Truemind Capital

JULY 5, 2024

A client said – I understand market valuations are expensive but it doesn’t seem that it will correct much. The fundamental driver of market peaks and exorbitant valuations is the perception that there is nothing to worry about – there is no investment risk. Certainly not if you are sticking to your asset allocation.

Asset Allocation 65

Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing Valuation 65

The Big Picture

APRIL 29, 2025

We learned everything, you know, across from accounting to auditing to, to tax and valuation. I ended up in what was called the valuation services group, where we valued real estate and businesses either for transactions or for m and a activity. You know, in those days these companies hired, you know, crops of undergrads.

Management 130

Management Assets Portfolio Insurance 130

Discipline Funds

DECEMBER 10, 2024

There’s increasing chatter about the US government starting a “strategic Bitcoin reserve” I will be blunt about this – I have no idea why any government would want to do this. So governments don’t need to hold reserves of Bitcoin or gold. And their market has been decimated in the last few years.

Government 103

Government Asset Allocation Assets Valuation 103

Truemind Capital

JULY 19, 2024

On June 4, the election results showed that the ruling BJP did not achieve a majority on its own, although it remained the largest party in a coalition government. Given the high valuations and fuzzy near-term outlook, our ideal strategy is to stick the asset allocation framework which best suits our risk profile.

Financial Market 52

Financial Market Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing 52

Truemind Capital

MAY 27, 2024

There could be the following three broader outcomes on 4th June: Outcome #1 NDA forming the government with BJP winning the full majority on its own: This is the most probabilistic scenario as per the investment community which means that this scenario is already discounted in the stock prices. This outcome is perceived as less probable.

Government 52

Government Asset Allocation Valuation Investing 52

Truemind Capital

JUNE 30, 2022

To ensure the stability of the Government and keep its popularity maintained, the policymakers are forced to work out solutions to curb inflation and inflationary expectations. This strategy based on possibilities is called tactical asset allocation which always leads to higher portfolio returns at a given level of risk.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing Valuation 52

Truemind Capital

APRIL 21, 2023

Thankfully, the Governments intervened to avoid major spillover effects on the overall economy. Higher valuation of Indian markets compared to Global peers along with negligible earnings growth also didn’t help. The rising risk of Global financial uncertainties affected Indian markets as well. The Adani saga also aggravated volatility.

Financial Market 52

Financial Market Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation 52

Truemind Capital

NOVEMBER 29, 2020

Thus, by debasement of the currency, they were able to make more coins which led to higher spending by the Government. Fast forward to the present times, the gold standard is not used by any government now. This has resulted in skyrocketing valuations of the stock markets. Britain abolished the gold standard in 1931.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Valuation Assets Portfolio 52

Truemind Capital

OCTOBER 18, 2024

The assumption that asset prices will keep rising can quickly be challenged by things like escalating geopolitical tensions, a U.S. This is where our disciplined dynamic asset allocation approach will really shine, keeping us steady through any rough waters ahead. The Sep’24 ending PE Ratio of 24.8x

Financial Market 52

Financial Market Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

MARCH 13, 2023

Instead, we got a shockingly fast collapse of a financial institution with over $200 billion in assets, which turned the market’s focus toward the stability of the banking system and what systemic risks banks might be facing. But valuations strongly favor value over growth. The S&P 600 small cap index has returned about 1.5%

Assets 52

Assets Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

JULY 13, 2022

Increased equity exposure in tactical asset allocation from 62% to 65%. Reduced low duration core bond allocation and increased allocation to small cap equities. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) changed its recommended asset allocation for July, shifting from core bonds to small cap equities.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Taxes Investment Advisor 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 30, 2018

While February’s volatility did not materially change our asset allocation views, it reinforced to us the importance of a comprehensive discussion about how we think about risk and how we manage it. Our asset allocation process accounts for a wide range of potential outcomes over the next 18–36 months.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Portfolio Assets Valuation 52

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 27, 2022

The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee is increasing its recommended interest rate exposure in its tactical allocation from underweight to neutral. Earnings per share (EPS) is the portion of a company’s profit allocated to each outstanding share of common stock. All index data from FactSet.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing Assets 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 28, 2019

As we stated in “Confronting the Unknown,” our 2018 asset allocation publication, standard deviation is “a helpful shortcut for thinking about risk, but it is not a fully effective proxy.” The “shoestring curve” below depicts these risks for a hypothetical portfolio, assuming various asset allocation targets.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Portfolio Assets Clients 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 28, 2019

As we stated in “Confronting the Unknown,” our 2018 asset allocation publication, standard deviation is “a helpful shortcut for thinking about risk, but it is not a fully effective proxy.” The “shoestring curve” below depicts these risks for a hypothetical portfolio, assuming various asset allocation targets.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Portfolio Assets Clients 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) made no changes to its recommended asset allocation for August. Corporate bonds are considered higher risk than government bonds. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio. We could see a retest of 3.5%

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Taxes Investment Advisor 52

Truemind Capital

JANUARY 16, 2024

Despite reducing overall liquidity and increasing interest rates by the FED, the widening of the government fiscal deficit, a tight labor market, rising wages, receding inflation, and positive wealth effects helped maintain abundant liquidity and boosted sentiments.

Financial Market 52

Financial Market Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation 52

Brown Advisory

FEBRUARY 15, 2019

Later in the year, markets became anxious about other topics, such as a potential economic slowdown, a new level of dysfunction in Washington (including unusual executive challenges to the Fed's independence and an extended partial government shutdown), and escalating trade disputes between the U.S.

Valuation 52

Valuation Clients Portfolio Investing 52

Brown Advisory

JULY 24, 2018

But beyond the economic cycle’s age, several factors suggest that a more defensive mindset is worth considering: Valuations are elevated. Robust Q1 2018 earnings growth improved the valuation picture for U.S. It is worth noting that valuations are more reasonable in developed international and emerging markets; however, U.S.

Valuation 52

Valuation Economics Asset Allocation Clients 52

Brown Advisory

JULY 24, 2018

But beyond the economic cycle’s age, several factors suggest that a more defensive mindset is worth considering: Valuations are elevated. Robust Q1 2018 earnings growth improved the valuation picture for U.S. It is worth noting that valuations are more reasonable in developed international and emerging markets; however, U.S.

Valuation 52

Valuation Economics Asset Allocation Clients 52

James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective. At the same time, the resilience of the U.S.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Valuation 52

James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations. The relationship between inflation and stock valuations is a strong one, as shown in Figure 2 , which meant the market could no longer support price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios over 20 (the same goes for the relationship between interest rates and stock valuations).

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Banking 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 3, 2015

equity market: A comparatively quick interest rate increase counteracts the benefit from stronger economic growth, impairing profitability and valuations. Concern about future economic growth undermines valuations. equity valuations exceed the historical average and the strong dollar poses headwinds to corporate profitability.

Valuation 52

Valuation Economy Banking Economics 52

James Hendries

MARCH 6, 2023

Industry data already show declining rent prices, so it’s just a matter of time before the official government statistics reflect that easing. Higher interest rates are challenging stock valuations and perhaps pushing the gains further out in 2023, but we still see solid potential for double-digit returns for stocks this year.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 52

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 Corporate bonds are considered higher risk than government bonds. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Taxes Government Investment Advisor 52

ClearMoney

NOVEMBER 4, 2021

As with many things in life, the truth is somewhere between the extremes: While both simulated and real-world data suggest momentum may not be suitable as a driver of long-term asset allocations, we believe momentum considerations can be integrated in a cost-effective way to help inform daily portfolio management decisions.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Commission Portfolio Assets 52

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

One equity market debate discussed frequently in the LPL Research Strategic & Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) is the growth vs. value style reversal experienced the past 12 months. Increasing the discount rate, which lowers the present value of future cash flows, and company valuations.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Valuation 52

Investing Caffeine

APRIL 1, 2022

Even our government is now attempting to increase supply by releasing up to 180 million barrels of oil from our country’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve (the largest release in the almost 50-year history of the reserve ), while also pushing for penalties on those energy companies sitting on unused permits (i.e., Source: Yardeni.com.

Economy 59

Economy Economics Valuation Investing 59

James Hendries

DECEMBER 12, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 Corporate bonds are considered higher risk than government bonds. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Taxes Asset Allocation Investing 52

James Hendries

DECEMBER 4, 2022

Retailer valuations have also taken a hit, as the forward (next 12 months) P/E multiple has contracted ~20% year to date, from ~27x to ~22x currently. Earnings per share (EPS) is the portion of a company’s profit allocated to each outstanding share of common stock. All index data from Bloomberg. 12/2023).

Retail 52

Retail Marketing Marketing Sales 52

James Hendries

OCTOBER 7, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) upgraded its view of duration to neutral. Corporate bonds are considered higher risk than government bonds. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio. Municipal bonds are subject to availability and change in price.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Taxes Investment Advisor Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 8, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) downgraded its view of emerging market (EM) equities in August. Corporate bonds are considered higher risk than government bonds. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Taxes Investment Advisor Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 3, 2022

Still, as we survey what are better equity valuations, long-awaited income opportunities in the bond market, and a likely less-antagonistic Fed in 2023, there may be emerging reasons to believe that the next year may be more constructive than the last. Asset allocation does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss.

Clients 52

Clients Asset Allocation Investment Advisor Assets 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

Job gains were broad-based and especially prominent in sectors such as education, health care, and government. We maintain our preference for equities over fixed income and cash in our recommended tactical asset allocation. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-to-earnings valuation ratio. 08/23).

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. Concentration: Much of the U.S.

Management 52

Management Investing Investments Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. Concentration: Much of the U.S. Risks in Bonds.

Management 52

Management Investing Investments Valuation 52

James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

As such, we don’t think it will be long before official government numbers reflect the decrease in rent prices. LPL’s Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) recommends a neutral tactical allocation to equities, with a modest overweight to fixed income funded from cash. All index data from FactSet.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Communication 52