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Consumers are typically more affected by factors like changes in the job market, tax laws and interest rates, so those factors could be more important to pay attention to in an election year. Managing Presidential Elections as an Investor As an investor, elections can be difficult to navigate.
Our Senior Wealth Advisor and Chief Investment Officer, Matthew Saneholtz, CFA, CFP, EA , was recently quoted in a Daily Upside article, breaking down the potential financial implications of this sweeping legislative proposal. This bill touches on three major areas: tax cuts, spending reductions, and artificial intelligence (AI) legislation.
economy for 2025, and said he expects inflation to hit its 2 percent target by 2027. The economy was up 2.7 markets and economy closed out 2024 on a high note, providing a solid foundation as we enter the new year. Tax cuts, tariffs and immigration policies could shake up the U.S. Even so, Powell forecasted a strong U.S.
was exiting the Vietnam War Economy was undergoing a major recession Watergate scandal and presidential resignation 9% unemployment The Arab Oil Embargo Surging inflation The medias response? COVID-19 Pandemic (2020) With over 3 million deaths worldwide and a grinding halt to the global economy, markets initially fell roughly -35%.
Sell overweight investments, take some strategic losses, and consider tax loss harvesting in taxable brokerage accounts to offset your losses and gains. About Your Richest Life At Your Richest Life, Katie Brewer, CFP, believes you too should have access to financial resources and fee-only financial planning.
Consider the following tailwinds benefitting the new president: Strong Economy: The broadest measurement of economic activity, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), registered a healthy +2.8% Our government simply spends too much money and doesn’t collect enough (tax receipts) to cover those expenses ( see chart below ). Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan.
For starters, we are coming off a fresh election last month, and the majority of Americans decided to vote for the new administration that has promised additional stimulative tax cuts, and deregulation. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. Source: Yardeni.com As always, the future is uncertain, and risks abound for next year. stock market.
Immediately after the 2024 presidential elections, positive animal spirits catapulted the stock market higher due to hopes of stimulating tax cuts and deregulation legislation. additional taxes) on American Ford Explorers sold in Germany, the president wants to impose equivalent reciprocal tariffs on those same BMWs sold in the U.S.
Tariffs and trade have dominated the media headlines since the beginning of the year, creating a volatile rollercoaster ride in the financial markets and broader economy. But if tariffs lead to higher prices, inflation, and a weaker economy, the tariff policy may be judged as a costly misstep. Slome, CFA, CFP Plan. and the U.K.
From Policy to Portfolio: The Economic Impact of Tariffs On Thursday, June 26 th at 12pm Pacific Time, Financial Advisor Laurent Harrison, CFP® joined Bell Portfolio Manager Ryan Kelley, CFA® for a 45-minute webinar that covered the following topics: Financial Market Returns The U.S. 11:18 Ryan Kelley: And then the U.S. point of view.
Source: Yardeni.com Next, we have a new pro-business administration entering the White House that has promised lower taxes and less regulation, which should aid business profits. Slome, CFA, CFP Plan. All else equal, this should provide some mild stimulus for both borrowers and investors in 2025. www.Sidoxia.com Wade W.
Economy Resilient Despite Tariffs and Geopolitical Turmoil Source: Calafia Beach Pundit Credit Default Swaps ( CDS ) act as insurance contracts that protect investors against corporate debt defaults. But the economy is showing surprising resilience. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. which surged +16.9% trillion (more on AI below).
If investors obtain some tariff clarity, trade deal announcements, and/or tax-cut legislation progress, the queasy stock market rollercoaster ride could turn to smooth sailing. Slome, CFA, CFP Plan. www.Sidoxia.com Wade W. Please read disclosure language on the IC Contact page.
Slome, CFA, CFP , Exclusive to California Business Journal DISCLOSURE:Sidoxia Capital Management (SCM) and some of its clients hold positions in NVDA, COIN, IBIT, and certain exchange traded funds (ETFs), but at the time of publishing had no direct position in any other security referenced in this article.
Understanding Financial Planner Certification or CFP® Financial Planner certification is a professional credential awarded to individuals who have met specific education, examination, experience, and ethics requirements in financial planning. From a client’s perspective, working with a CFP® offers a sense of security and trust.
The buffet of issues includes the Federal Reserve’s fastest rate hike cycle in decades ( see chart below ), spiking inflation, a slowing economy, an unresolved war between Russia and Ukraine, declining home prices, and a volatile stock market to boot. Slome, CFA, CFP®. www.Sidoxia.com. www.Sidoxia.com.
Economy Remains Healthy : As mentioned earlier, the constant barrage of recession calls over the last two years has been blatantly wrong. If and when the economy weakens further, and the Federal Reserve reverses course by cutting interest rates, cash will earn less and will likely return to the stock market in droves.
With China’s stagnating economy, it has helped our inflationary cause by exporting deflationary goods to our country. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. No information accessed through the Investing Caffeine (IC) website constitutes investment, financial, legal, tax or other advice nor is to be relied on in making an investment or other decision.
Tax Time April is fast approaching, which means it’s that time of the year when Uncle Sam will come knocking on your door with your tax bill. Perhaps your taxes have already been prepaid and a refund is coming your way. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. www.Sidoxia.com Wade W. Please read disclosure language on IC Contact page.
Although the economy is currently very strong (i.e., raise interest rates and reduce balance sheet debt without crippling the economy), then substantial rewards could accrue to stock market investors. Slome, CFA, CFP®. But there are clouds on the horizon. MONEY SUPPLY GROWTH% (M2) VS. GOVERNMENT DEFICIT. www.Sidoxia.com.
The subject of politics is not my strong suit, so perhaps only time will tell whether the net result of two large pieces of government legislation totaling more than $1 trillion (Inflation Reduction Act and Student Loan Forgiveness) will accelerate growth in the economy (Real GDP) or hasten the pace of inflation. Slome, CFA, CFP ®.
While it has been mostly gloomy in 2022, some of the sunshine beaming through the clouds this month came in the form of better-than-expected GDP economic figures that measure the health of the overall economy. Rather than show an impending recession, the freshest 3 rd quarter data shows the economy growing at a very respectable +2.6%
I haven’t received my pilot’s license yet, but in trying to figure out whether the economy is heading for a hard landing, soft landing, or no landing, I’m planning to enroll in flight school soon! More recently, economic data has been flying in at an accelerating pace, which could mean the economy will stay in the air and have no landing.
Maybe ChatGPT will do my taxes next year? Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. No information accessed through the Investing Caffeine (IC) website constitutes investment, financial, legal, tax or other advice nor is to be relied on in making an investment or other decision. Believe it or not, ChatGPT recently passed the CPA exam !
in Q4 ), generationally low unemployment (3.5%), and relatively stable earnings (see chart below) all point to a stable economy with the ability to navigate a soft landing. China’s new reopening of the economy and Europe’s seeming ability of dodging a recession provide additional evidence for a soft landing scenario.
Although I have noted some of the key headwinds the economy faces above, it is worth noting that current corporate profits remain at/near all-time record highs (see chart below) and the 3.6% Slome, CFA, CFP®. As Albert Einstein stated, “In the middle of every difficulty lies an opportunity.”.
More specifically, in a typical bear market, the economy generally slows down causing demand to decelerate, and interest rates to decline, which causes the values of bonds to increase. And if it’s not declining home prices, lower energy prices have also filtered through the global economy to lower transportation and shipping costs (e.g.,
Count out the short-term headwinds and slowdown in the economy, India is often being seen as the next big powerhouse for growth. It is slated to become the third-largest economy in the world by the end of the decade and would lift millions of people out of poverty and create one of the largest middle classes in the world.
You’re not limited to dry explanations about portfolio allocations and tax strategies. Mary Beth Storjohann, CFP®, is a speaker and writer who cuts through the fluff and gives clear, concise financial advice. . Most of the topics cover investment strategies, market behavior and the economy. Money books for financial literacy.
How will elections affect the economy? Tax Planning: Are you maximizing your tax-deferred investment accounts? Slome, CFA, CFP ® Plan. Will Vladimir Putin use nuclear weapons in Ukraine? What is going to happen with the Debt Ceiling deadline and will the U.S. default on its debt? I know what my answer is.
Theoretically, QT should cause interest rates to move higher, all else equal, and thereby slow down growth in the economy, and help tame out-of-control inflation. The majority of economists, strategists, and talking heads on television are forecasting a recession in our economy, either this year or next. Slome, CFA, CFP ®.
Meanwhile, the economy continues to grow (+2.0% For starters, in addition to the Fed’s restrictive policy of reducing the balance sheet, since the beginning of last year, the Fed has also effectively slammed the brakes on the economy by taking their target interest rate from 0% to 5.5%. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan.
most recently) and the economy went into recession with GDP (Gross Domestic Product) declining by -2.2%. On the flip side, during 2022, the economy was firing on all cylinders. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. Remember that global pandemic back in 2020 called COVID-19 that killed over 350,000 people in the U.S.? It fell -19%.
Despite concerns over global geopolitics, political election madness, and a slowing economy, investors are more focused on the positive prospect of future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, starting in September with a probability exceeding 90% ( see chart below ). Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. www.Sidoxia.com Wade W.
The Fed’s goal is to increase the cost of borrowing, thereby slowing down the economy and reducing inflation. The short answer is that companies are making money hand over fist and the economy remains strong (3.6% Slome, CFA, CFP®. over the next couple of years. If Things Are So Bad, Why Are Prices Going Up? www.Sidoxia.com.
Cash in consumer wallets and money in the bank help the economy keep chugging along at a healthy clip. The bull market took a pause for the month, but consumer wallets remain fat, the economy keeps chugging, the employment picture remains strong, and stock prices remain up +12% for the year (S&P 500). Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan.
economy just reported better-than-expected growth for the 2 nd quarter ( +2.4% – Gross Domestic Product [GDP] growth). The stronger economy along with the improving inflation dynamics mentioned previously have buoyed Consumer Confidence too, as you can see from the chart below. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan.
move thanks to the contribution of older economy stocks. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. No information accessed through the Investing Caffeine (IC) website constitutes investment, financial, legal, tax or other advice nor is to be relied on in making an investment or other decision. The S&P 500 index surged +3.5%
By taking all these factors into account, we can confidently state that Russia and Ukraine have a very low probability of solely pulling the global economy into recession. Slome, CFA, CFP®. www.Sidoxia.com. This article is an excerpt from a previously released Sidoxia Capital Management complimentary newsletter (March 1, 2022).
After all, people will always need financial services, whether investing their money , taking out loans, or managing their taxes. A Bachelor’s degree in finance or a related field is required, and a CFP(Certified Financial Planner) certification is preferred for insurance advisors. Hedge Fund Manager.
Economic data (GDP – Gross Domestic Product) just released last week showed the economy contracting by -0.9% in the 2 nd quarter after declining -1.6% Ultimately, the stock market is forecasting how much worse or better will the economy become? And the economy has grown stronger coming out of each recession, every time.
Bonus: Gifts to charity are tax deductible.) . At Your Richest Life, Katie Brewer, CFP®, believes you too should have access to financial resources and fee-only financial planning. Maybe this year, your family decides to pull names for gift giving instead of buying for everyone. A looming recession? About Your Richest Life.
Tax-loss harvesting. You may want to think about converting retirement account money from pre-tax to Roth since the market is low. You will have to pay tax on the amount that you convert, but you get more bang for your buck since markets are lower. . Back door Roths. Save Smarter. You can learn more about savings bonds here.
Designer Loafers – Municipal Bonds Just like a Gucci or Chanel shoe, municipal bonds are great for people in high tax brackets. They are exempt from federal taxes and from most state and local taxes, which is what makes them especially attractive to people in high income tax brackets.
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