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Federal Reserve Preview: Trick or Treat? | Weekly Market Commentary | October 31, 2022

James Hendries

A broad range of data releases, from manufacturing and manufacturing input costs, used cars, gasoline prices, housing, rent, household spending, job openings, and money supply indicate that growth is easing and inflation is moderating as higher rates take their toll on the economy. The Economy Slows But Inflation Follows Too Slowly.

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Low Bar for Earnings Season | Weekly Market Commentary | October 17, 2022

James Hendries

One way to assess downside is to look at the historical relationship between the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index and earnings growth. The S&P 500 is more manufacturing-heavy than the U.S. rather than 4%) could prop up valuations, stocks will likely take their cues from earnings in the near term.

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Should you die and go to hell before selling an annuity?

Sara Grillo

He is a flat fee advisor; not a licensed insurance agent. I am a CFA® charterholder and financial advisor marketing consultant. I have a newsletter in which I talk about financial advisor lead generation topics which is best described as “fun and irreverent.” Should advisors go to hell before selling an annuity?

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Case for Recession Weakens | Weekly Market Commentary | August 8, 2022

James Hendries

Firms ramped up production and increased manufacturing payrolls by roughly 30,000 in July. New jobs in manufacturing are likely due to improved supply chains, and this sector should continue to add jobs as remaining supply bottlenecks improve. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-to-earnings valuation ratio.

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Earnings Recap: Still Hanging in There | Weekly Market Commentary | August 29, 2022

James Hendries

And although the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey has been falling much of this year, the expansionary 52.8 It is a financial ratio used for valuation: a higher PE ratio means that investors are paying more for each unit of net income, so the stock is more expensive compared to one with lower PE ratio.

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Xi Jinping’s Influence to be Tested | Weekly Market Commentary | October 3, 2022

James Hendries

Market reforms, trade with the West, and allowing foreign investment led to an economic boom that was characterized by the World Bank as “the fastest sustained expansion by a major economy in history.” China’s trade relationship with the United States grew at such a rapid pace that it became the chief manufacturer of most imported goods.

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A Feisty Bull-Bear Debate: Weighing the Pros and Cons | Weekly Market Commentary | January 23, 2023

James Hendries

Bear case: Inflation is still high, leading indicators are signaling recession, manufacturing activity and housing market have slowed significantly. Should the Fed pause after a March interest rate hike, the stage may be set for a nice stock market rebound on the back of falling inflation, reasonable valuations, and stable interest rates.