Sun.Jun 09, 2024

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Seattle Redux: Misunderstanding Seasonal Adjustments

The Big Picture

@TBPInvictus here. About a decade or so ago, the city of Seattle undertook to raise its minimum wage, over time, to $15/hour. (Massive credit to my friend Nick Hanauer for his efforts to make that happen.) What followed in the immediate aftermath of both the announcement and implementation was nothing less than a apocalyptic, collective head explosion on the right about the devastating effects the increase would have, particularly in the food services sector: However, there’s little doubt that t

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week The best time to prepare for a bear market is before it begins. (awealthofcommonsense.com) A review of major asset class performance in May 2024. (capitalspectator.com) Why you shouldn't be worried about index funds just yet. (thefinancialbodyguard.com) The current bull market is mid. (tker.co) The market has always been rigged, just not in the way you think.

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Finding Value in Sustainable Dividend Payers

Wealth Management

How sustainable dividends can identify smart capital allocation.

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Sunday links: playing your own game

Abnormal Returns

Concentration The S&P 500 has become increasingly concentrated. (apolloacademy.com) Should you be worried? (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Markets Can we finally move past the Gamestock ($GME) era of markets? (herbgreenberg.substack.com) Does anything matter any more in markets? (spyglass.org) Alternatives More investors are facing up to the problem with illiquid alternatives.

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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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Sunday Night Futures

Calculated Risk

Weekend: • Schedule for Week of June 9, 2024 Monday: • No major economic releases scheduled. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 and DOW futures are little changed (fair value). Oil prices were down over the last week with WTI futures at $75.37 per barrel and Brent at $79.53 per barrel. A year ago, WTI was at $70, and Brent was at $75 - so WTI oil prices are up about 7% year-over-year.

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Fixed Income Has Income Again

A Wealth of Common Sense

The bad news about the historic bond bear market is that fixed income investors were forced to deal with large losses in certain areas of the bond market. The good news is the rising rates that caused the bear market in bonds mean yields are in a much better place than they’ve been for the past 10-15 years. Fixed income has income again. In fact, investors in search of yield have all sorts of options — T-bill.

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Financial planning is about more than numbers

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Rebecca J. Gonzalez, CFP, CLU Visitors to our office walk in and see a chalkboard with client photos representing their bucket list accomplishments. This is our bucket list board, and we have a different theme every year. This year’s theme is “Defy your age.” We ask our clients to submit photos that demonstrate what they are doing to defy their age.

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Closed End Funds Ain't Easy

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Barron's had a quick writeup on tactical funds that can switch between equity and fixed income exposure, either making big changes to their allocations or small tweaks to their allocations. The implication from the article was that the turnover in these is very high. The reason for the article is that "some of these funds are worthy diversifiers for a traditional fixed allocation portfolio.

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Here’s Everything Apple Plans to Show at Its AI-Focused WWDC Event

Advisor Perspectives

Apple Inc. isn’t typically the first to embrace new product categories — as it famously showed with its iPhone, smartwatch and Vision Pro. All those areas were established before the company showed up, but Apple found a way to make its mark.

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[cdata[ The Art of the Upsell: How Airlines Maximize Every Mile ]]

oXYGen Financial

![CDATA[ In today's cutthroat airline industry, companies are constantly seeking new ways to increase their revenue. One of the most effective strategies they've developed is the art of the upsell. This practice of offering additional products or services beyond the basic fare has become a cornerstone of airline revenue management. As you book your flights, you're often enticed with various.

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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Is The Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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Tesla Investor’s Suit Targets Vote on Texas Move, Musk Pay

Advisor Perspectives

A Tesla Inc. shareholder sued to challenge an upcoming proxy vote about whether the electric-car maker should move its corporate home to Texas and re-approve a $56 billion pay package for co-founder Elon Musk that was thrown out by a Delaware judge.

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10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • High-Yield Was Oxy. Private Credit Is Fentanyl. Yet despite the data — and the intuition about higher-yielding loans described above — private lenders assure investors that the extra yield isn’t a result of increased risk and that over time private credit has been less correlated with other asset classes. ( Institutional Investor ) see also The Insulin Empire : How profiteers pushed a lifesaving drug out

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Moats and Value Can Be Potent Combination

Advisor Perspectives

Investors’ enthusiasm for growth stocks remains high and growth equities are in the midst of another lengthy run of beating value rivals.

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Bitcoin Blockchain Expanding at Prodigious Pace

Advisor Perspectives

It’s not just bitcoin’s price that’s expanding. The blockchain on which bitcoin resides -- one of the pioneers in the space -- is also rapidly adding heft.

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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.