Sun.Jun 11, 2023

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The Day the Treasury Topped

The Reformed Broker

The parabolic spike in 2-year Treasury bond rates this winter ended with a crescendo on Thursday, March 9th and Friday March 10th. That week, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank had thoroughly spooked the markets and convinced traders that the Federal Reserve would be forced to start downshifting its hiking cycle and the accompanying hawkish rhetoric.

Banking 346
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FOMC Preview: A Likely "Pause"

Calculated Risk

Most analysts expect the FOMC to "pause" raising rates at the meeting this week. In May, the wording of the FOMC statement suggested a likely pause in rate hikes at the June meeting this coming week, since the FOMC assessed the cumulative effects of previous rate hikes and the possible impact of tighter lending due to issues in the banking system: "In determining the extent to which additional policy firming may be appropriate to return inflation to 2 percent over time, the Committee will take i

Banking 182
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Can We Have a New Bull Market With 3% Unemployment?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Last week I asked if the bear market is over. Gun to my head, yes, but I don’t make very good predictions when firearms are aimed at my dome. If the bear market is over, does that mean we’re in a new bull market? Could be. The S&P 500 was down 25% from peak to trough. And the market is now up more than 20% from the lows: Technically that’s a bull market if we’re using 20% labels here.

Marketing 141
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Sunday Night Futures

Calculated Risk

Weekend: • Schedule for Week of June 11, 2023 Monday: • No major economic releases scheduled. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 and DOW futures are mostly unchanged (fair value). Oil prices were down over the last week with WTI futures at $70.17 per barrel and Brent at $74.79 per barrel. A year ago, WTI was at $121, and Brent was at $127 - so WTI oil prices are down over 40% year-over-year.

Economics 130
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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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Sunday links: pricing in risk

Abnormal Returns

Markets Investors have returned back to the previous bull market's winners. (herbgreenberg.substack.com) The stock market does best going forward when the unemployment rate is above average. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Fund fees really do matter. (humbledollar.com) Crypto Marc Rubinstein, "The future of crypto in America may yet be decided by Congress, but failing that it will be up to the courts to determine whether a 75+ year old test is as pertinent today as it was when it was devised.

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How what you wear increases client connections

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Antoinette Tuscano Ensuring a client’s comfort level when they’re with you means far more than offering them a beverage or asking about their family. Those things should be done automatically as a normal level of service. MDRT members, however, strive to go beyond this level. To do that, consider mirroring clients’ preferences, including how they dress when they meet with you or who they will feel most comfortable with if you refer them to attorneys or accountants.

Clients 98

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Empower (formerly Personal Capital) Review – Managing All Your Investments in One Place

Good Financial Cents

One thing that I have craved for investors is a tool that allows you to sync all your financial accounts – your investment portfolio, checking and savings accounts, credit cards and other loan accounts – in one place, and then provides an investment-related analysis of your entire portfolio. Mint does a fantastic job of giving you numbers, but falls short on providing any financial insight.

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Talk Your Book: The Electrification of America

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Talk Your Book is brought to you by CNIC Funds On today’s show, we spoke with Timothy Kramer, Founder and CEO of CNIC Funds to discuss investing in US Carbon Neutral Power. On today’s show, we discuss: Where the price of electricity is headed Who’s actively trading these products What CNIC funds are composed of Why electricity is uninvestable right now What electricity is most correlated to Inves.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Five formulas for wealth. (sapientcapital.com) Ten tips for a better life including 'Give up fast food/prepared meals.' (moneytalks101.substack.com) Why Dave Ramsey is being sued for $150 million. (finance.yahoo.com) Are international stocks worth the bother? (morningstar.com) Things to do before pulling the plug on your job and retiring.

Food 157