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Going for Broke

The Better Letter

This math explains why we shouldn’t be surprised when the market remains “irrational” far longer than seems possible. However, as Mandelbrot is careful to emphasize, it is empty hubris to think that we can somehow master market volatility. In fact, much of what happens is highly improbable. But we are.

Insurance 112
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Transcript: Dave Nadig

The Big Picture

So as much as I’m personally still a pretty strong skeptic of active management, I mean, I understand the math, and the odds are not in your favor. I read all those academic papers, I understand where the math comes from. It’s how math works. That I think has become pretty important. RITHOLTZ: Right. NADIG: Right.