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Given the high valuations and fuzzy near-term outlook, our ideal strategy is to stick the assetallocation framework which best suits our risk profile. Our tactical allocation to Chinese equities has been bearing fruits despite continued domestic demand challenges and real estate sector issues.
That’s exactly what we’ve seen in India’s financialmarkets in the quarter ending September 2024. Here is what’s happening currently- Stock markets are rising Bond Prices are increasing / Bond Yields are falling Gold is trending upwards Real Estate Prices are inching upwards ALL KEY ASSET PRICES ARE GOING NORTHWARDS!
We believe the markets will be more volatile over the next 1 year than they have been in the last 7 years. We continue to stay under-allocated to equity (check the 3rd page for assetallocation) at the current valuation levels. Overall, we continue to recommend sticking to assetallocation with discipline.
We maintain our underweight position to equity (check the 3rd page for assetallocation) due to an unfavorable risk-reward ratio. We continue to hold positions in large-cap value stocks and maintain no allocation to mid & small-cap funds. You can write to us at connect@truemindcapital.com or call us at 9999505324.
Are you overly concentrated in one asset class, sector, or individual security? If you are over-tilted on one side of your financial boat, it could tip over. Risk Tolerance: What is your assetallocation? This concept highlights the importance of rebalancing your portfolio as you get closer to retirement.
Adding the Russian invasion of Ukraine to the mix has been like pouring gasoline on the flames of inflation, especially when it comes to the energy and food sectors. The hangover from COVID has created significant supply chain disruptions and widespread economic shortages.
However, as Mandelbrot is careful to emphasize, it is empty hubris to think that we can somehow master market volatility. When one looks closely at financial-market data, seemingly unexplained accidents routinely appear. The financialmarkets are inherently dangerous places to be, Mandelbrot stresses.
We ended up buying, this is one of the wonderful things about financialmarkets and degrees of completeness. And so the institutional space, or most asset selectors, assetallocators are gonna look for managers that are trying to add value. That’s amazing leverage. Otherwise, why not just buy passive?
RITHOLTZ: (LAUGHTER) CHABRAN: And find a reason why they would allocate there. CHABRAN: Obviously, food, energy, housing, and not even talking about school, healthcare, and obviously in Europe we have a totally different environment about this matter. And that’s for the companies, and the investors also want to allocate there.
Overall, we maintain our underweight position to equity (check the assetallocation below) on the back of pricey markets- the current PE ratio of 22.7x The dynamics also show the complexities of modern financial systems where traditional monetary policy effects may not hold and how quickly narratives can shift in a quarter.
I mean, back in the ‘80s, I mean, research analysts would figure out what the Fed did three weeks ago, right, based on what was going on in the money markets. Now, they tell you what they’re going to do and the markets price it in instantaneously. So those are your cars, your, you know, food, furniture, appliances, right?
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