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Negative effects of a prolonged bull market

Truemind Capital

Equity markets corrected by more than 50% in 2000-01 and more than 60% in 2007-08 which lasted for 1.5-3 Like the circle of life, good times are followed by bad times, and bad times are followed by good times, stock markets also go through cycles of excessive greed/optimism to excessive fear/pessimism.

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Negative effects of Bull Market

Truemind Capital

Equity markets corrected by more than 50% in 2000-01 and more than 60% in 2007-08 which lasted for 1.5-3 Like the circle of life, good times are followed by bad times, and bad times are followed by good times, stock markets also go through cycles of excessive greed/optimism to excessive fear/pessimism.

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How to prepare your portfolio for the uncertain future?

Truemind Capital

Smart investors are very careful about market valuations (prices) and investor behaviour. The chart below illustrates that the smart money enters when valuations are low and the majority of the investors aren’t looking at that asset class or security.

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Market Responses to Fed (in)Action | Weekly Market Commentary | June 20, 2023

James Hendries

As the economy is likely downshifting, investors should take heed that the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) current stance is eerily similar to early 2007. A Lot Can Change in a Few Quarters So, why bring up a Fed statement from 2007? A lot changed over the course of 2007 and 2008 as the economy fell into the Great Financial Crisis.

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Inflation and Rising Rates Supported Value in 2022 | Weekly Market Commentary | November 14, 2022

James Hendries

One equity market debate discussed frequently in the LPL Research Strategic & Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) is the growth vs. value style reversal experienced the past 12 months. Since then, value has outperformed growth for the longest sustained period since 2003–2007. Future cash flows are devalued.

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Transcript: Tom Hancock, GMO

The Big Picture

And speaking of the.com implosion, like Microsoft via a case study where we, in previous strategies, we held Microsoft for a very long time, that’s where the valuation could help us in the.com bus. And actually Ben Inker is the head of our asset allocation group. 00:18:41 [Speaker Changed] Yep. It was over 50 right?

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How To Make ‘Time In The Market’ Work For You

Truemind Capital

Had you invested in Sensex in Dec 2007, the next 10 years returns have been ~6.5-7% Similarly, in Example 5, Sensex was trading at a PE of 28x in Dec 2007, much higher than its long term average of 18x-19x. Investors just earned dividends while capital appreciation was zero. Source: Moneycontrol.com.