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Transcript: Tom Hancock, GMO

The Big Picture

That’s the key to quality investing. I could maybe flip that around a little bit since I think particularly post 2008, 2009, the quality style of investing has become a lot more popular. 00:25:03 [Speaker Changed] Another research piece you put out, I found kind of intriguing quality investing for greed and fear.

Valuation 130
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Myth-Busting with Momentum: How to Pursue the Premium

ClearMoney

Exhibit 4 shows marked inconsistency in valuation characteristics for the three largest US equity momentum funds during the value premium rally of late 2020 through early 2021. See, for example, the Fama/French US Momentum Factor’s return of –83.16% in 2009. Up-momentum: Stocks ranking high on prior return relative to the market.

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New Bull May Need a Breather | Weekly Market Commentary | June 26, 2023

James Hendries

The median performance, at 25.4%, is a better representation of where stocks might normally be at this stage because it takes out the ferocious V-shaped rebounds coming out of the 2008-2009 Great Financial Crisis and the early stages of the pandemic in March 2020. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal.

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Low Bar for Earnings Season | Weekly Market Commentary | October 17, 2022

James Hendries

The challenges are many, with intense cost pressures and slowing economic growth at the top of the list. These headwinds include slower economic growth, cost pressures amid high inflation, ongoing supply chain issues, geopolitical instability in Europe and Asia, and significant currency drag from a very strong U.S. Numerous Headwinds.

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Recency Bias!!!

Walkner Condon Financial Advisors

Since the moment the stock market’s deep dive brought on by the Great Recession bottomed out in early 2009 – almost 15 years ago now – recency bias has continued to support the same behavior as home equity bias — buy American stocks! In Chapter One (2000-2009), that almanac will reveal that U.S. Sounds unstoppable, right?

Assets 59
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Case for Recession Weakens | Weekly Market Commentary | August 8, 2022

James Hendries

Market strategists and pundits make the relationship between recessions and the stock market seem binary, but each economic contraction is different and has different effects on earnings. First, keep in mind that stocks tend to look forward by four to six months and can provide warnings of changing economic conditions. How can this be?

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Pockets of Vulnerabilities | Weekly Market Commentary | October 10, 2022

James Hendries

Memories of 2008-2009 are still vivid even though global banks, overall, are in much healthier shape due to stringent regulations put in place following the crisis. The British pound had been weakening for some time amid a backdrop of dollar strength and a poor economic outlook as the U.K. has been wracked by rising energy costs.