Truemind Capital

JUNE 30, 2022

The quantum of money printing jumped massively after Corona-led economic shutdowns. The liquidity support since 2008 and massive stimulus post March 2020 has inflated all the asset prices be it equity, debt, or real estate. US Fed increased its balance sheet size from ~$4-4.5 trillion to ~$8-8.5 trillion in a span of just 2 years.

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Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 11, 2016

September 2016 Insights on Markets and Investments achen Mon, 09/12/2016 - 01:00 In this issue: Investors Facing Rising Risks Need Solid Defense, Savvy Offense Increasing political and economic risk during the past year has widened the range of possible positive and negative scenarios for financial markets.

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Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 11, 2016

In this issue: Investors Facing Rising Risks Need Solid Defense, Savvy Offense Increasing political and economic risk during the past year has widened the range of possible positive and negative scenarios for financial markets. By Taylor Graff, Head of Asset Allocation Research and Ed Chadwyck-Healey, Head of International Private Clients ?

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Investing Investments Asset Allocation Marketing 52

Truemind Capital

NOVEMBER 29, 2020

This has resulted in skyrocketing valuations of the stock markets. Nifty currently is trading at a multi-year’s high valuation. Whereas, the complete economic recovery is still far away and uncertain in terms of its timing and structure. Rising number of cases in Europe has been affecting the economic recovery.

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James Hendries

MARCH 13, 2023

Instead, we got a shockingly fast collapse of a financial institution with over $200 billion in assets, which turned the market’s focus toward the stability of the banking system and what systemic risks banks might be facing. Recent economic data has pointed to continued growth—giving rise to the “no landing” narrative.

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Brown Advisory

MAY 31, 2017

EUROPEAN RE-ENTRY: Why We Are Shifting Portfolios Toward European Stocks achen Thu, 06/01/2017 - 02:47 Asset allocation—at least for us—is an exercise in nuance. We move slowly and carefully when it comes to shifting our portfolios away from one asset class or region and toward another.

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Portfolio Asset Allocation Valuation Economics 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 31, 2017

Asset allocation—at least for us—is an exercise in nuance. We move slowly and carefully when it comes to shifting our portfolios away from one asset class or region and toward another. EUROPEAN RE-ENTRY: Why We Are Shifting Portfolios Toward European Stocks. Thu, 06/01/2017 - 02:47.

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Portfolio Asset Allocation Valuation Economics 52

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 27, 2022

The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee is increasing its recommended interest rate exposure in its tactical allocation from underweight to neutral. As we know from historical precedents, when the Fed aggressively raises rates, economic growth slows or outright contracts, which is the Fed’s goal.

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Brown Advisory

JULY 24, 2018

Strong Defense: The Falling Opportunity Cost of Allocating to Bonds ajackson Tue, 07/24/2018 - 09:25 For years, “defense” in portfolios—i.e., allocations to cash and core fixed income holdings—has meant a willingness to accept extremely low returns. Robust Q1 2018 earnings growth improved the valuation picture for U.S.

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Valuation Economics Asset Allocation Clients 52

Brown Advisory

JULY 24, 2018

allocations to cash and core fixed income holdings—has meant a willingness to accept extremely low returns. But after many years of economic recovery, we finally have reached a point where defensive allocations once again provide a reasonable yield. Robust Q1 2018 earnings growth improved the valuation picture for U.S.

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Truemind Capital

OCTOBER 18, 2024

Combined with India’s own economic strength and lower interest rates, asset prices—stocks, real estate, gold—could rise even further. The assumption that asset prices will keep rising can quickly be challenged by things like escalating geopolitical tensions, a U.S. What does this mean for India? But so will inflation!

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Investing Caffeine

JUNE 3, 2024

Bad economic news turned out to be good news for stocks. This time around, good economic news meant bad news for stock prices, primarily because the Federal Reserve was slamming the brakes on the economy by increasing the Federal Funds interest rate target. The S&P 500 surged +16.3% (see chart below). What did the stock market do?

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Dear Mr. Market

AUGUST 5, 2022

Inflation is currently at 40 year highs with increasing signs of slowing economic growth. We’re currently seeing one of the largest disparities in valuations between growth and value stocks which in our opinion presents a very appealing opportunity for dividend seeking investors.

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Brown Advisory

MARCH 30, 2018

While February’s volatility did not materially change our asset allocation views, it reinforced to us the importance of a comprehensive discussion about how we think about risk and how we manage it. Our asset allocation process accounts for a wide range of potential outcomes over the next 18–36 months.

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Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 29, 2016

Alternatively, nonprofits can boost potential portfolio returns, which often means tolerating more risk and illiquidity, through a recalibration of asset allocation— the single biggest driver of long-term gains. Reassess asset allocation. Consider changes to portfolio construction. and Germany—have fueled volatility.

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The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 6, 2024

There’s also quantitative metrics that we look at Those have evolved, but always within that capa, that cluster of high returns on investment stability across the economic cycle are consistent and strong balance sheets. And actually Ben Inker is the head of our asset allocation group. 00:18:41 [Speaker Changed] Yep.

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Truemind Capital

JANUARY 16, 2024

Contrary to the expectation of an economic slowdown in 2023, the year turned out to be full of surprises, mostly positive ones. Some of the fund managers continued discouraging flows in Mid & Small Cap stocks by either sounding cautious, dropping coverage, or stopping the inflows owing to frothy valuations in the space.

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James Hendries

JULY 13, 2022

Increased equity exposure in tactical asset allocation from 62% to 65%. Reduced low duration core bond allocation and increased allocation to small cap equities. Although energy prices came down some, weakening economic data and the lack of a cease-fire in Ukraine offset the modest gas price relief.

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James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective. At the same time, the resilience of the U.S.

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Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Valuation 52

James Hendries

MARCH 6, 2023

Economic activity does not stop like an airplane eventually does, but rather the economy will settle into a steady state where growth is consistent with factors such as population and productivity. Perhaps that was not the first time market watchers used the term, but the conversations at the Economic Club of New York were prescient.

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Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 52

James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

Lessons learned: Economic forecasts The Fed’s bark was as bad as its bite! economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations. The hit to valuations in the form of about 4 P/E points (21 to 17) translates into a roughly 20% drop in the S&P 500 Index. Here are some of our lessons learned from 2022.

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Brown Advisory

FEBRUARY 15, 2019

Later in the year, markets became anxious about other topics, such as a potential economic slowdown, a new level of dysfunction in Washington (including unusual executive challenges to the Fed's independence and an extended partial government shutdown), and escalating trade disputes between the U.S. equity exposure.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 3, 2015

The economic expansion is weak and inflation is still below the central bank’s 2% target. equity market: A comparatively quick interest rate increase counteracts the benefit from stronger economic growth, impairing profitability and valuations. Concern about future economic growth undermines valuations.

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Valuation Economy Banking Economics 52

Truemind Capital

SEPTEMBER 13, 2021

Sentiment cycles move from one extreme of greed to another extreme of fear which takes valuations also to extremes from their long-term averages. At the extreme of fear sentiment (which coincides with dirt-cheap valuations), the risk-reward is highly favorable i.e., higher potential upside with lower potential downside risk.

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Marketing Marketing Valuation Retail 52

James Hendries

DECEMBER 4, 2022

Economic and corporate data support the initial strong reads on holiday retail sales despite the macro headwinds, reinforcing the idea that today’s consumer is in a better position than usual at this point in the business cycle. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change.

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Brown Advisory

MARCH 28, 2019

As we stated in “Confronting the Unknown,” our 2018 asset allocation publication, standard deviation is “a helpful shortcut for thinking about risk, but it is not a fully effective proxy.” The “shoestring curve” below depicts these risks for a hypothetical portfolio, assuming various asset allocation targets.

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Brown Advisory

MARCH 28, 2019

As we stated in “Confronting the Unknown,” our 2018 asset allocation publication, standard deviation is “a helpful shortcut for thinking about risk, but it is not a fully effective proxy.” The “shoestring curve” below depicts these risks for a hypothetical portfolio, assuming various asset allocation targets.

Asset Allocation 52

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James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

due to expectations of slowing economic growth. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) made no changes to its recommended asset allocation for August. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. We could see a retest of 3.5%

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Investing Caffeine

APRIL 1, 2022

The hangover from COVID has created significant supply chain disruptions and widespread economic shortages. Source: Trading Economics. The rising Baker Hughes drilling rig count below reflects the miracle of supply-demand economics operating in full force. Source: Trading Economics. Source: GasBuddy.com.

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Truemind Capital

MARCH 20, 2020

In good times i.e. when the market valuations are usually very high, everyone agrees to the logic of buying low and selling high. Not understanding the role & importance of tactical asset allocation (overweight debt in euphoric times and overweight equity in a time of acute pessimism) in creating superior returns over the long term.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Valuation Investing Investments 52

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 3, 2022

Some recent softening in economic data, coupled with signals from the bond market, may be indicating that Fed policymakers’ concerted inflation fight may be closer to the end than the beginning. We should also have slowing corporate earnings growth and greater economic uncertainty to contend with, some formidable seas to navigate.

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Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. From an economic perspective, growth in the U.S. In the U.S.,

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Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. From an economic perspective, growth in the U.S. Incremental Equity Risks.

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ClearMoney

NOVEMBER 4, 2021

As with many things in life, the truth is somewhere between the extremes: While both simulated and real-world data suggest momentum may not be suitable as a driver of long-term asset allocations, we believe momentum considerations can be integrated in a cost-effective way to help inform daily portfolio management decisions.

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Validea

SEPTEMBER 29, 2022

Second, if investors aren’t willing to assign the same valuation to stocks (due to higher interest rates and uncertainty), that also has a negative effect. I for one don’t think so and neither does Burton Malkiel, Princeton Economics professor and author of the classic finance book A Random Walk Down Wall Street.

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James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

That’s not suggesting another 2008 is coming, but rather highlights how fast the economic environment can change. Along with the statement, the Committee updated the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), which is arguably more important than the brief monetary policy statement.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

Market strategists and pundits make the relationship between recessions and the stock market seem binary, but each economic contraction is different and has different effects on earnings. First, keep in mind that stocks tend to look forward by four to six months and can provide warnings of changing economic conditions.

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