Remove 2029 Remove Compliance Remove Numbers
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Market Commentary: Strong Jobs Report Gets the “Good News Is Bad News” Treatment

Carson Wealth

Monthly numbers can be noisy and so a 3-month average is helpful. The hiring rate, which is the number of hires as a percent of the labor force, has fallen to 3.3%, the slowest pace since 2013 (outside of the Covid months). Long-term policy rate expectations have climbed to 4.4% (based on the expected 2029 policy rate).

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Market Commentary: Better Times May Be Ahead Despite the Market’s Reaction to the Last Fed Meeting of the Year

Carson Wealth

But when there is an SCR, those numbers jump to 10.4% When Santa doesnt come, those numbers fall to only 5.0% and 66.7% (but note those numbers will improve once this year is in the books). The number of participants that are dovish relative to the median also dropped off significantly. and the index is higher 71.6%