Sat.Mar 25, 2023

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait. Check it out below or wherever fine podcasts are played. . The post This Week on TRB appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • A Four-Decade Secret: One Man’s Story of Sabotaging Carter’s Re-election : A prominent Texas politician said he unwittingly took part in a 1980 tour of the Middle East with a clandestine agenda. ( New York Times ) • The venture capitalist’s dilemma : The embarrassing investor meltdown surrounding Silicon Valley Bank should drive us to consider new models. ( Molly Whi

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Bitcoin Versus Banks

The Irrelevant Investor

Something happened in crypto this week that has never happened before. It acted as a safe haven. Prior to the most recent period, every time the market fell, Bitcoin fell more. A few examples below: From January 2018 through April 2018, the S&P 500 fell 10%. Bitcoin fell 35% over the same time. From September through December 2018, the S&P 500 fell 20%.

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MiB: Dominique Mielle, Damsel in Distressed

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with former hedge fund manager Dominique Mielle, author of 2021’s “ Damsel in Distressed: My Life in the Golden Age of Hedge Funds.” Mielle spent two decades as a partner and senior portfolio manager at Canyon Capital Advisors and was named one of the “50 Leading Women in Hedge Funds” by the Hedge Fund Journal and E&Y. She currently serves on the boards of four publicly traded firms and one private company.

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8 Sins of a Manual Reconciliation

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Business operations are getting increasingly complex, shareholders are demanding more, and your auditors are breathing down your neck like never before. In this high-pressure environment, it’s important to remember that reconciliation activity is your last line of defense against financial fraud and errors. Insisting on a manual process to handle month-end reconciliations is a risky endeavor that places an undue burden on your accounting team.

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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Median Existing Home Prices Declined YoY"

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: • NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.58 million SAAR in February; Median Prices Declined YoY • New Home Sales at 640,000 Annual Rate in February • Final Look at Local Housing Markets in February • House Prices: Rust or Bust? • More Good News for Homebuilders This is usually published 4 to 6 times a week and provides more in-depth analysis of the housing market.

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More Trending

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Top Electricity & Power Sector Companies in India 2023

Trade Brains

Top Electricity & Power Sector Companies: The first electric street light in Asia was lit in Bangalore on 5th August 1905. Despite what seemed like a headstart the electrification of India seemed like an uphill battle for almost a century. However, in the last decade, India has begun to make strides not only in extending electrification throughout the country but also in introducing greener alternatives.

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Is This The End Of The Petrodollar?

Advisor Perspectives

The U.S. dollar remains the world’s top reserve currency for now, though its share of global central banks’ official holdings has slipped in the past 20 years. By contrast, the yuan’s share of official holdings has more than doubled since 2016.

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Estimating Future Stock Returns, December 2022 Update

Aleph

Picture Credit: Aleph Blog || I know this is late, but still, here it is… At December 31st, 2022, the S&P 500 was priced to return 3.26%/year over the next ten years. Given the rally since then, that return has shrunk to 3.12%/year. Currently the 10-year Treasury yields 3.38%. In investment grade corporates, you could earn more, but… really, who knows?

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Schedule for Week of March 26, 2023

Calculated Risk

The key reports scheduled for this week include the 3rd estimate of Q4 GDP, February Personal Income & Outlays, and January Case-Shiller house prices. For manufacturing, the March Dallas and Richmond Fed surveys will be released. -- Monday, March 27th -- 10:30 AM: Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for March. -- Tuesday, March 28th -- 9:00 AM: S&P/Case-Shiller House Price Index for January.

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Sorted Weekly Tweets

Aleph

Picture Credit: David Merkel, with an assist from the YouImagine AI image generator || Twitter bird visits China Banking Saba Capital’s Boaz Weinstein talks bank CDS; Carvana exchange falters; Evergrande reveals restructuring plan [link] Thinks bank sub debt is overpriced in general… Mar 24, 2023 US authorities guarantee bank deposits as high as $250,000.

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How Financial Projections Can Help Your Business Succeed

Sara Grillo

As a business owner, you need to be able to anticipate issues and develop plans in advance. Fortunately, you can use resources to create financial projections that forecast your future revenue and expenses. Although the future is uncertain, financial projections can give you valuable insight that helps you predict the path of your business. Here, Ed Carter of AbleFutures explains how financial projections can help your business succeed.

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How Is the SVB and Credit Suisse Crisis Affecting the US and European Banking Industry?

Advisor Perspectives

Following recent efforts by central banks and regulators to alleviate the banking crisis, Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover and Lukasz Kalwak discuss their thoughts on the implications and outlook for the banking industries in the United States and Europe.

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Saturday links: the point of being successful

Abnormal Returns

EVs Lithium prices are down some 20% YTD, which is good for the EV ecosystem. (nytimes.com) EVs still take too many design cues away from ICEs. (reviewgeek.com) Energy Wind and solar made up 92% of India’s power generation capacity additions in 2022. (ember-climate.org) How geothermal wells can be used like a battery. (technologyreview.com) Environment The world is on track to hit 1.5 degrees Celsius warming by 2035 if current trends continue.

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Chit Chat: Elevating the Month-End Close Process Through Automation – Lancaster Leaf

Speaker: Raul Perez, VP and CFO of Lancaster Leaf

Lancaster Leaf Tobacco Co Inc. is a subsidiary of Universal Corporation, the leading global leaf tobacco supplier. Lancaster Leaf supplies virtually all the major cigar manufacturers in the U.S. with filler, binder, and wrapper, and exports filler, binder, and wrapper to international cigar manufacturers. This all could mean a complicated month-end close - before automation.

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Recession Odds Rising

Advisor Perspectives

Recently I saw someone share a clip from their weather app. It said, “Rain expected at 3 pm,” right above a little graphic showing a 30% chance of rain at 3 pm. What’s wrong with that picture?

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Fed Weighs Stubborn Inflation Against Banking System Stress

Advisor Perspectives

Slower credit growth may curtail broader U.S. economic growth, taking pressure off the Federal Reserve.

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Sinology: Opportunity and Risk

Advisor Perspectives

China’s economy is in the early stages of a gradual, consumer-led recovery. In this issue of Sinology, Andy Rothman outlines why China’s opportunities outweigh risks.

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Rare Opportunity To Earn Monthly Dividend Income At A Reasonable Price

Advisor Perspectives

Realty Income, A.K.A. the Monthly Dividend Company, has rarely been attractively valued since the spring of 2010. However, rising interest rates have brought the price down to fair value.

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Putting the ‘Tech’ in Spend Management Techniques

Speaker: Wayne Spivak, President and CFO of SBA * Consulting Ltd., Industry Writer, Public Speaker

If you’re lost in the world of spend management needs and your GAP analysis is lacking perspective on the future state of your business performance, listen up! With the advancement of technology, the implementation of spend management best practices and concrete GAP analyses is more streamlined and accessible than ever before. And while this may sound like great news for you and your clients, it won’t be worthwhile unless you have the latest techniques to back up your ambitions!

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Fed Hikes Rates as Bank Worries Spread Globally

Advisor Perspectives

As interest rates show signs of peaking, gold prices are nearing new all-time highs.

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