to say the least. frontofficesports.com) How FTX will affect Web3.

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10 Tuesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

These urban centers have become a class of their own — “superstar cities” — with outsized impact on the American economy fueled by the clustering of workers with degrees. ( PC Magazine ) • This New Airline Is Raising the Bar, From First Class to Economy : Starlux has officially begun flying in the US. Let’s hope we’re ready. (

Economy 261