The Reformed Broker
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
A recession so contrived and man-made that every economist, politician, business owner, college student, CEO, rapper and professional athlete has been able to see it coming in real-time for months and months… Take a picture, you may never see anything so obviously about to happen ever again. A child could have foreseen it. At a certain point, a person who is charge of price stability should probably look in the mirr.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
One of the things we know about inflation expectations is that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell relies heavily on them. He thinks about expectations, gives speeches on them, and uses the data series when enacting Federal Reserve policies to combat inflation. The problem is that all consumer surveys (including inflation expectations) are deeply problematic.
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Nerd's Eye View
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
There are many financial advisors who take issue with the financial advice offered by popular personal finance personalities such as Dave Ramsey. Some disagree on technical details like the plausibility (or purported lack thereof) of his assumptions for future investment returns, while others criticize broader elements of his approach (like his reliance on rules of thumb and a one-size-fits-all approach to building wealth).
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
Podcasts Daniel Crosby talks with Morgan Housel author of "The Psychology of Money." (standarddeviationspod.com) Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talk with Farnoosh Torabi about navigating family money dynamics. (morningstar.com) Cody and Justin talk with Vitaliy Katsenelson about his new book "Soul in the Game." (thefishow.com) College Parent PLUS loans are a disaster.
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Technology is rapidly changing the way accountants perform and manage month-end activities. Spreadsheets, email, and shared drives no longer have to slow us down. Join us as we present a "sneak peek" recorded demo of SkyStem's month-end close solution – ART. In under four weeks, your team can start reaping the benefits of month-end close automation by vastly reducing spreadsheets, cut down on reconciliation work, speed up the month-end close, and better manage your remote team.
The Reformed Broker
SEPTEMBER 17, 2022
Here’s a group shot of my team at Ritholtz Wealth and the Advisor Circle group with whom we put on the inaugural Future Proof Festival this week. There are a lot of similarities between our two companies. Barry and I started RWM because we had both reached the point in our respective careers where we’d had enough of watching other firm owners bumble and stumble their way into mediocrity.
Financial Advisor Source brings together the best content for financial advisor professionals from the widest variety of industry thought leaders.
Nerd's Eye View
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the SEC has issued a risk alert putting advisors on notice that examiners will be conducting a number of reviews to evaluate how firms are complying with the Commission’s new marketing rule, which it will begin to enforce starting November 4.
Pragmatic Capitalism
SEPTEMBER 19, 2022
I joined Dr. Daniel Crosby on the Standard Deviations podcast for a wide ranging discussion about portfolio management and navigating the conspiracy theories of the financial markets.
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
Strategy Why learning to be a good investor is difficult. (behaviouralinvestment.com) What fantasy football can teach us about investing. (impersonalfinances.com) Beware of the narcissistic CEO. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Companies What is the potential financial impact of the 'GTA VI' hack on Take-Two ($TTWO). (variety.com) Opendoor ($OPEN) is feeling the pain of falling house prices.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
The Devil must be strapping on his ice skates: Ferrari just introduced the Purosangue, a 4-door, 4-seater SUV crossover. We should not be surprised. Other sports car makers have embraced the SUV to great success: The Cayenne (literally) saved Porshe from bankruptcy; Lamborghini Urus helped drive the company’s worth to ~$11 billion. That Maranello wants some of that juice reveals how the modern world of ultra-luxury playthings works.
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As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.
Nerd's Eye View
SEPTEMBER 19, 2022
2022 marks the 50 th anniversary of the enrollment of students into the first Certified Financial Planner (CFP) course, and in the years since then, financial planning (and the process of creating a financial plan) has changed extensively. Early on, the ‘financial plan’ was primarily used as a way to demonstrate a prospective client’s ‘gaps’ and needs for products such as mutual funds or life insurance (which the advisor would then be ready to sell to the client).
Pragmatic Capitalism
SEPTEMBER 19, 2022
Here’s a new 3 Minute Money. In this video I discuss the implications of the surging US Dollar: Why is the USD surging despite rising inflation?
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
The biz Are the days of the blockbuster podcast long gone? (vulture.com) Frederick Geischen talks with Patrick O'Shaughnessy about building Colossus into a self-perpetuating learning machine. (manual.withcompound.com) Spotify ($SPOT) is going to start offering audiobooks on the platform. (theverge.com) Business Nilay Patel talks supply chains with Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 19, 2022
? ?. The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Albert Wenger, Union Square Ventures , is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including the podcast extras on iTunes , Spotify , Stitcher , Google , Bloomberg , and Acast. All of our earlier podcasts on your favorite pod hosts can be found here. ~~~. ANNOUNCER: This is Masters in Business with Barry Ritholtz on Bloomberg Radio.
Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor
During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.
The Reformed Broker
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Joy Wiltermuth, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss Future Proof, the housing landscape, Jay Powell and the Fed, the yield curve, recession fears, and much more! This episode was recorded in front of a live audience at MarketWatch’s Best New Ideas in Money Festival on 9/22/22.
Pragmatic Capitalism
SEPTEMBER 18, 2022
Here’s a good podcast I did earlier this month about Monetary Policy and the Federal Reserve. Jack and Justin are great friends of mine and run an excellent podcast called [ … ].
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
Markets Retail investors have been this bearish only five other times in history. (twitter.com) The rise in interest rates has been relentless. (capitalspectator.com) FAANG The FAANG stocks, except for Apple ($AAPL) are in big drawdowns. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Google ($GOOGL) and Meta ($META) are tightening their belts. (vox.com) Bubbles Why the SPAC bubble burst.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 17, 2022
The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Bean Box coffee, grab a seat on the sofa, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The Illusion of Knowledge : I’ve been expressing my disregard for forecasts for almost as long as I’ve been writing my memos, starting with The Value of Predictions, or Where’d All This Rain Come From in February 1993.
Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC
In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.
The Reformed Broker
SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
We are getting into a situation where this is a really good investing environment, says Ritholtz’s Josh Brown from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Closing Bell appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
Pragmatic Capitalism
SEPTEMBER 19, 2022
Here’s a good podcast I did earlier this month about Monetary Policy and the Federal Reserve.
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
Books Insights from "Two and Twenty: How the Masters of Private Equity Always Win" by Sachin Khajuria (newrepublic.com) A Q&A with Lina Flanagan author of "Take Back the Game: How Money and Mania Are Ruining Kids’ Sports, and Why It Matters." (annehelen.substack.com) An excerpt from "The Year Of The Puppy - How Dogs Become Themselves" by Alexandra Horowitz.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 20, 2022
My Two-for-Tuesday morning train reads: • Rising Bond Yields Change the Calculus for Stocks : Whether markets get any reprieve from their recent selloff depends in part on what happens at the Fed meeting. ( Wall Street Journal ) see also Municipal Bonds Suddenly Look Cheap. Some Are Tax Traps. Investors are bailing out of municipal bond funds at a record pace, but bargain hunters should beware of some potential pitfalls. ( Wall Street Journal ). • Interest Rates Are Up, So Why Are Bank Stocks Do
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All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!
The Reformed Broker
SEPTEMBER 20, 2022
Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ?FedEx or Uber? – Fedex kicks us off with a big disappointing announcement one week before scheduled earnings… ?A Less Intense Low – “Watching for a “Less Intense” October Low” ?
A Wealth of Common Sense
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
Earlier this week I posted a chart showing how volatile the stock market has been this year: Things have gotten even more volatile since then. This post prompted the following response from someone on Twitter experiencing their first bear market: Yes, there is precedent for this. These are all of the bear markets since World War II: If anything, it’s surprising the current iteration isn’t down more.
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
Markets Market valuations are a lot more attractive than they were a year ago. (blog.validea.com) Visualizing U.S. interest rates since 2020. (visualcapitalist.com) Strategy The hardest part of investing is holding through tough times. (evidenceinvestor.com) A lot of investor problems are self-inflicted. (mantaro.money) Media Jeff Jarvis, "If network prime time has lost its value, so have networks, so has television, so has broadcast.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
My end-of-week autumnal morning reads: • Navigating the Pain of Your First Bear Market : In the coming 40-50 years I’m planning on experiencing at least 10 or more bear markets, including 5 or 6 that constitute a market crash in stocks. There will also probably be at least 7-8 recessions in that time as well, maybe more. ( Wealth of Common Sense ). • Your City’s Housing Boom Could Go Bust : A national decline in home prices is unlikely, but markets that have experienced outsized increases over t
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Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.
The Reformed Broker
SEPTEMBER 20, 2022
Final Trades: Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, GM & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report released yesterday from Chief Economist Danielle Hale and Jiayi Xu: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Sep 17, 2022. Note: They have data on list prices, new listings and more, but this focus is on inventory. • Active inventory continued to grow, and improved 28% above one year ago.
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 20, 2022
MBAs What happens when MBAs don't tell their employers their grades? (wsj.com) MBAs don't necessarily choose the path most likely to make them super-rich. (mailchi.mp) Equities David Blanchett, "There appears to be more uncertainty around the future return of equities when bond yields are higher." (advisorperspectives.com) A potential headwind for equities: historically low taxes and interest rates.
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