Fri.Nov 29, 2024

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (November 30–December 1)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" – this week's edition kicks off with the news that a recent study from Cerulli Associates shows that consumer trust in financial services companies has increased significantly over the past decade, with firms that provide a more personalized approach to providing financial advice seeing the best results.

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Never Mix Payroll and Household Survey Data

The Big Picture

@TBPInvictus here (link is now to Bluesky) Let’s cut to the chase: A Hoover Institution analysis of California private job creation is off by a factor of 100. Between January 2022 and June 2024, the state created 523,700 private sector jobs — not 5,400 as claimed. MSM uncritically repeated the false number. I spend far too much time debunking economic b t.

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Q4 GDP Tracking: Mid 2% Range

Calculated Risk

From Goldman: Following [Wednesday]’s data, we have left our Q4 GDP tracking estimate unchanged at +2.4% (quarter-over-quarter annualized) and our Q4 domestic final sales forecast unchanged at +2.0%. [Nov 27th estimate] And from the Atlanta Fed: GDPNow The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2024 is 2.7 percent on November 27, up from 2.6 percent on November 19.

Economics 147
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Friday links: the siren song of FOMO

Abnormal Returns

Markets A look at the best performing stocks of the past 20 years. (bespokepremium.com) The great bond bull market is over. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Strategy No one is immune from investment FOMO. (awealthofcommonsense.com) How much foreign equity does your target-date fund own? (wsj.com) Finance The ownership base of Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.A) stock is set to dramatically change.

Media 162
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Live Demo - Supercharge your Month End Close

Automation generally supercharges any process and brings its value to the forefront. See how infusing automation such as ART (our month-end close solution), into your close can get you to the next level of closing. We will share a live demo of SkyStem's solution, ART and share the key elements of month-end close automation. Through ART, we'll take a look at: What month-end close automation entails Which process steps can and should be automated Benefits of achieving process automation, and Why i

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Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 21.7% Year-over-year due to Timing of Thanksgiving

Calculated Risk

From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 23 November Due to the Thanksgiving calendar shift , the U.S. hotel industry reported higher year-over-year performance comparisons, according to CoStar’s latest data through 23 November. 17-23 November 2024 (percentage change from comparable week in 2023): • Occupancy: 59.7% (+20.7%) • Average daily rate (ADR): US$150.49 (+8.6%) • Revenue per available room (RevPAR): US$89.80 (+31.1%) emphasis added The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for

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Podcast links: recycled guests

Abnormal Returns

Listening Podcasters are increasingly wary of recycling guests. (bloomberg.com) Now CEOs want to go on podcasts to tell their stories. (semafor.com) Don't kid yourself, podcasting isn't an easy business. (garbageday.email) The best psychology podcasts including 'The Psychology Podcast with Scott Barry Kaufman.' (psypost.org) VC Matt Reustle talks VC secondaries with Ravi Viswanathan is the founder and Managing Partner of NewView Capital.

Investing 147

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The Most Misunderstood Bull Market Ever | Jim Paulsen

Validea

In this episode of Excess Returns, Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau sit down with veteran investment strategist Jim Paulsen to discuss the current market landscape and economic outlook. Paulsen, author of Paulson Perspectives on Substack, shares unique insights on why traditional recession indicators have failed, how Main Street sentiment impacts markets, and why he remains optimistic despite widespread pessimism.

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This $7 Trillion Pile Won’t Save the Bulls

Advisor Perspectives

The money-market industry just reached a significant milestone with Crane Data reporting that these cash-like funds have amassed a record $7 trillion in assets. There are many ways to think about this development.

Assets 59
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Validea’s Top 10 Peter Lynch Stocks – November 2024

Validea

Peter Lynch built his reputation managing Fidelity’s Magellan Fund, and Validea has developed a systematic approach based on his key principles. At its core, this strategy seeks companies offering growth at a reasonable price (GARP). The foundation of this approach is the Price-to-Earnings Growth (PEG) ratio – found by comparing a company’s P/E ratio to its earnings growth rate.

Numbers 52
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AI in Asset and Wealth Management: Going Beyond the Hype

Advisor Perspectives

AI can be a powerful tool, but one that demands thoughtful, measured implementation. Taking thoughtful steps now to integrate and innovate with AI will keep you competitive. Turn your back on it and you’re probably not in business in the long run.

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The Hidden Science Behind Why Finance Teams Resist Change—And How to Fix It

Speaker: Kim Beynon, CPA, CGMA, PMP

The most overlooked, yet most critical, element of transformation is preparing people for change. Automation and AI aren't just technical upgrades, they’re cultural shifts which can challenge identities. That’s why change management isn’t a side project—it’s the foundation. In finance, where precision and process rule, navigating change can feel especially disruptive.

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Professional Adviser: Mindset, talent, and culture: How to leverage disruptive technology for growth

SEI

Collaboration is critical for organisational change.

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Treasury Yields Snapshot: November 29, 2024

Advisor Perspectives

The yield on the 10-year note ended November 29, 2024 at 4.18%, the 2-year note ended at 4.13%, and the 30-year at 4.36%.

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Arrow Global Selects SEI as a Strategic Growth Partner

SEI

Breadth of Global Offering Enables Customization and Business Transformation for Private Credit Funds

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Moving Averages: S&P Finishes November 2024 Up 5.7%

Advisor Perspectives

Valid until the market close on December 31, 2024 This article provides an update on the monthly moving averages we track for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the close of the last business day of the month.

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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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Chicago PMI Edged Lower in November

Advisor Perspectives

The latest Chicago Purchasing Manager's Index (Chicago Business Barometer) fell to 40.2 in November from 41.6 in October. The latest reading is worse than the 44.9 forecast and keeps the index in contraction territory for a twelfth straight month.

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One Spark Away from Ignition

Advisor Perspectives

The U.S. economy faces growing risks, from a surging Federal deficit to geopolitical uncertainty. Investors must assess how these factors could ignite market instability and take proactive steps to safeguard their portfolios.

Economy 52
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ChatGPT’s $8 Trillion Birthday Gift to Big Tech

Advisor Perspectives

Saturday marks two years since OpenAI posted an oddly named widget called ChatGPT to the web. Its staffers placed bets on how many users it would accumulate, the highest estimate being 100,000. How wrong they were.

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The Vintage Year for US Stock Markets That Few People Expected

Advisor Perspectives

2024 is set to enter Wall Street’s hall of fame of bull years.

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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Are Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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Buffett’s Life Advice May Be More Valuable Than His Portfolio

Advisor Perspectives

On Monday, Warren Buffett announced that he was donating more than $1 billion in Berkshire Hathaway Inc. shares to four family foundations — a continuation of his commitment to give away the vast majority of his wealth to charity rather than pass it on to his family.

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Chaotic Commitments at COP29

Advisor Perspectives

We are prone to animal analogies when describing disorderly situations: like herding cats, like a barrel full of monkeys, like a dog’s breakfast.

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Ideas for the “Bookends” of Your Advisory Business

Advisor Perspectives

As students across the country start to prepare for year-end exams, there are valuable lessons we can take from the classroom.

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Groundhog Day Meets Back to the Future - Our November 2024 Market Commentary

Advisor Perspectives

Another election season has come to an end. While there are opposing feelings about the outcome of the election, I think everyone agrees that they are happy it is over.

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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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Will a “Red Wave” Affect Municipal Bonds’ Tax-Exempt Status?

Advisor Perspectives

Wholesale elimination of tax exemption isn’t likely, but certain types of muni bonds could be targets.

Taxes 52
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Payment Scams Are Surging. Banks Need Help

Advisor Perspectives

’Tis the season for a surge in financial frauds and scams, a huge and growing problem that caused nearly $500 billion in losses globally last year, along with untold human suffering.

Banking 52
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Comcast’s Spinoff Plan Is Too Good to Ditch for Quick Cash

Advisor Perspectives

“Think of what we could do together” is a touching line at the denouement of Wicked: Part 1 , the movie currently raking it in at the box office for Comcast Corp.’s Universal Pictures.

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Choosing Municipal Bonds: GO or Revenue?

Advisor Perspectives

You're interested in investing in municipal bonds, but which type—general obligation or revenue—is best for you? We break it down.

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How to Avoid Pitfalls In Automation: Keep Humans In the Loop

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

Automation is transforming finance but without strong financial oversight it can introduce more risk than reward. From missed discrepancies to strained vendor relationships, accounts payable automation needs a human touch to deliver lasting value. This session is your playbook to get automation right. We’ll explore how to balance speed with control, boost decision-making through human-machine collaboration, and unlock ROI with fewer errors, stronger fraud prevention, and smoother operations.

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Corporate Bond ETFs Are Fueling a Rise in Monster Block Trades

Advisor Perspectives

The boom in portfolio trading, where investors can buy or sell scores of corporate bonds with just a few clicks of a mouse, is fueling mega trades that were rare in credit markets just a few years ago.

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US Bitcoin ETFs Head for Record Monthly Inflow on Trump Optimism

Advisor Perspectives

A group of one dozen US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds is on the cusp of a record monthly net inflow, bolstered by the digital asset’s historic surge toward $100,000 on President-elect Donald Trump’s embrace of crypto.

Assets 52