Sun.Oct 30, 2022

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FOMC Preview: 75bp Hike

Calculated Risk

Expectations are the FOMC will announce a 75bp rate increase in the federal funds rate at the meeting this week. From Merrill Lynch: "We expect the Fed to raise its target range for the federal funds rate by 75bp in November. In our view, based on the median policy rate path as expressed in the September SEPs and communication from some FOMC participants like San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, the committee is likely to engage in a debate on the appropriateness of slowing the pace of policy

Banking 345
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Money market mutual funds may no longer be the best place for short term cash. (wsj.com) Through a statistical quirk, the Fed is causing the inflation it is fighting. (ritholtz.com) Zuck is running Meta ($META) into the ground. (ez.substack.com) Why so few investors utilize managed futures in their portfolios. (blog.validea.com) Why isn't everyone talking more about the increasingly inverted Treasury yield curve?

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The Agony & Ecstasy of Stock-Picking

A Wealth of Common Sense

Facebook went public in the spring of 2012. In the year before filing to become a public company, the social network brought in $3.7 billion in revenue. The stock price actually fell 50% from May 2012 through September of that year. From that point on it was one of the best-performing tech stocks in the entire market. From September 2012 through August 2021, Facebook shares were up a cool 2000%.

Marketing 144
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Organize your time through color-coding

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Matt Pais, MDRT Content Specialist Maybe you think you have your work-life balance under control. If you color-coded your calendar according to how you divided your time, though, how would it look? Wayne Cotton, CLU , a 46-year MDRT member from Lake Country, British Columbia, Canada, said he was able to counteract his workaholic tendencies by designing his calendar this way, increasing his focus at work and appreciation of time off.

Education 130
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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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Sunday Night Futures

Calculated Risk

Weekend: • Schedule for Week of October 30, 2022 Monday: • At 9:45 AM ET, Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for October. The consensus is for a reading of 47.2, up from 45.7 in September. • At 10:00 AM, The Q3 Housing Vacancies and Homeownership report from the Census Bureau. • At 10:30 AM, Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for October. This is the last regional Fed survey for October.

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait. Check it out below or wherever fine podcasts are played. . The post This Week on TRB appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Your Most Important Asset

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

It's time for the (almost) annual health post. I've done quite a few of these over the years usually coinciding with re-upping health insurance. It seems crazy that we all have to start over every year to sign up for health insurance. Healthcare was a mess and then the Affordable Care Act broke it to the point that it appears no one knows how to fix it.

Assets 75
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Talk Your Book: Doubling Down on Crypto

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Talk Your Book is presented by Fidelity Digital Assets: We are live from Boston to discuss Fidelity’s jump into crypto with Fidelity Digital Assets. On today’s show we discuss The origin story for Fidelity Digital Assets What Fidelity Digital Assets has to offer Why Fidelity has a competitive advantage in this space What coins Fidelity focuses on Eth and the proof-of-work to proof-of-stake switc.

Assets 106
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Top Stocks Under Rs 3500 to add to your watchlist – Detailed Analysis

Trade Brains

Top Stocks Under Rs 3500: Stocks like MRF often make it hard for retail investors to buy them. This is because one would have to shell out upwards of Rs. 80,000 to buy one share. However, the good news for investors is that there is no shortage of great companies that one can buy for a sum of Rs 3500 per share. In this article, we will take a look at the top stocks under Rs 3500.

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These Are the Goods

The Irrelevant Investor

Articles What if we rewrote all the databases from scratch (By Matt Levine) The bubble has popped, but pyramid schemes are more important than ever (By Dror Poleg) Workers’ pay gains will need to slow if we want to squeeze inflation out of the U.S. economy (By Matthew Klein) I read around 1,500 pages of research each week and the most consistent message now is a litany of gloom (By Michael Cembalest) The narratives in t.

Economy 90
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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Are Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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MCD vs META – Bad things happen when shareholders don’t have a voice

David Nelson

David joins Fox Business anchor Maria Bartiromo and Strategic Wealth Partners CEO Mark Tepper. Weighing in on $MCD and $META earnings. Bad things happen when shareholders don’t have a voice.

Economy 52
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Sunday links: expectation gaps

Abnormal Returns

Markets The Dow is trouncing the Nasdaq in 2022. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) The muni bond market is having its worst year in decades. (barrons.com) Strategy Ben Carlson, "No single strategy works always and forever." (awealthofcommonsense.com) Jason Zweig, "Self-control is a key to investing success, but so is fending off self-delusion." (wsj.com) Sam Ro, "It can be frustrating to see folks with concentrated positions rake it in on some big winners.

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[cdata[ Do I Qualify for the Student Loan Forgiveness? ]]

oXYGen Financial

![CDATA[ Reports reveal that over 45 million people have some sort of student loan outstanding. The total student loan debt is hovering close to $2 Trillion (yes, with a T). The Biden administration announced a huge forgiveness program (and then redacted parts of the original declaration). The plan was to use the same Executive action that was used for all the Covid stimulus in 2020 and 2021 as.

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The Billboard Article

The Big Picture

This is a great article, worth a few minutes of your time… Too Many Songs, Not Enough Hits: Pop Music Is Struggling to Create New Stars [link] via @billboard. — Glenn Peoples (@theglennpeoples) October 13, 2022. “Too Many Songs, Not Enough Hits: Pop Music Is Struggling to Create New Stars – Execs say that a deluge of new music — and the difficulty of influencing TikTok’s algorithm — has made building an audience harder than ever for new acts.”: [link].

Numbers 147
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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • The Trump Tapes: 20 interviews that show why he is an unparalleled danger : In more than 50 years of reporting, I have never disclosed the raw interviews or full transcripts of my work. But after listening again to the 20 interviews I conducted with President Donald Trump during his last year as chief executive, I have decided to take the unusual step of releasing them.

Investing 262