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The three factors for defining a recession are depth, diffusion, and duration – conveniently referred to as the “three D’s.” Depth refers to declining economic activity that is more than a relatively small change. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Jeffrey Roach, PhD, Chief Economist, LPL Financial.
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We were one of the last to get what’s called a value added license to the compus stat database. That paper refers back to the foundational literature of Bill Sharp, who wrote the famous paper in 1991. So what you’re referring to is broadly called the Grossman Stig Paradox.
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