Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 14, 2024

The key economic reports this week are Retail Sales, Housing Starts, Existing Home Sales, the 3rd estimate of Q3 GDP, and November Personal income and outlays. For manufacturing, November Industrial Production, and the December New York, Philly and Kansas City Fed surveys will be released this week. The FOMC meets this week and is expected to cut rates by 25bp. -- Monday, December 16th -- 8:30 AM: The New York Fed Empire State manufacturing survey for December.

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The Big Picture

DECEMBER 14, 2024

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Colombia Tolima Los Brasiles Peaberry Organic coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: You Want That Gift to Arrive Today? This Is What It Takes. Retailers like Amazon, Walmart and Target have figured out that if they get you your online order today, you will probably spend more tomorrow. ( New York Times ) Have we reached peak PreCheck?

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Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 14, 2024

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: Click on graph for larger image. Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-December 2024 Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-December 2024 The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q3 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in November Q3 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO ICE Mortgage Monitor: Refinance Activity Increased Especially for Rate/Term Refinances This is usually published 4 to 6 time

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

DECEMBER 14, 2024

That was my thought as I read this article from Barron's that has Morningstar suggesting that new retirees only take 3.7% in 2025 instead of the typical 4%. In November we wrote about the guy who created the 4% rule saying 7% is probably ok, Morningstar says 3.7% based on expected stock market returns. Expected equals guess. That guess could very well be right, returns might be less over the next ten years than the previous ten years but the process that created the 4% rule addressed that with t

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Abnormal Returns

DECEMBER 14, 2024

Cruise GM's ($GM) Cruise unit is exiting the robo-taxi business. (cnbc.com) Why GM ($GM) is pulling the plug on Cruise. (axios.com) Autos Chinese automakers are making inroads in Mexico. (nytimes.com) The risk to pedestrians from giant SUVs and pickups is growing. (vox.com) EVs The Lucid ($LCID) Motors Gravity SUV has a 450 mile range. (techcrunch.com) New Rivian ($RIVN) owners really like their cars.

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Media Food Financial Advising Medical 147