Consumers Step Up Purchases With a Splurge of Retail Sales Spending

Advance Retail Sales from Census Department, chart by Mish

Advance Retail Sales

Today, the Commerce Department released Advance Retail Sales Data for October.

  •  Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for October 2022, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $694.5 billion, up 1.3 percent from the previous month, and 8.3 percent above October 2021. 
  • Total sales for the August 2022 through October 2022 period were up 8.9 percent from the same period a year ago.
  • Retail trade sales were up 1.2 percent from September 2022, and up 7.5 percent above last year. 
  • Gasoline stations were up 17.8 percent from October 2021
  • Food services and drinking places were up 14.1 percent from last year.  

The key phrase in the report is “adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes.

For only the second time in the last eight months, Advance Retail Sales rose in real (inflation-adjusted terms).

Real vs Nominal Retail Sales

Real vs nominal retail sales, data from Commerce Department and the BLS, chart by Mish

Real vs Nominal Retail Sales Detail Since 2020

Real vs nominal retail sales, data from Commerce Department and the BLS, chart by Mish

Factoring in inflation, using the CPI as the deflator, real retail sales peaked in March of 2021 and remain below a level reached in April of 2022.

CPI Jumps Another 0.4% in October Led by Shelter and Energy

For more on the CPI, please see CPI Jumps Another 0.4% in October Led by Shelter and Energy

This post originated at MishTalk.Com

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robingard
robingard
1 year ago
Economists expected consumers would splurge on retail sales in October and the economists got this one correct.

link to geeksnation.net

Counter
Counter
1 year ago
not really up then, things just cost more
blokedia
blokedia
1 year ago
BlockFi Is Preparing for Possible Chapter 11, Says Reports

The digital currency area went through a line of lamentable episodes over time. The breakdown of the FTX domain kept individuals in the digital money domain in dismay. A few workers and outside financial backers contemplated to have lost their life reserve funds while clients’ cash was as yet caught on the stage.

The fall of FTX additionally impacted the digital currency loaning stage, BlockFi. In the midst of all the bedlam, BlockFi stopped the withdrawals on their foundation. The New Jersey-put together trade informed the clients with respect to Nov 11 that it would be “restricting stage action”. BlockFi as of late expressed in a letter shared on Twitter that it was “stunned and frightened” by the disappointment of FTX and Alameda.In one of the new reports by the Money Road Diary, BlockFi is getting ready for possible liquidation after the breakdown of Sam Bankman-Broiled’s trade.

Reports uncover that BlockFi had huge openness to FTX
According to the subtleties from individuals acquainted with the matter, the digital money loan specialist is getting ready for an expected insolvency. Subtleties uncover that it had critical openness to Bankman-Broiled’s FTX. The digital currency bank is likewise intending to lay off a portion of its workers as it prepares to document a potential Part 11.

It ought to be recognized that FTX bought BlockFi in July of this current year when the cryptographic money loan specialist was encountering extreme monetary troubles. The stage was presented to the disappointment of Three Bolts Funding as much as $80 million. Notwithstanding the disappointment of FTX, the organization at first announced itself to be “completely useful”.

Nonetheless, the circumstance is by all accounts different now, as the moneylender has apparently been significantly impacted by the fall of FTX. It likewise joins the rundown of impacted firms related with the fall of the FTX domain.

Salmo Trutta
Salmo Trutta
1 year ago
Short-term money flows up. Long-term money flows down. Looking for the peak in the 2nd wave of the Elliott Wave Theory.
8dots
8dots
1 year ago
AMZN is gone from 188 last Nov to 86 last week.
8dots
8dots
1 year ago
In the last eight months the nominal retail sales are losing thrust. The dots are moving slightly up, very little diagonally, hugging the horizontal line. In real terms they are down from 236B in Mar to 233B in Oct. // US30 Dow futures is hugging it’s Apr 16/20 2021 backbone at it’s bottom.
Creepto sucked liquidity from the banks, millennial and Gen Z. A trillion is gone o/n. They herd together, imitated each other, created a
bubble and lost.
JackWebb
JackWebb
1 year ago
Christmas will be very interesting.
JackWebb
JackWebb
1 year ago
Thanksgiving turkey price where I am is +14%, on top of last year’s +40%.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
1 year ago
Reply to  JackWebb
Walmart rolling back prices on Thanksgiving day food items. That includes beer! So I’ve been buying cases of Bud/Coors/Miller etc for 18 bucks to bring to my beer league hockey games instead of 21-25 that they normally are.
Check your local Walmart.
JackWebb
JackWebb
1 year ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
Trust me, I can afford a more expensive turkey. Funny, because I’ve cooked the uber fresh turkeys and cannot tell the difference. So I get the bargain frozen turkey. It was 49 cents/lb until last year, when it went to 69 cents. Now it’s 79 cents. I thought it’d be more. I look at it as a marker, sort of like gasoline or diesel. The hoo-hah turkeys are $2.50. Meh.
MPO45
MPO45
1 year ago
Inflation in the UK came in at a whopping and whipping 11.1% and can it get any worse?
Scooot
Scooot
1 year ago
Reply to  MPO45
and that’s with the energy price caps which I think are due to be removed next spring unless they extend them. People are being badly squeezed and are cutting back, we’re already in recession. The BOE are relying on this to bring prices under control but employment is still tight so there are many sectors demanding inflation matching wage rises.
MPO45
MPO45
1 year ago
Reply to  Scooot
The Netherlands is at 14%, not sure what the heck is going on there.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  MPO45
@MPO45 – YES!
Avery
Avery
1 year ago
May as well spend before the FRN turns into confetti.
Scooot
Scooot
1 year ago
Black Friday will probably be good as well, everyone will want to buy cheaper before prices go up.
Another 75bp hike?
JackWebb
JackWebb
1 year ago
Reply to  Scooot
If inflation psychology becomes embedded, this is what will happen.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
1 year ago
Reply to  Scooot
Actual Black Friday itself likely to be smaller than expected for 2 reasons.
1) Many shop online and wait for Cyber Monday after Thanksgiving.
2) Virtually every business is bombarding me with emails about early Black Friday sales so that instead of 1 day, it’s more like a week or two long event.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
The first stage of hyperinflation can be:
“Consumers Step Up Purchases With a Splurge of Retail Sales Spending.”
Spend fiat.
Buy stuff.
atryingshepherd
atryingshepherd
1 year ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
Crack up boom
Sunriver
Sunriver
1 year ago
What am I missing? FED Pivot OR not confidence in equities? I’ll take the latter. This is uncharted territory.

FED FUNDS RATE: 3.87%

6 MONTH YIELD: 4.60%
1 YEAR YIELD: 4.63%
2 YEAR YIELD: 4.37%
5 YEAR YIELD: 3.85%
10 YEAR YIELD: 3.6920%
Billy
Billy
1 year ago
I splurge every time I go out to fast food. $50 for a family of 4.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  Billy
I splurge every time I go to the massage parlor.
Still the same $50 — cash.
JackWebb
JackWebb
1 year ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
You should see the prices of happy endings! Not that I would know. LOL

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