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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Approaching All-Time High but US Economic Momentum Slowing

Carson Wealth

The index started with just 12 companies, representing major segments of the economy at the time, like leather, steel, and sugar. The economy created 139,000 jobs in May (above expectations for a 126,000 increase) and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.2%. It was meant to gauge the overall health of the industrial sector.

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Market Commentary: Stocks Pause on Geopolitical Risk, Fed

Carson Wealth

Even looking beyond 2025, the Fed is now projecting higher inflation in both 2026 and 2027. They’ve reconciled this by reducing the number of rate cuts in 2026 to just one (each cut worth 0.25%-points). So including the 2 cuts in 2025, the Fed is now projecting a total of three cuts by the end of 2026 and four by the end of 2027.

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Market Commentary: Better Times May Be Ahead Despite the Market’s Reaction to the Last Fed Meeting of the Year

Carson Wealth

Neither did the Fed push the lost two rate cuts out to 2026. They estimated two rate cuts in 2026 in their September dot plot and stuck to that in their latest update. With the 2025 median moving higher to 3.9%, that meant the 2026 rate estimate also moved up from 2.9% These long-term interest rates matter a lot for the economy.

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Market Commentary: Carson Investment Research Presents Its Midyear Outlook 2025: Uncharted Waters

Carson Wealth

While the future is always uncharted, we are in a period where the president of the United States has chosen to try to wield the power of his office to reshape the US economy, and by extension the global economy. At the same time, the US economy still has some important sources of strength and there are also policy tailwinds.

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Market Commentary: Seeing the Big Picture – Stocks Still Making New Highs and Household Balance Sheets Are Healthy

Carson Wealth

We had a 100-year pandemic that shut down the global economy and then a second vicious 25% bear market in 2022. Spoiler alert, 2026 and 2027 will have scary headlines and big market down days as well. Think about all of this a little more. Worries happen every year 2025 wasnt going to be any different. But you know whats increasing?

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Central bank depository: Central banks navigate fluctuating U.S. trade policy

SEI

Skip to main content remove menu search Search search remove Home What we do right-arrow arrow-sm-down left-arrow Back What we do Customizable technology and investment solutions that simplify complexity and empower the financial services industry to move forward with confidence. trade policy on the euro area economy.

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Market Commentary: Markets Rally After Fed Meeting in Another Volatile Week

Carson Wealth

Even as Fed members increase the 2025 core PCE projection to 2.8%, they left the projection for 2026 at 2.2% For now, the hard data suggests the economy is doing fine, but sentiment is weak (though that doesnt mean it has to translate to a weaker economy). Of course, Powell, and the Fed, have been haunted by that ever since.