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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Approaching All-Time High but US Economic Momentum Slowing

Carson Wealth

Other years that saw big returns after down days were 2003, 2008, 2009, 2020, and of course now. Yes, 2008 was a horrible year for stocks, but those other three years all were solid years after hiccups in the first quarter. The tariff mess in April led some forecasters to predict an economic crash as early as this summer.

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RIA Edge Podcast: Schwab’s Jalina Kerr on How Resilient RIAs Can Turn Market Volatility Into Growth

Wealth Management

David Armstrong , Executive Director, Content and User Engagement at WealthManagement.com June 10, 2025 Economic uncertainty, heightened volatility and on-again, off-again trade policies are challenging for investors. Number 8860726.

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Market Commentary: Good Riddance February, Hello March

Carson Wealth

Those other times we saw fear similar to this were times like the recession and near bear market of 1990, October 2008 and March 2009 during the Great Financial Crisis, and the end of the bear market in 2022. And lower exports are a drag on US economic growth. Heres the catch. Wait, Is GDP Growth Really Going To Be Negative in Q1?

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Market Commentary: Seasonal Tailwinds Ahead, but First an Election

Carson Wealth

The last time the S&P 500 fell more than 1% in November was in 2008, and it has been higher 11 of the past 12 years. If economic growth is expected to be strong, there’s presumably less reason for the Fed to cut rates by a lot. However, to a first approximation, yields are essentially expected Fed policy rates in the future.

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Makes a New All-Time High, and a Look at Housing

Carson Wealth

That’s one reason why the 2008–2009 recession was as bad as it was—households were much more levered and when unemployment rose and home prices fell, everything crashed. The greater the leverage, the harder the crash (like in 2008-2009). But it’s worth discussing how large these risks are (or are not).

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Has Another Strong Month, but Watch Out for October Jitters

Carson Wealth

This is true, as 1929, 1987, and 2008 all saw spectacular meltdowns in this spooky month. Of course, a 22% drop in the fourth quarter of 2008 pulled back the average return by a good deal, but to say stocks will be lower three months from now is probably a low probability event. on average, making it the 7 th best month of the year.

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Market Commentary: How Bad Is It?

Carson Wealth

While economic growth may have peaked in the third quarter, we expect the economy to remain supportive. Keep in mind the trajectory of economic growth was not a given, considering the scale of the shocks. This data matters to the Fed for two key reasons: Economic strength solidifies the idea of higher for longer.