The Big Picture

OCTOBER 24, 2022

We talk about everything from when do you think about risk, how do you diversify a portfolio, at what point do you really have to rethink the fundamentals of what’s going on in the economy and the marketplace? And how do we think about them from a valuation perspective? I found this conversation to be absolutely fascinating.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

economy is in or about to enter recession, so we thought a piece on what a recession might mean for the stock market would be of interest. economy is not currently in recession, odds are still perhaps a coin flip or better that one may come in the next year. While Friday’s strong jobs report provides more evidence that the U.S.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Valuation 52

James Hendries

OCTOBER 18, 2022

During the worst of the Financial Crisis (Q3 2008 through Q1 2009), more than 50% of S&P 500 companies hit their earnings targets each quarter. economy in mid-March, 62% of S&P 500 companies beat estimates, and aggregate earnings were within one percentage point of expectations. Quincy Krosby , Ph.D.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economics 52

James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

The median performance, at 25.4%, is a better representation of where stocks might normally be at this stage because it takes out the ferocious V-shaped rebounds coming out of the 2008-2009 Great Financial Crisis and the early stages of the pandemic in March 2020. economy and corporate America has been impressive.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Valuation 52

James Hendries

OCTOBER 11, 2022

Memories of 2008-2009 are still vivid even though global banks, overall, are in much healthier shape due to stringent regulations put in place following the crisis. If an economy needs to see inflation easing, it makes little sense to stimulate the economy through tax cuts while tightening monetary policy by raising interest rates.

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Marketing Marketing Banking Government 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

The news on the economy and corporate profits hasn’t been great lately, but thanks to low expectations, it’s been good enough to push stocks nicely higher. As shown in Figure 2 , the 90% level has historically signaled the start of new bull markets coming off of major lows such as 2009, 2011, 2018-2019, and 2020. Encouraging Signs.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Valuation 52

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 5, 2023

And we’d sort of turn that into a valuation business. MILLER: Well actually I thought, leading up to the great financial crisis, I thought to myself, we’re going to be out of business within a couple of years because nobody wanted an independent valuation. What are the, you know, I’d literally have it in my handheld.

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