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Understanding Tax Compliance and Risk Management Ultra-high-net-worth individuals face unique tax challenges, including high rates and ever-changing complex tax codes. Also, like most UHNW individuals, you may have income from several sources like investments, real estate, and business interests that may require special tax planning.
Good news can be bad news in the short run, but a solid economy usually becomes good news again once we get past the initial market reaction. If the underlying economy is sound, pullbacks like this can actually be a positive for the longer-term health of the market. The economy created over 2 million jobs in 2024, down from 2.4
Additionally, the National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM) Exposure Index came in at its lowest level in 17 months, suggesting RIAs are finally tossing in the towel as well. Powell’s prepared remarks started off by saying the economy was/is in good shape, including labor markets and the inflation picture.
Emotions start to run high during corrections and many investors become more prone to making costly investment mistakes. In last weeks commentary, we took a look at tariff policy, the market uncertainty it was creating, and what was going on in the broader economy. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.
Optimism over lower taxes, a stronger economy, animal spirits, and strong earnings all were likely reasons for the surge. The economy created 227,000 jobs in November, close to expectations, which somewhat made up for the low 36,000 number in October (revised up from 12,000). For reference, the 2019 average was 166,000.
Financial institutions based in GIFT City can treat their operations, investments, and deposits as offshore, enabling Indian banks, NBFCs, insurance providers, and capital market entities to offer global financial products in foreign currencies.
If the economy remains strong (as we expect), that would matter much more than just about anything else. Here’s What the October Payroll Report Really Tells Us About the Economy October payrolls were a big disappointment, with job growth clocking in at just 12,000. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.
Good Riddance, February The second half of February was rough, as worries over the economy, tariffs, and large cap tech weakness dominated the conversation. We continue to think the bull market is alive and well and the economy is on solid footing, but that doesnt mean we wont have scary headlines or worries. Heres the thing.
The index started with just 12 companies, representing major segments of the economy at the time, like leather, steel, and sugar. Congrats again to the Dow on an amazing run and to all the investors over the years who have benefited by sticking to their investment plans. That’s why the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.2%.
The Role of Financial Marketing Consultants in Today’s Economy Financial marketing consultants are experts in their field. This leads to more sales and better returns on investment (ROI). Compliance and Regulatory Advertising Standards The financial services industry has many rules. They manage all parts of marketing.
In today’s dynamic economy, millions have embraced a diverse portfolio of income streamsfrom traditional employment to creative side hustles, equity compensation, and investment ventures. Gone are the days when a single employer provided the sole source of income for most Americans.
The past few weeks we’ve discussed why we think this bull market is alive and well, but we also see no major reasons to expect the economy to fall into a recession in 2025. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results.
Real estate investment is one of the more common—and arguably more consistent—avenues to wealth creation, delivering capital appreciation, rental income, and portfolio diversification. Net Investment Income Tax (NIIT): A 3.8% Table of Contents Understanding real estate taxes What are the most tax-efficient ownership structures?
The Carson Investment Research Team put their heads together and chose some of the charts we thought best tell the story of 2024. But when we did, we frequently reinforced that investing based on ones political beliefs tends to be a fundamental mistake when it comes to markets. Here are some of our favorites.
Don’t Mix Politics and Investing We are aware that this decision likely is about as polarizing as could be for many of you. Data Source: Carson Investment Research, FactSet 11/01/24 So What Really Matters? How the economy is doing, Fed policy, inflation, valuations and overall market trends potentially matter much more.
That would increase the odds of having a bigger problem on our hands, in the form of continued weakness in housing, a pullback in investment, and most important, a weaker labor market. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results.
Housing, or residential investment, makes up just 4% of GDP, but it’s amongst the most cyclical parts of GDP and can drive changes in GDP growth (up or down). All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Investors cannot invest directly in indexes. Meanwhile, mortgage rates have gone in the other direction.
We remain more concerned about the rate environment than stocks because of what they tell us about where cracks may be forming in the economy. This time, being in quality (Treasuries) was a good idea Treasuries outperformed both investment-grade and high yield-corporates as well as mortgage-backed securities.
Those high rates arent good for some important areas of the economy, but they do have their upside for savers. In 2016 2017 Trumps election was seen as a major boon to smaller businesses and cyclical sectors of the economy leading up to inauguration. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.
Winston Churchill The Carson Investment Research Team began covering the election back in March with our “16 Charts and Tables) to Know This Election Year.” Despite the tendency to view the president as responsible for the economy, the president alone often has a relatively small impact compared to broader economic forces.
As anyone who has invested lately knows, things have been quite choppy and frustrating so far in 2025, especially from the February 19 peak to the near-bear market April lows. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Investors cannot invest directly in indexes.
The bottom line is if the economy is strong, earnings are expanding, inflation is under control, and the Fed is cutting, then stocks can do just fine regardless of who is in the White House. Jeremy Schwartz, the Global Chief Investment Officer at WisdomTree, put it succinctly: “The Fed should continue recalibrating to neutral.”
We like to say in the Carson Investment Research team that hope isnt a strategy, but were hoping for some green during the SCR! Sure, this is only one indicator, and we suggest following many indicators when making investment decisions, but this is clearly something we wouldnt ignore either. and the index is higher 71.6% of the time.
Old investing maxim This is our last market commentary of 2024, and it may be the most important. The foundation of long-term investing success is understanding how markets behave in the long run. Rather than making investing decisions based on valuations, you are better off investing in days that end in y if you ask me.
But these are also times when its easy to make costly investing mistakes. In fact, this outcome would be expected among capitalist economies. But how do you do that without completely retooling your economy towards consumption instead of manufacturing? That uncertainty is going to reduce capital investment here in the US.
The worries are growing, from a potentially slowing economy, to a growing and more aggressive trade war, to worries over Washington policy. Then five years ago we shut down our economy during a once-a-century pandemic. As uncomfortable as this recent volatility feels, know that it is the toll we must pay to invest.
This is going to have an adverse impact on rate-sensitive sectors of the economy, like housing and business investment (outside of AI-driven capex, where other factors like the fear of being left behind will drive more investment). We wrote about this in our 2025 Outlook , when discussing potential threats to the economy.
Many analysts were convinced Trump’s tariffs were going to wreck our economy and crash the stock market. Even from a market perspective, that doesn’t mean you should ignore these events, as they can cause a lot of volatility in markets, and even the economy. The economy is not as strong as it was a year ago, or even two years ago.
The Carson Investment Team was proud to release our Midyear Outlook 2025: Uncharted Waters last week. While the future is always uncharted, we are in a period where the president of the United States has chosen to try to wield the power of his office to reshape the US economy, and by extension the global economy.
The economy has created 782,000 jobs over the first six months of the year, versus 985,000 over the first six months of 2024 and 1.5 One difference is that immigration has really slowed this year and so the economy needs fewer jobs to keep up with population growth. There are any number of issues under the hood. in December 2024.
We had a 100-year pandemic that shut down the global economy and then a second vicious 25% bear market in 2022. This is why we invest for the long run and use the scary times as an opportunity, not a time to panic. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Think about all of this a little more.
17 of 19 members now say inflation uncertainty is higher, versus 14 in December 18 members say inflation risks are higher, versus 15 in December At the same time, members are a lot more worried about a slowing economy and rising unemployment. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.
Many analysts were convinced Trump’s tariffs were going to wreck our economy and crash the stock market. Even from a market perspective, that doesn’t mean you should ignore these events, as they can cause a lot of volatility in markets, and even the economy. The economy is not as strong as it was a year ago, or even two years ago.
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To provide an additional boost to the economy, the bill likely has to be larger, perhaps closer to $5 trillion, with most benefits front-loaded. But even if interest rates stay where they are now, thats going to take a toll on the economy, especially cyclical areas like housing. Investors cannot invest directly in indexes.
Its not that weve never seen volatility before thats part and parcel of investing. But what if demand craters across the economy and you’re stuck with goods you can’t sell? Do you do any capex investments? Congress also provides a cushion for the economy by raising deficits even further via tax cuts.
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Bad Things Have Happened Before If youve invested in equities the past seven weeks it hasnt been very fun; we can likely agree there. Of course, this has the added effect of shielding the economy from tariffs, since it makes Chinese exports even cheaper for other countries (though they have a long way to go to overcome a 154% tariff).
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