Sun.Feb 19, 2023

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LA Port Inbound Traffic Down 22% YoY in January

Calculated Risk

Notes: The expansion to the Panama Canal was completed in 2016 (As I noted several years ago ), and some of the traffic that used the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach is probably going through the canal. This might be impacting TEUs on the West Coast. Container traffic gives us an idea about the volume of goods being exported and imported - and usually some hints about the trade report since LA area ports handle about 40% of the nation's container port traffic.

Retail 130
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Sunday links: high percentage plays

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Ben Carlson, "You don’t have to manage millions or billions of dollars to succeed as an investor." (awealthofcommonsense.com) How to generate income by selling non-dividend paying shares. (rationalwalk.com) Rising passive management should help active managers, but will it? (evidenceinvestor.com) Policy Why Stanley Fischer has such an outsized influence on central bankers.

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Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus

Calculated Risk

Housing economist Tom Lawler has been sending me his predictions of what the NAR will report for almost 13 years. He has graciously allowed me to share his predictions with the readers of this blog. The table below shows the consensus for each month, Lawler's predictions, and the NAR's initially reported level of sales. Lawler hasn't always been closer than the consensus, but usually when there has been a fairly large spread between Lawler's estimate and the "consensus", Lawler has been closer.

Sales 130
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site Congrats to Ben on ten years of 'A Wealth of Common Sense.' (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Five reasons why this isn't simply a bear market rally. (carsongroup.com) Life lessons from Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.A). (neckar.substack.com) What it looks like to be financially healthy. (thomaskopelman.com) Is $200,000 a good annual income.

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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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[cdata[ Could You Be Owed Money? How to Find Out If You Have Any Missing Money ]]

oXYGen Financial

![CDATA[ Have you ever heard of missingmoney.com? It's a website that could make you richer than you ever imagined, and it's not some kind of scam. In fact, over the last year, the website has paid out over $3 billion in claims to people just like you! According to the website, one in seven people have unclaimed property, and 95% of all claims are filed.

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Why clients don’t do more business with you

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Bryce Sanders Have you ever heard a client say, “I never knew you did that! You never told me!” I have. Years ago, when I was a financial advisor at my former firm, the company got into the mortgage business. Advisors would receive notifications when clients applied for a mortgage elsewhere and their in-house assets needed to be verified. The advisor would comply, then call the client and say, “We do mortgages.

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Talk Your Book: Investing in Quality Growth

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Talk Your Book is brought to you by Jensen Investment Management: We had Kevin Walkush, Portfolio Manager at Jensen Investment Management on the show to discuss investing in quality businesses. On today’s show, we discuss: Jensens quality thesis What Return on Equity is Sector dynamics within the quality factor Discounted cash flow assumptions How to react when the facts change Forward-looking funds vs backw.

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US Housing Market Is Overvalued by Billions Due to Ignored Flood Risk

Advisor Perspectives

US homes in areas prone to floods may be currently overvalued in the range of $121 billion to $237 billion, according to a report published Thursday in the journal Nature Climate Change.

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10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • The people who kill the truth: From a small office building, a group of Israelis is spreading global disruption : The Israelis destabilizing democracy and disrupting elections worldwide. No morals, no qualms, no borders: Tal Hanan and Team Jorge have turned chaos into business ( Haaretz ) see also Revealed: the hacking and disinformation team meddling in elections : ‘Team Jorge’ unit exposed by undercover

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Treasury Bills Offer Stock-Like 5% to Take Fed, Debt-Limit Risk

Advisor Perspectives

For the first time in nearly two decades, investors can earn more than 5% on some of the safest debt securities in the world. That’s competitive with riskier assets like the S&P 500 Index.

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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Are Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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If Consumers Are Saviors, Upcoming Retail Earnings Will Show It

Advisor Perspectives

From Home Depot Inc. to Walmart Inc., the biggest US retailers are about to grab the earnings spotlight, providing investors crucial insight into consumer demand, the trajectory of economic growth and Corporate America’s profitability.

Retail 52
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Market Perspective: Searching for Spring

Advisor Perspectives

Investors continue to seek signs of a change in season—and clues about how the Federal Reserve might react to it.

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The Wealth-Destroying Behavior of Retail Option Trading

Advisor Perspectives

If your clients are seduced by television advertisements offering untold wealth accumulation through options trading, new research shows just how destructive that type of speculation has been.

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Unexpected Risks and Opportunities from the Inverted Yield Curve

Advisor Perspectives

Many investors have attempted to capitalize on the inverted yield curve by purchasing long-term Treasuries (assuming continued declines at the long end will cause their bonds to appreciate). In his latest commentary, Venk Reddy, CIO of our Sustainable Credit Strategies, explains why he feels this approach is materially riskier than investing in short duration fixed income.

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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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Wall Street Is Baffled by the Stock Market

Advisor Perspectives

The bond market finally got the Federal Reserve’s message on rates, while stock investors continue to ignore it, for the most part.