October, 2016

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Living In Multiple Timeframes

The Irrelevant Investor

Stocks always have a positive expected return. With the passage of time however, these expected returns turn into realized returns and obviously they're not always positive. We just can't know what the market will deliver, so it's best to plan and prepare for a wide range of outcomes. This range is determined by a number of factors, including but not limited to the business cycle, valuations, interest rates, inflation, and the collective mood of millions of investors.

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Asset Allocation: Caution Toward High Dividend Yielding Stocks

Brown Advisory

Asset Allocation: Caution Toward High Dividend Yielding Stocks achen Fri, 10/28/2016 - 11:25 Why Have High Dividend Yielding Sectors Done Well This Year? Reach for yield. In response to weak nominal growth, central banks have maintained accommodative monetary policies, pushing interest rates to historic lows. Given this low-yield environment, investors have flocked to stocks that yield more than traditional U.S.

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Asset Allocation: Caution Toward High Dividend Yielding Stocks

Brown Advisory

Asset Allocation: Caution Toward High Dividend Yielding Stocks. achen. Fri, 10/28/2016 - 11:25. Why Have High Dividend Yielding Sectors Done Well This Year? Reach for yield. In response to weak nominal growth, central banks have maintained accommodative monetary policies, pushing interest rates to historic lows. Given this low-yield environment, investors have flocked to stocks that yield more than traditional U.S.

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Please, Give Me a Break

The Irrelevant Investor

2016 got off to a volatile start, it felt like every day was either up or down one percent. In fact, when I made this chart on March 11th, 28 of the first 46 days of the year fit this criteria. Now seven months later, that number has fallen off a cliff, collapsing to just 22%. And just as we all thought would happen, volatility vanished as we got closer to the election.

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8 Ways to Torture Your CFO

The office of the CFO is rapidly evolving, with more and more demands being placed upon the finance and accounting team each year. Join us in this webinar, where we share 8 things to NOT do when it comes to helping the CFO office advance in supporting the business. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how best to support an organization's finance leadership.

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Here’s Why Technical Analysis Gets a Bad Rap

The Irrelevant Investor

There are a lot of people who don't believe in the merits of technical analysis. It doesn't make sense to them that you can look at past price movements and determine future price movements. If stock prices are driven by earnings, how can a chart provide any insight? Well, yea, stocks are driven by earnings in the long-run, but in the short-run they’re driven by sentiment, which can be observed by measuring supply and demand.

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Investment Perspectives | Seeking Yield

Brown Advisory

Investment Perspectives | Seeking Yield achen Tue, 10/18/2016 - 11:03 Late September announcements by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) underscore that today’s extraordinarily low interest rates are likely to persist for some time to come. The Fed’s decision to leave rates unchanged means that its quarter-point hike in December 2015 stands as the only increase in more than 10 years despite significant economic progress over the period.

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Genius Does Not Always Understand Itself

The Irrelevant Investor

Today on The Halftime Report's fifth anniversary show, legendary investor Carl Icahn was asked for his thoughts about the market. At one point he says that he looks for "things that are obvious, but not apparent." I thought this was an interesting sound bite, but what does that really even mean? While many of the best investors are able to clearly communicate their philosophy, many of the investors that have earned their legendary status might not be able to get to the root of what drove their

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When Hitler Took Cocaine and Lenin Lost His Brain

The Irrelevant Investor

A good litmus test for whether or not I enjoyed a book is to go back and see how often I marked it up. This one passes the test, my pen got a lot of exercise during the reading of Giles Milton's When Hitler Took Cocaine and Lenin Lost His Brain. I'd guess just 10% of the writing I do in the margins are words and thoughts, the other 90% are stars and underlines.

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Looking Back at the End of a Secular Bear Market

The Irrelevant Investor

This week in 1982 marked a major milestone in the history of the stock market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 1,000- its highest levels in nearly a decade- and it was on the precipice of saying sayonara to a 16-year bear market. A new secular bull market was right around the corner and the S&P 500 would go on to advance 1650% over the next 17 years, or 18.3% a year.

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A Spec of Sand on a Long Beach

The Irrelevant Investor

Over the weekend I listened to Russ Roberts' interview with Jason Zweig , who made an excellent observation of how vast the financial markets are and how little time investors spend thinking about this: I think if there’s one overriding theme to the book, one of the things I’ve tried to get across in The Devil’s Financial Dictionary is the importance of just being humble before the financial markets.

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How to Streamline Payment Applications & Lien Waivers Through Innovative Construction Technology

Speaker: Dylan Secrest, Founder of Alamo Innovation and Construction Digital Transformation Consultant

Construction payment workflows are notoriously complex when you consider juggling multiple stakeholders, compliance requirements, and evolving project scopes. Delays in approvals or misaligned data between budgets, lien waivers, and pay applications can grind progress to a halt. The good news? It doesn't have to be this way! Join expert Dylan Secrest to discover how leading contractors are turning payment chaos into clarity using digital workflows, integrated systems, and automation strategies.

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Forget Investing Like Buffett, Try Investing With Him Instead

The Irrelevant Investor

John Hempton recently wrote an excellent piece about why nobody can even come close to replicating how Warren Buffett invests. He notes that even the acolytes don't pass the sniff test: Find any investor who models themselves off Warren Buffett and look at what they do. And look at their investments against a twenty punch card test. They fail. They don't even come close.

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They All Have One Thing In Common

The Irrelevant Investor

All of the great investors, from Seth Klarman and Howard Marks to Warren Buffett and Phil Fisher, have one thing in common- their ability to clearly communicate their philosophy. Great investors need to be masterful in delivering their message in order to see their clients or partners through difficult times. Jack Bogle rightfully gets all the credit for creating the index fund, but he's very underrated when it comes to his ability to effectively communicate.

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The Difference Between Life Insurance and Credit Default Swaps

The Irrelevant Investor

Every day, shortly before nine o'clock, a man with a red hat stands in a square and begins to wave his cap around wildly. After five minutes, he disappears. One day, a policeman comes up to him and asks: "What are you doing?" "I'm keeping the giraffes away." "But there aren't any giraffes here." "Well, I must be doing a good job, then." This little story comes from Rolf Dobelli's wonderful The Art of Thinking Clearly.

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Caught Up in the Minutiae

The Irrelevant Investor

The recent Wall Street Journal article, The Dying Business of Picking Stocks, has generated a lot of buzz over the last day and a half. Despite the tidal wave of money going out of stock picking and into indexes, and the thousands of articles that accompany them, it's still not entirely clear what it means to be an active or passive investor. Here is how I think about it: The active investor attempts to beat a benchmark by either picking individual securities or by timing the market.

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Your Accounting Expertise Will Only Get You So Far: What Really Matters

Speaker: Victor C. Barnes, CPA, MBA

In the climb from contributor to leader, the rules quietly change. If you’re aiming for the summit, the air gets thinner—and what got you here won’t be enough to get you to the top (a concept first popularized by Marshall Goldsmith in his book What Got You Here Won’t Get You There ). What made you successful early in your finance career—technical accuracy, sharp analysis, flawless execution—won’t be what carries you to the next level.

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It’s Getting Out of Control

The Irrelevant Investor

Listen, I'm a huge advocate of actual index funds, but certain fund families are taking way too much liberty with the word "index" these days. The stock market is now being sliced thinner than a piece of prosciutto. If you want to own Apple, but don't feel strongly enough to own the common stock, fear not, for there are 112 ETFs to choose from that hold it.