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2024 Forecasting Follies

The Better Letter

That’s because, at best , complex systems – from the weather to the markets – allow only for probabilistic forecasts with very significant margins for error and often seemingly outlandish and hugely divergent potential outcomes. Chaos theory establishes as much. 2024 wasn’t any different. “We will bury you.”

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

New York Times Magazine ) • Wall Street Math Wizards Are Decoding Private-Market Returns : A small band of quants is shining a light into the shadowy world of unlisted assets. He is the portfolio manager of the Return Stacked ETF Suite, manging 800 million in ETF assets. But It Is Fighting Back.

Food 157
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Should you die and go to hell before selling an annuity?

Sara Grillo

Macchia mentions that there are firms that have sprung up offering no load products, products that report into your portfolio management system, wrap-able products, etc. It was at that point Scott thought there had to be a better way for investors to obtain unbiased advice and low-cost access to the financial markets.

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Should the CFP Board police financial advisor “bad apples”? The debate continues! (Part Two)

Sara Grillo

I do believe it should be different regulated differently from portfolio management, which is the typical definition of the registered investment advisor, but that it shouldn’t be the CFP Board that is controlling the regulatory environment for financial planners.

CFP 59
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Transcript: Ed Hyman

The Big Picture

You know, he went from the cover of Time Magazine to not being with us anymore. And, and business cycle, you know, part of the business cycle are the financial markets. The market was doing something and he said, it’s just too much money in irresponsible hands. He helps portfolio managers make sense of the world.

Economy 144