Abnormal Returns
MARCH 2, 2025
Top clicks this week 15 stocks that destroyed the most value in the past decade. (morningstar.com) The Wall of Worry is getting re-built. (downtownjoshbrown.com) The chances of you successfully timing the market based on macro stuff is slim. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Dave Nadig, "You are on your own. There are few left to trust." (davenadig.substack.com) Unfortunately, there is no going back.
Calculated Risk
MARCH 2, 2025
From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 22 February The U.S. hotel industry reported mixed year-over-year comparisons, according to CoStars latest data through 22 February. 16-22 February 2025 (percentage change from comparable week in 2024): Occupancy: 60.3% (-2.7%) Average daily rate (ADR): US$159.90 (+2.5%) Revenue per available room (RevPAR): US$96.49 (-0.3%) emphasis added The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy rate using the four-week average.
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Abnormal Returns
MARCH 2, 2025
Strategy Market high-fliers can't go up indefinitely. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Nobody ever said investing in the stock market was fun. (tker.co) Forecasting the impact of macro events isn't always straightforward. (humbledollar.com) Finance The structured finance industry is back, and is set to be bigger than ever. (wsj.com) How carried interest calculations work in practice.
Calculated Risk
MARCH 2, 2025
Weekend: Schedule for Week of March 2, 2025 Monday: At 10:00 AM ET, ISM Manufacturing Index for February. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 50.8, down from 50.9 in January. At 10:00 AM, Construction Spending for January. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in construction spending. All day, Light vehicle sales for February. Sales were at 15.6 million in January (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).
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A Wealth of Common Sense
MARCH 2, 2025
Coming out of the election over the course of anywhere from a few weeks to a few months: Tesla was up nearly 100% Bitcoin rose 60% Microstrategy increased 112% Palantir blasted 200% higher Hims & Hers rocketed up 230% The gains were immense as animal spirits took over and investors got overly excited. The other side of greed is fear. The other side of exuberance is despair.
Random Roger's Retirement Planning
MARCH 2, 2025
Several quick hits today. Barron's wrote about the difficulty of spending down accumulated assets in retirement. I am pretty sure this will be difficult for me if our savings play a big role in our month to month lifestyle. This was an article where always read the comments applies. As is often the case for this subject, someone talked about building a dividend portfolio and living off the dividends.
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The Big Picture
MARCH 2, 2025
Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: Inside the Collapse at the NIH : Administration officials pressured the NIH to avoid clear advice from the agencys own lawyers to restart grant funding now. ( The Atlantic ) Why Gen Z Will Never Leave Home : Thanks to soaring housing costs, a generation of twentysomethings are still in their childhood bedrooms.
Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)
MARCH 2, 2025
By Brendan Clune Walsh Whether you’re doing a ropes course and saying, “I don’t think I can jump from this pole and grab this rung” or “I don’t think that I can call the owner of this business” or “I don’t think I can achieve this goal,” “I don’t think” is all in our head.
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