Brown Advisory

DECEMBER 2, 2015

Turbulence in various stock markets will probably persist in 2016 as global growth slows because of weakness in emerging economies including China, a leading engine for the world economy during the past decade. The world economy is on pace to grow 3.1% 2 economy, grew 7.3% this year, 0.3 global growth for 2015.

Economy 52

Economy Clients Taxes Assets 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

economy is in or about to enter recession, so we thought a piece on what a recession might mean for the stock market would be of interest. economy is not currently in recession, odds are still perhaps a coin flip or better that one may come in the next year. While Friday’s strong jobs report provides more evidence that the U.S.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Valuation 52

James Hendries

JULY 21, 2022

So far, this year hasn’t seen a full-blown crisis like 2008–2009 or 2020, but the ride has been very bumpy. Lower inflation tends to bring higher valuations (Fig.1). can eke out some economic growth in the second half as inflation falls and recession fears subside, we would expect valuations to get a nice lift by year-end.

Management 52

Management Marketing Marketing Valuation 52

James Hendries

OCTOBER 18, 2022

During the worst of the Financial Crisis (Q3 2008 through Q1 2009), more than 50% of S&P 500 companies hit their earnings targets each quarter. economy in mid-March, 62% of S&P 500 companies beat estimates, and aggregate earnings were within one percentage point of expectations. Quincy Krosby , Ph.D.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economics 52

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 6, 2024

I could maybe flip that around a little bit since I think particularly post 2008, 2009, the quality style of investing has become a lot more popular. You really like the long time where you have to hold to make up that valuation whole is so long that you just really shouldn’t be involved. 00:18:41 [Speaker Changed] Yep.

Valuation 130

Valuation Investing Investments Assets 130

The Big Picture

JULY 19, 2022

ILMANEN: It’s always good to think of starting yields and valuation sort of two sides of the same coin. But in conclusions, I did put there that it just seems that stars are aligning for some fast pain and it wasn’t just high valuations but there was a catalyst. Explain that. Bonds are the most expensive. RITHOLTZ: Right.

Investing 130

Investing Investments Valuation Portfolio 130

James Hendries

OCTOBER 11, 2022

Memories of 2008-2009 are still vivid even though global banks, overall, are in much healthier shape due to stringent regulations put in place following the crisis. If an economy needs to see inflation easing, it makes little sense to stimulate the economy through tax cuts while tightening monetary policy by raising interest rates.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Banking Government 52

Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 29, 2016

1 Also, from fiscal year 2009 until fiscal year 2016, federal agencies cut annual grants to private and public organizations by 3.4% For example, we found opportunity in small-cap stocks during their 2016 rally because of their relatively low valuations and limited vulnerability to flagging global economic growth. company.

Nonprofit 52

Nonprofit Asset Allocation Portfolio Budgeting 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

The news on the economy and corporate profits hasn’t been great lately, but thanks to low expectations, it’s been good enough to push stocks nicely higher. As shown in Figure 2 , the 90% level has historically signaled the start of new bull markets coming off of major lows such as 2009, 2011, 2018-2019, and 2020. Encouraging Signs.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 25, 2017

as featured in the book, “Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies, University Edition." Beyond that indicator, the managers look for companies with three other qualities: solid fundamentals, strong leadership and reasonable valuations. In our view, this decline presented a great valuation opportunity.

Management 52

Management Valuation Financial Services Portfolio 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 25, 2017

as featured in the book, “Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies, University Edition." Beyond that indicator, the managers look for companies with three other qualities: solid fundamentals, strong leadership and reasonable valuations. In our view, this decline presented a great valuation opportunity. .

Management 52

Management Valuation Financial Services Portfolio 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 13, 2018

From a longer-term perspective, stocks rose from 2009 until this recent correction with only a few setbacks along the way. increase in the average hourly wage rate, the fastest rise in that rate since 2009. (It On that question, the economy is sending somewhat mixed signals. 2, the U.S. Department of Labor reported a 2.9%

Investing 52

Investing Investments Economy Assets 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 13, 2018

From a longer-term perspective, stocks rose from 2009 until this recent correction with only a few setbacks along the way. increase in the average hourly wage rate, the fastest rise in that rate since 2009. (It On that question, the economy is sending somewhat mixed signals. 2, the U.S. Department of Labor reported a 2.9%

Investing 52

Investing Investments Economy Assets 52

James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

The median performance, at 25.4%, is a better representation of where stocks might normally be at this stage because it takes out the ferocious V-shaped rebounds coming out of the 2008-2009 Great Financial Crisis and the early stages of the pandemic in March 2020. economy and corporate America has been impressive.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Valuation 52

The Big Picture

DECEMBER 6, 2022

Conviction, so we look at, you know, whether or not a specific theme is something that we have a high degree of conviction that will be a trend, that will definitely have an impact in the economy over the next two or three decades. I mean, I always say it depends on the economies or the scale of the business that you are considering.

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Clients Investing Investments Management 162

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 8, 2018

In the multiyear bull market we’ve experienced since 2009, shareholders perceive these situations as persistently mediocre. Recent Spinoffs: Mix of Good and Bad Results (Valuations expressed in $ billions). . Struggling under their own weight. This transaction helped drive more than a 500% return for shareholders over two years. .

Assets 52

Assets Clients Valuation Education 52

Brown Advisory

JULY 19, 2017

Valuations of the U.S. and global economies have managed to eke out decent performance in recent years but have yet to re-establish their pre-crisis growth levels. Today, we hear the word “unprecedented” far too often, referencing everything from stock valuations, to the U.S. But we can’t deny the existence of fear. company.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Clients 52

Brown Advisory

JULY 19, 2017

Valuations of the U.S. and global economies have managed to eke out decent performance in recent years but have yet to re-establish their pre-crisis growth levels. Today, we hear the word “unprecedented” far too often, referencing everything from stock valuations, to the U.S. But we can’t deny the existence of fear. company.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Clients 52

Brown Advisory

DECEMBER 2, 2015

This helps to meet your immediate needs and instill discipline in a longterm context, averting excessive spending when valuations are rising. After the 2008-2009 financial crisis, many clients could use loss carry-forwards to reduce taxes against gains taken in subsequent years. Diamonds In The Rough.

Taxes 52

Taxes Clients Estate Planning Portfolio 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 11, 2016

Looking ahead, for our base-case scenario we see inflation remaining moderate and most major economies continuing to grow at a modest pace. Market jitters increased in mid-2015 amid signs that growth was slowing in large economies—most significantly, China. Declining productivity among advanced economies has weakened global growth.

Economics 52

Economics Economy Communication Banking 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 11, 2016

Looking ahead, for our base-case scenario we see inflation remaining moderate and most major economies continuing to grow at a modest pace. Market jitters increased in mid-2015 amid signs that growth was slowing in large economies—most significantly, China. Declining productivity among advanced economies has weakened global growth.

Economics 52

Economics Economy Communication Banking 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 12, 2016

We look for fundamental strengths, attractive valuations and what we call Sustainable Business Advantage (SBA). They then construct their portfolios by using traditional measures for valuation and performance. Such strategies aim to match the risks and returns of the broad market and as such are unlikely to outpace the benchmark.

Food 52

Food Executive Compensation Portfolio Management Communication 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 12, 2016

We look for fundamental strengths, attractive valuations and what we call Sustainable Business Advantage (SBA). They then construct their portfolios by using traditional measures for valuation and performance. Such strategies aim to match the risks and returns of the broad market and as such are unlikely to outpace the benchmark.

Food 52

Food Executive Compensation Portfolio Management Communication 52

Mr. Money Mustache

MAY 20, 2022

And just to amplify everything even further, China has launched a batshit crazy (and medically impossible) “zero covid” policy, locking down hundreds of millions of its own people who can no longer produce or export the things that the rest of the world’s economy had grown to rely upon. the current blowup) -20% so far What’s your guess?

Marketing 53

Marketing Marketing Retirement Investing 53

Brown Advisory

JANUARY 4, 2016

What is behind this sudden surge in the unicorn population, and are some of these valuations “spiraling” out of control? Bull market for public equities: Certainly, the run-up in public market valuations over the past few years has spurred gains in private market values over the same period. Lee coined the term. Rapid Growth.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Numbers Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

FEBRUARY 14, 2023

We view sovereign bonds as an asset class with great potential to navigate and address key environmental and social challenges facing the global economy. Many corporations will likely have to restructure their business models, just as many countries will likely have to restructure their economies to mitigate and adapt to its effects.

Government 52

Government Investing Investments Economics 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 21, 2017

Exhibit 1 at right illustrates this pattern; for example, it shows clearly how the relative performance of active managers has slipped during the bull market that started in 2009. It underperformed primarily during very strong markets, as might be expected given its discipline with regard to valuations. company.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Management 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 21, 2017

Exhibit 1 at right illustrates this pattern; for example, it shows clearly how the relative performance of active managers has slipped during the bull market that started in 2009. It underperformed primarily during very strong markets, as might be expected given its discipline with regard to valuations. company.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Management 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 6, 2019

Additionally, the Australian economy has not experienced a recession since 1991. Valuations are elevated but nowhere near the bubble levels of the late 1990s. In terms of the economic cycle, we think the risk of a recession is at its highest level since 2009, but it is still far from a certainty.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Clients Portfolio Management 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 6, 2019

Additionally, the Australian economy has not experienced a recession since 1991. Valuations are elevated but nowhere near the bubble levels of the late 1990s. In terms of the economic cycle, we think the risk of a recession is at its highest level since 2009, but it is still far from a certainty.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Clients Portfolio Management 52

Brown Advisory

FEBRUARY 14, 2023

Many corporations will likely have to restructure their business models, just as many countries will likely have to restructure their economies to mitigate and adapt to its effects. Since then, Lula has taken power and we expect to see improvement in these areas over time, which will be important for the resilience of the Brazilian economy.

Government 52

Government Economics Investing Investments 52

Brown Advisory

FEBRUARY 14, 2023

Many corporations will likely have to restructure their business models, just as many countries will likely have to restructure their economies to mitigate and adapt to its effects. Since then, Lula has taken power and we expect to see improvement in these areas over time, which will be important for the resilience of the Brazilian economy.

Government 52

Government Economics Investing Investments 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 30, 2020

For the past year, we have been preparing client portfolios for the end of the extended bull market run that began in 2009—building cash and liquidity reserves, and also exploring opportunities in private and alternative asset classes that historically have offered lower correlation with public markets. company.

Management 52

Management Marketing Marketing Clients 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 30, 2020

For the past year, we have been preparing client portfolios for the end of the extended bull market run that began in 2009—building cash and liquidity reserves, and also exploring opportunities in private and alternative asset classes that historically have offered lower correlation with public markets. company.

Management 52

Management Marketing Marketing Clients 52

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 17, 2025

00:10:08 [Speaker Changed] Yeah, so I graduated from HBS in summer of 2009 and I was fortunate enough to join the Grassroots Business Fund, which had been a division of the International Finance Corporation and literally spun out first half of 2008. That is not being reflected in valuations from a top down standpoint.

Investing 147

Investing Investments Economics Marketing 147

The Big Picture

JULY 26, 2022

I’ve had a coach since 2009. And so, coaching was an exercise — back then in 2009, it was not very well known and it was definitely an exercise in humility of saying, “I think I need some help.” And since we look at both private and public markets, what do you think of in terms of valuation? WEAVER: Yeah.

Numbers 298

Numbers Consulting Management Investing 298

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 10, 2024

He has a very interesting approach to thinking about market valuations and strategies and when to deploy capital, when to go with the crowd, when to lean against the crowd, and has amassed and excellent track record. 2009, 10 in that role. Second part of our framework is valuation fundamental work.

Valuation 162

Valuation Clients Investing Investments 162