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Client Letter | Big Week for Market Watchers | August 3, 2022

James Hendries

The rule of thumb is two quarters of negative GDP defines a recession, but the official definition by the National Bureau of Economic Research is broader than that. Market-based interest rates those not controlled by the Fed—have come down quite a bit, supporting stock valuations. economy contracted for the second straight quarter.

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Client Letter | Looking Ahead | November 2, 2022

James Hendries

Still, as we survey what are better equity valuations, long-awaited income opportunities in the bond market, and a likely less-antagonistic Fed in 2023, there may be emerging reasons to believe that the next year may be more constructive than the last. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Clients 52
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Three Things to Know About Recessions | Weekly Market Commentary | October 24, 2022

James Hendries

Technical Definition. First, a recession has an important technical definition that’s different than what many people think. Often that view is a good general approximation but not the technical definition. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-to-earnings valuation ratio. All index data from FactSet.

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Market, Stocks, and Bonds Lessons Learned from 2022 | Weekly Market Commentary | January 9, 2023

James Hendries

economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations. The relationship between inflation and stock valuations is a strong one, as shown in Figure 2 , which meant the market could no longer support price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios over 20 (the same goes for the relationship between interest rates and stock valuations).

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New Bull May Need a Breather | Weekly Market Commentary | June 26, 2023

James Hendries

While the 20% qualifier meets the technical definition of a bull market, there is additional evidence supporting the transition from a bear to bull market. Investment Outlook Stocks have had a strong rally over the past eight months to establish a new bull market. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

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Capital Markets: The Essence of American Capitalism | Weekly Market Commentary | July 03, 2023

James Hendries

Investment Conclusion Stocks have celebrated the newly minted bull market, closing out one of the best first halves for the S&P 500 in recent decades, up 15.9%, and a third consecutive quarterly gain over 7%. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-to-earnings valuation ratio. All index data from FactSet.

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Global Portfolio Strategy | November 8, 2022

James Hendries

It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio. For a list of descriptions of the indexes referenced in this publication, please visit our website at lplresearch.com/definitions. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.