Cornerstone Financial Advisory

OCTOBER 23, 2023

Economic Strength, Housing Weakness The economy continued to evidence surprising strength according to data released last week. Existing home sales are on track to record their slowest year since 2011. Despite worries of a struggling consumer, consumers increased their spending as retail sales rose 0.7% Housing starts rebounded 7.0%

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Investing Caffeine

JULY 1, 2022

However, since 2008, the stock market has generally been on a consistent tear racking up a record of 10 wins, 2 losses (2015 and 2018), and one tie (2011). Theoretically, QT should cause interest rates to move higher, all else equal, and thereby slow down growth in the economy, and help tame out-of-control inflation.

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The Big Picture

JULY 19, 2022

Really, what I would think is getting to my natural home and that happened in 2011. ! ILMANEN: It’s always good to think of starting yields and valuation sort of two sides of the same coin. So, you’ve been there for more than a decade. You’re now cohead of portfolio solutions. What is that role like? Explain that.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 7, 2018

Investors are concerned for two main reasons: Italy’s economy—the world’s ninth largest—is not very healthy. Its debt/GDP ratio is 130% (second only to Japan among major economies), and its GDP has grown by less than 0.5% Partly because of the 2011 Eurozone crisis, the EU has far more robust mechanisms to ameliorate a debt crisis now.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 7, 2018

Investors are concerned for two main reasons: Italy’s economy—the world’s ninth largest—is not very healthy. Its debt/GDP ratio is 130% (second only to Japan among major economies), and its GDP has grown by less than 0.5% Partly because of the 2011 Eurozone crisis, the EU has far more robust mechanisms to ameliorate a debt crisis now.

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Brown Advisory

OCTOBER 28, 2016

billion in assets they held in 2011. While the factors above have buoyed dividend-rich stocks this year, such stocks now pose a rising risk in portfolios for several reasons: Their valuations have stretched beyond what is justified by the fundamentals in many cases. billion, nearly double the $367.3 stock market (chart 1). Conclusion.

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Brown Advisory

OCTOBER 28, 2016

billion in assets they held in 2011. While the factors above have buoyed dividend-rich stocks this year, such stocks now pose a rising risk in portfolios for several reasons: Their valuations have stretched beyond what is justified by the fundamentals in many cases. Stretched Valuations. billion, nearly double the $367.3

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The Irrelevant Investor

FEBRUARY 23, 2022

Or the economy. Or tech valuations. So the 19% decline in 2011 isn't captured in my data. **Two of the 20% declines were 19 and change. Ben Carlson said: When the markets go haywire, you really have 3 options on what to do with your portfolio: Do more Do less Do nothing Callie Cox put it plainly. Or the Fed. Or commodities.

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Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 28, 2017

Well, we believe that broader economic fundamentals are important for long-term stock valuations. These facts suggest that if the economy and markets do turn sour and we experience a major market correction, actively managed strategies may in fact weather the storm better than indexes if they focus on robust, healthy businesses.

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Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 28, 2017

Well, we believe that broader economic fundamentals are important for long-term stock valuations. These facts suggest that if the economy and markets do turn sour and we experience a major market correction, actively managed strategies may in fact weather the storm better than indexes if they focus on robust, healthy businesses.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

The news on the economy and corporate profits hasn’t been great lately, but thanks to low expectations, it’s been good enough to push stocks nicely higher. As shown in Figure 2 , the 90% level has historically signaled the start of new bull markets coming off of major lows such as 2009, 2011, 2018-2019, and 2020. Encouraging Signs.

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Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 12, 2016

We bought ARM Holdings in July 2011 and held on even as oversupply slowed growth in smartphones sales. We look for fundamental strengths, attractive valuations and what we call Sustainable Business Advantage (SBA). They then construct their portfolios by using traditional measures for valuation and performance. company.

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Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 12, 2016

We bought ARM Holdings in July 2011 and held on even as oversupply slowed growth in smartphones sales. We look for fundamental strengths, attractive valuations and what we call Sustainable Business Advantage (SBA). They then construct their portfolios by using traditional measures for valuation and performance. company.

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James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 20, 2022

Because of the ever higher Fed rate hike expectations, the yield on the 10-year Treasury security has increased by nearly 200 bp this year after increasing around 100 bp in 2020 and is at the highest level since 2011 [Figure 1]. And as long as there are concerns about a slowing economy, we could see either stable or lower long-end rates.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 16, 2021

economy, seem poised to benefit from a potential postpandemic rebound. The strong price appreciation has resulted in a commensurate rise in valuations and a tsunami of new deal issuance in these areas. With over 2,000 stocks, access to financing and a highly innovative economy and culture, U.S. And for good reason: U.S.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 16, 2021

economy, seem poised to benefit from a potential postpandemic rebound. The strong price appreciation has resulted in a commensurate rise in valuations and a tsunami of new deal issuance in these areas. With over 2,000 stocks, access to financing and a highly innovative economy and culture, U.S. With record 94.8% Source: FactSet.

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Cornerstone Financial Advisory

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

However, members diverged on the economy, with some members finding the risk of recession elevated. Tip adapted from CDC.gov 8 About 90% of this country’s land area is made up of arid tan desert, yet its flag was once solid green (until 2011) – in fact, at one time it was the only nation in the world with a flag containing just one color.

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Mr. Money Mustache

MAY 20, 2022

And just to amplify everything even further, China has launched a batshit crazy (and medically impossible) “zero covid” policy, locking down hundreds of millions of its own people who can no longer produce or export the things that the rest of the world’s economy had grown to rely upon. ” Well, how interesting.

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The Big Picture

JULY 24, 2023

He brings a fascinating approach and a bit of an outlier, contrarian way of looking at the world that has allowed him to identify specific changes in what’s taking place in the economy, in the markets, and essentially provide a helpful sounding board to many of the world’s best investors. MIAN: Valuations are ebb and flow.

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Truemind Capital

OCTOBER 17, 2023

Equity markets are at a very interesting juncture where the market participants have not been able to ascertain the future outlook of the US and world economy (with a bias for positive outcomes). The positive global perception and growing domestic inflows ensure that the premium valuations of the Indian market are maintained.

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Walkner Condon Financial Advisors

FEBRUARY 6, 2024

stocks powered out of the toxic storm of ever-rising interest rates and inflation into a the spectacular market rebound of 2023 as the prospects of a soft(er) landing for the economy grew more probable. stocks and Emerging Markets stocks: 2008 and 2011. Oh, I forgot to mention it finished dead last in 2008 and 2011.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 12, 2017

Asked about using valuation tools, like aggregate market cap to GDP or cyclically adjusted P/E ratios to gauge markets, Buffett explained that neither of these is paramount. Berkshire has an advantage when that happens. Markets are there to be taken advantage of rather than followed. Buffett said he views Apple and IBM differently.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 12, 2017

Asked about using valuation tools, like aggregate market cap to GDP or cyclically adjusted P/E ratios to gauge markets, Buffett explained that neither of these is paramount. Berkshire has an advantage when that happens. Markets are there to be taken advantage of rather than followed. Buffett said he views Apple and IBM differently.

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Dear Mr. Market

MAY 29, 2025

Peter Schiff Gold Bug and Fed Critic Extraordinaire Ongoing theme : Hyperinflation is coming, the dollar will collapse, and the Fed is destroying the economy. John Hussman Valuation Maximalist Approach : Mathematical valuation models suggesting equities are wildly overpriced. Marc Faber (Dr.

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The Better Letter

JANUARY 26, 2024

In June 2017, Dent predicted a “ once in a lifetime ” crash in the stock market, the economy, and in real estate over the following three years. 2011 : “[T]he expected return/risk profile of the stock market has shifted to hard-negative.” 2020 : “[E]xtreme valuations. percent), HSGFX did worse (1.64

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The Big Picture

JANUARY 7, 2025

You, you launched Siebel Capital in 2011. The interlinkages between women, our education policy, labor force, productivity, and again, ultimately the growth of the economy. But there’s such a difference between how they operate the economy and, and especially the financial sector. Fascinating. Yeah, I love London.

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The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

At the same time, moderate fiscal stimulus and accommodative rates, both of which support the overall economy, are not disliked either. Inflation matters but so too does the overall economy — the unemployment rate, wage gains, and fiscal stimulus during the pandemic. Gasoline costs the same as it did in 2011-12).

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The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 20, 2024

There are few people in the world who understand the interrelationships between central banks, the economy, and markets like Bill Dudley does this, this is just a master class in, in understanding all the factors that affect everything from the economy to inflation, to the labor market, the housing market, and of course, federal Reserve policy.

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The Big Picture

MAY 16, 2023

Literally the first check-in to Robinhood, which went public in 2021 at about a $34 billion valuation. RITHOLTZ: He was the first (inaudible) in round B at the higher valuation. ” If I, if the president ever, this is like a blog post I wrote when the President tweets about the economy, the market will move.

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