The Big Picture
OCTOBER 23, 2022
It’s all about your core audience. I know you’ve heard this a zillion times, all that stuff about a thousand true fans, but that’s not what I’m talking about here. Sure, first and foremost you need a fan base, but once you have one, IGNORE THE EXTERNAL, IT’S A WASTE OF TIME! I know, you’re sitting at home wondering how you can be bigger, how your act can break.
Calculated Risk
OCTOBER 23, 2022
Every year I track seasonal retail hiring for hints about holiday retail sales. At the bottom of this post is a graph showing the correlation between October seasonal hiring and holiday retail sales. Here is a graph of retail hiring for previous years based on the BLS employment report: Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the historical net retail jobs added for October, November and December by year.
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Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 23, 2022
Also on the site As a content creator, authenticity is the only path forward. (abnormalreturns.com) Celebrating our 17th blogiversary and a book giveaway. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week How market bottoms are made. (ritholtz.com) Why we would be better off just giving up alcohol. (theincidentaleconomist.com) What a stock market bottom looks like.
A Wealth of Common Sense
OCTOBER 23, 2022
One of the most frequently used analogies in the personal finance space is the similarities between staying physically fit and staying financially fit. Success in both your finances and your health requires some fairly simple rules. To stay healthy you have to eat right and exercise regularly. To build wealth you have to spend less than you earn and invest the difference.
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Calculated Risk
OCTOBER 23, 2022
Weekend: • Schedule for Week of October 23, 2022 Monday: • At 8:30 AM ET, Chicago Fed National Activity Index for September. This is a composite index of other data. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 are up 38 and DOW futures are up 244 (fair value). Oil prices were down over the last week with WTI futures at $85.05 per barrel and Brent at $93.50 per barrel.
Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 23, 2022
Markets The launch of the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF ($BITO) nearly top-ticked the market. (bloomberg.com) Money market mutual funds may no longer be the best place for short term cash. (wsj.com) Speculating about the Fed's next move is wasted effort. (allstarcharts.com) Corporate fraud Hindenberg Research got it right on Nikola ($NKLA). (nytimes.com) Pyramid of Lies - Duncan Mavin's book on the Greensill Capital debacle "Pyramid of Lies" is 'great.
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Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)
OCTOBER 23, 2022
By Sandy Schussel As I was preparing to present a workshop in Indiana to a room full of young financial advisors, I overheard a small group of them discussing fishing. “Chris,” I called out to one of them at the beginning of the workshop. “When you go fishing, are you looking for just anything that will take your bait, or are you aiming for something specific?”.
Integrity Financial Planning
OCTOBER 23, 2022
For decades, the name of the personal finances game has been an asset or equity growth. High-growth tech stocks grew to dominate the market, some of which have grown to be among the largest companies in the world. And if you owned stock in those companies while they made their meteoric rise, your overall wealth may have ballooned in the process. But how safe do you feel with your wealth in those stocks during a recession?
Random Roger's Retirement Planning
OCTOBER 23, 2022
In doing some research for another post, I found an old blog I wrote ages ago that touches on the same area. It was titled Should Investors Try To Hedge Tail Risk which I wrote in 2010. It makes for interesting reading because how many fewer ways there were to protect against extreme market events back then. I'm sure there were more funds than I knew about but the space has expanded dramatically both with traditional mutual funds and ETFs.
Trade Brains
OCTOBER 23, 2022
Fundamental Analysis of Adani Total Gas: ATGL is the least leveraged company of the ports-to-power conglomerate the Adani Group. Its debt-to-equity ratio is only 0.41. Yes, ‘only’ when comparing it with other Adani Group companies. If Adani were to repeat the saga, ATGL can expand multi-fold by piling more debt from the present levels. With the government going bullish on awarding gas distribution networks, do you think Adani Total Gas is set for explosive growth?
Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive
Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.
Clever Girl Finance
OCTOBER 23, 2022
We’ve all been there. Whether it’s a money question at the wrong time, wondering how much to tip, or a tiff over splitting the check, money etiquette affects everyone. Examples of money etiquette can include how to split costs with someone else, how to appropriately reward exceptional work , how to discuss salary, and how to borrow or lend money. Most of us probably believe we know how to behave, but all of us are capable of making money mistakes as well.
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 23, 2022
Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • As Covid Hit, Washington Officials Traded Stocks With Exquisite Timing : Some sold in January 2020 when the government began mobilizing against the threat. Others bought shares as a market-rescue plan was taking shape. ( Wall Street Journal ). • How Binance CEO and aides plotted to dodge regulators in U.S. and UK : A plan to “insulate” itself from the SEC.
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