Sat.Aug 27, 2022 - Fri.Sep 02, 2022

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U.S. Cropland Values Hit Record Highs

The Big Picture

Source: AgWeb. If you are interested (as I am) in Real Estate , then allow me to suggest you consider exploring the world of Farmland. It is something I have done for a while, and it is a fascinating rabbit hole to fall into. Not so much as an investor, but as someone interested in how agriculture works (but yes, there is an investor angle here as well).

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Is this chart going up or down?

The Reformed Broker

Is this chart going up or down? It’s not a trick question. Just look at it and tell me what primary the trend is. You’d be amazed at how many financial advisors, insurance brokers acting as financial advisors, financial planners, wirehouse wealth managers, financial consultants and other assorted intermediaries in this business could not for the life of them look at this chart and give you a straight answer.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Sept 3-4)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that, in its newly released draft strategic plan for 2022-2026, the SEC has indicated that the enforcement of Regulation Best Interest’s requirement that brokers act in their clients’ best interests when making an investment recommendation will be a priority going forward.

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Friday links: upwardly rising prices

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Investors can now get non-zero yields on risk-free assets. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Investing lessons learned from Julian Robertson. (ft.com) Companies Starbucks ($SBUX) has a new CEO. (marketwatch.com) Shopify ($SHOP) is still rightsizing its workforce. (theglobeandmail.com) Micron ($MU) is building a big new semiconductor plant in Idaho.

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Register Now: Sneak Peek Into Close Automation SkyStem Web Demo

Technology is rapidly changing the way accountants perform and manage month-end activities. Spreadsheets, email, and shared drives no longer have to slow us down. Join us as we present a "sneak peek" recorded demo of SkyStem's month-end close solution – ART. In under four weeks, your team can start reaping the benefits of month-end close automation by vastly reducing spreadsheets, cut down on reconciliation work, speed up the month-end close, and better manage your remote team.

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What Data Makes NBER Recession Calls?

The Big Picture

First Half 2022, NBER Edition. The debate between the official NBER determination of a recession and the 2Qs approach has been endlessly discussed. Rather than spill more pixels on this, I will instead direct you to the Menzie Chin chart above (hat tip Invictus ). You can see why the NBER does not rely on GDP (pink line) alone; GDP was slightly negative, while Manufacturing and Trade Sales were more negative.

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Your Input Requested – Reader Survey For Nerd’s Eye View (2022)

Nerd's Eye View

For most advisory firms, 2022 has been a year of relative stability, market volatility notwithstanding. After 2 years of the pandemic forcing massive changes to most firms’ systems and processes, from client meetings to internal management to marketing and business development, advisory firms are increasingly ‘finding their groove’ in this new post-pandemic (or at least, post-acute-pandemic) era as they grow accustomed to the new ways of getting business done.

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Wednesday links: unintended benefits

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Evidence to the contrary, the U.S. stock market is still in a downtrend. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) How the Dempster Mill Manufacturing Company made Warren Buffett miserable. (rationalwalk.com) Keep you politics far away from your investments. (ft.com) Crypto SBF on the state of FTX's 'backstopping' of the crypto industry. (bloomberg.com) How much of Bitcoin trading is fake?

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10 Wednesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My mid-week morning train WFH reads: • Who Holds the Student Loan Debt? Most individuals see a return on their student loans in the form of a higher paying career. ( Of Dollars And Data ) see also Debt Babies : Make repayment of all student loans (assumed to the current year only) 100% tax deductible, and retroactively — at least in some part — for people who already paid.

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait. Check it out below or wherever fine podcasts are played. These were the most read posts on the site this week, in case you missed it: The post This Week on TRB appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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#FA Success Ep 296: Unblocking Clients Who Keep Not Implementing By Exploring Their Financial Psychology, With Ed Coambs

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 296th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Ed Coambs. Ed is the founder of Healthy Love & Money, a financial therapy practice in Charlotte, North Carolina that helps couples and families uncover and understand the roots of their underlying financial conflicts. What's unique about Ed, though, is how as a former financial advisor turned financial therapist, he utilizes couples therapy techniques to help his clients dig deeper int

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site Be careful relying on future generations to implement your philanthropic goals. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week “If you could tell a sophisticated finance audience one thing, what would it be?” (thekcpgroup.com) Pickleball is going to kill tennis. (lefsetz.com) The hedonic treadmill is real. (bestinterest.blog) Investors make big mistakes when trying to outperform.

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Long Weekend !

The Big Picture

The unofficial end of Summer is here. Labor Day may just be a 3 (or 4) day weekend to you but in the rosy glow of nostalgia, it marked when the freedom of Summer came to a bittersweet close, and the regimented structure of school soon followed. As investors, we understand the impact of seasonality (overstated though it may be) and the return of participants to the market in full. we see this in liquidity and flows as well as more people in the office and the city (though who knows what the post-

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Store of Value

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, JC Parets, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss JC’s latest treasure trove of charts, Bitcoin as a store of value, what Buffett has been buying, and much more! Bonus: Michael reacts to breaking NBA news! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Is the Housing Market Going to Crash?

Pragmatic Capitalism

Here’s a new 3 Minute Money on housing. In this video I cover: The dynamics of the boom Why housing is so important to the broader economy The risk that [ … ].

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Personal finance links: being self-aware

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talk with Cameron Huddleston who is the author of "Mom and Dad, We Need to Talk: How to Have Essential Conversations With Your Parents About Their Finances." (morningstar.com) On the importance of getting stated. A Q&A with Paco de Leon author of "Finance for the People: Getting a Grip on Your Finances." (vox.com) Student loans There's a lot to like (and dislike) in the student loan forgiveness plan.

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1958 Cadillac Series 62 Coupe DeVille

The Big Picture

The Cadillac Series 40-62 was produced by Cadillac from 1940 through 1964. It was used to introduce the Cadillac Coupe de Ville (and Eldorado) which started out as special appearance packages that were later placed into production. The post-war United States had seen a long run of economic expansion, with the expansion of suburbia and a build-out of the US highway system.

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Clips From Today’s Closing Bell

The Reformed Broker

The removal of Fed puts has caused these bear market challenges, says Ritholtz CEO Josh Brown from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Closing Bell appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Decelerated" to 18.0% year-over-year increase in June

Calculated Risk

S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for June ("June" is a 3-month average of April, May and June closing prices). This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20 cities) and the monthly National index. From S&P: S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller Index Decelerated in June The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S.

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Podcast links: managing complexity

Abnormal Returns

The biz Have you ever wondered how much money celebrities make from their podcasts? (theverge.com) Big brands have bought into podcasting. (bloomberg.com) Inflation Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway talk inflation and more with Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari. (bloomberg.com) Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau talk money and inflation with Cullen Roche.

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MiB: Eric Balchunas on the Vanguard Effect

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Eric Balchunas , a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg who has more than a decade of experience working with ETF data, designing new functions and writing ETF research for the Bloomberg Terminal. Balchunas also contributes articles, feature stories and blog posts on ETFs for Bloomberg.com and appears each week on Bloomberg TV and Bloomberg Radio to discuss ETFs.

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Short Sellers Take Over

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ?200-Day Moving Average – S&P 500 Days Below 200-Day MA. ?Shorts Fired Up – Highest short S&P 500 futures activity since summer 2020. ?

Investing 130
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Quick Start Guide to a Crystal Clear Close

Did you know automating your month-end close can save up to 40% of the time typically spent on manual reconciliations? CFOs and controllers are leveraging SkyStem's workflow management and reconciliation tool to eliminate costly mistakes, ditch manual reconciliations and close faster. Want to know how they do it? Download our Quick Start Guide to a Crystal Clear Close!

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August Employment Report: 315 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 315,000 in August, and the unemployment rate rose to 3.7 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in professional and business services, health care, and retail trade. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for June was revised down by 105,000, from +398,000 to +293,000, and the change for July was revised down by 2,000, from +528,000 to +526,000.

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Sunday links: forecasting follies

Abnormal Returns

Markets The S&P 500 was unable to breach the 200 day moving average. (thereformedbroker.com) The U.S. dollar remains strong. (allstarcharts.com) Books A review of "The Case for Long-Term Value Investing: A Guide to the Data and Strategies That Drive Stock Market Success" by Jim Cullen. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) Five insights from Jay Mason's "The Investing Oasis: Contrarian Treasures in the Capital Markets Desert.

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Video: Tales from the Dark Side

The Big Picture

A further discussion of last week’s Tales from the Dark Side. It Should Be Easy to Get Affordable Financial Advice: Ritholtz. Source: Bloomberg , August 30th, 2022. Previously : Tales from the Dark Side (August 26, 2022). The post Video: Tales from the Dark Side appeared first on The Big Picture.

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Uber, Industrials, Edison International & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Las Vegas July 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 5.3% Compared to 2019

Calculated Risk

Note: I like using Las Vegas as a measure of recovery for both leisure (visitors) and business (conventions). From the Las Vegas Visitor Authority: July 2022 Las Vegas Visitor Statistics July saw the highest monthly visitation since the start of the pandemic, reaching nearly 3.5M visitors for the month, up 5.7% YoY and just 5.3% below the July 2019 tally.

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Thursday links: the ultimate scarce asset

Abnormal Returns

Strategy There's still too much closet indexing going on. (ft.com) People who get out of the market have a hard time getting back in. (evidenceinvestor.com) Companies Netflix ($NFLX) is planning to charge premium rates for ads. (wsj.com) Snap ($SNAP) simply overhired during pandemic. (theinformation.com) How a Twitter ($TWTR) edit button can be abused.

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Buyers Are on the Sidelines

The Irrelevant Investor

Buyers and sellers always have different views of what something is worth. This is true with small items like coffee mugs and truer still with large items such as your home. I poke around on Zillow fairly regularly, and one house around where I live caught my attention. The home was built in 1950, it has four beds and two baths, and I’m guessing ~2,000 square feet.

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