Sat.Aug 06, 2022 - Fri.Aug 12, 2022

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Why the market is bouncing

The Reformed Broker

Why did the stock market bounce this summer? Everyone has their explanation: The Fed might pivot! Inflation readings have now peaked! Oil prices are down 25%! China is ending the lockdowns! The labor market is staying strong! Earnings are still coming in better than expected! All true. But there’s an even better reason that doesn’t invalidate any of the ones I’ve posted above.

Marketing 339
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The Trouble with Sentiment

The Big Picture

Barry Ritholtz, Ritholtz Wealth Management Chairman and CIO & “Masters in Business” host, discusses recession risk and inversion of the 2-year/10-year curve. US Economy Facing Growth Recession. ?. Source: Bloomberg , August 9th, 2022. See also : Blame Election Deniers for Faltering Consumer Sentiment. by Matthew A. Winkler. Bloomberg, August 8, 2022.

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Personal finance links: wasting precious time

Abnormal Returns

Aging Five lessons from getting older including 'Change gets old.' (humbledollar.com) The pursuit of the 'new things' eventually loses its glow. (gothamgal.com) Don't let inertia keep you from learning something new (and useful). (abnormalreturns.com) Investing Why avoiding investment fads is so difficult. (bestinterest.blog) Making the case for Series I Savings Bonds.

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Creating Powerful Firm Messaging That Targets Prospects In Your Niche

Nerd's Eye View

Good marketing based on using impactful messages for consumers is a foundational element for many types of businesses that allows companies to define and convey their unique value. For financial advisors, effective messaging often tells the story of how their advisory practice serves clients, with the intent to resonate with the audience and inspire them to engage with the firm.

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Register Now: Sneak Peek Into Close Automation SkyStem Web Demo

Technology is rapidly changing the way accountants perform and manage month-end activities. Spreadsheets, email, and shared drives no longer have to slow us down. Join us as we present a "sneak peek" recorded demo of SkyStem's month-end close solution – ART. In under four weeks, your team can start reaping the benefits of month-end close automation by vastly reducing spreadsheets, cut down on reconciliation work, speed up the month-end close, and better manage your remote team.

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Please don’t pivot

The Reformed Broker

The Federal Reserve’s recent attempt to check inflation has been somewhat successful and some macro factors have also gone its way. This morning’s CPI bolsters the case that falling gas prices are helping to ease the overall situation. The inflation rate for housing, rent and employment, however, remains stubbornly high. U.S. inflation was 8.5% in July, the Labor Department said Wednesday, holding close to it.

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Sunday links: incentives at work

Abnormal Returns

Fund management The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF ($BND) is set to become the biggest bond ETF. (ft.com) Four big trends in the asset management have been in place for a decade. (morningstar.com) Corporate governance only works if shares actually get voted. (etftrends.com) Coinbase How Coinbase ($COIN) lost its big lead to FTX and Binance. (nytimes.com) Why the Coinbase ($COIN)-Blackrock ($BLK) agreement is a big deal.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Aug 13-14)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the U.S. Senate has passed the Inflation Reduction Act, which while being light on individual tax changes, nevertheless includes some important financial planning provisions such as prescription drug price relief for Medicare enrollees, continuation of expanded Affordable Care Act healthcare premium subsidies, and tax credits for energy efficiency upgrade

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Three Things I Think I Think

Pragmatic Capitalism

Here are some things I think I am thinking about: 1) Inflation has peaked. This morning’s CPI report is more evidence that disinflation is going to become a more prolonged [ … ].

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10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My morning train WFH reads: • Private Equity Doesn’t Want You to Read This : Not only do private equity partners make money even if their companies blow up; they also get a pretty good deal from the government on what they earn. Private equity funds generally charge their investors two different fees: a management fee of 2 percent of invested assets per year (funds are held for an average of about six years), and a “carried interest” fee that is 20 percent of any investment gains realized in the

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Research links: the burden of proof

Abnormal Returns

Cryptocurrencies A study of the personality traits of cryptocurrency buyers. (evidenceinvestor.com) On the flaws of the Bitcoin model, at scale. (papers.ssrn.com) Research Is it possible to identify when momentum crashes are more likely to happen? (alphaarchitect.com) Why does trend following work better in a high inflation regime? (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) There's not much to see in tactical asset allocation ETF performance.

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#FA Success Ep 293: Jumpstarting Growth By Showing Up Differently Where Prospects Are (Digitally) Concentrated, With Anna N’Jie-Konte

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 293rd episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Anna N’Jie-Konte. Anna is the founder of Dare to Dream Financial Planning, an independent RIA based in New York City that has grown to more than $400,000 of annual revenue in barely 3 years by building a focused base of 32 ongoing clients coupled with more than a dozen project-based planning clients who go through a one-day financial planning intensive.

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The Science of Hitting

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Alex Morris, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss earnings, the jobs recovery, Netflix and the streaming wars, the bull case for Meta, the worst investing advice ever, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!

Investing 130
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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Volcanica coffee, grab a seat by the pool, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • Is Scott Galloway the Howard Stern of the Business World? The professor and podcaster aspires to be an influential thought leader. But his appeal to a mostly male fan base is about more than just his prognostications. ( New York Times ). • Venture capital’s silent crash: when the tech boom met reality Investors of all stripes have crashed the clubby world of V

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Was the June bottom THE bottom? (awealthofcommonsense.com) An excerpt from "Buy This, Not That: How to Spend Your Way to Wealth and Freedom" by Sam Dogen. (getrichslowly.org) How some wealthy families avoid the trappings of wealth. (humbledollar.com) What 'The Bear' gets right about restaurants. (esquire.com) Why everyone is miserable, even though we are not in a recession.

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How To Manage Strong Emotions When Asking Clients Kinder Life Planning Questions

Nerd's Eye View

When financial planning clients think about their future, they might imagine a relaxing retirement, world travel, or other pleasant experiences. What they’re probably not considering is their own death, even though everyone’s time remaining on Earth is finite (even if the number of years they have left is unknowable). And using this perspective, advisors can add value for clients by helping them prioritize their goals and explore whether their current behaviors match their desired ou

Clients 167
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Clips From Today’s Closing Bell

The Reformed Broker

Ritholtz’s Josh Brown warns investors Fed quantitative tightening is coming along with rate hikes from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Closing Bell appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease in the Second Quarter of 2022"

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease in the Second Quarter of 2022 The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties decreased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 3.64 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the second quarter of 2022, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) National Delinquency Survey.

Economics 145
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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Thursday links: a critical communication skill

Abnormal Returns

Markets The stock market cares about better or worse, not good or bad. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) A notable sign that markets are moving higher. (allstarcharts.com) Companies Tomasz Tunguz, "Profitability has surged as the most significant correlate & predictor of a public software company’s value." (tomtunguz.com) Amazon ($AMZN) is ladling stock on its employees.

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Creating Powerful Advisor Marketing Messages That Better Connect With Your Ideal Prospects

Nerd's Eye View

Good marketing based on using impactful messages for consumers is a foundational element for many types of businesses that allows companies to define and convey their unique value. For financial advisors, effective messaging often tells the story of how their advisory practice serves clients, with the intent to resonate with the audience and inspire them to engage with the firm.

Marketing 167
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Was That the Bounce?

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ?Was that it? – Epic bounce. Stopped at Vix 20 and reversed. Pattern still holds. ?Expecting worse – “S&P 500 – Average stock price % change to earnings misses*” ?

Investing 130
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August 8th Update: Housing Inventory Increases Slow

Calculated Risk

Inventory is still increasing, but the inventory build has slowed. Here are the same week inventory changes for the last four years: 2022: 5.0K 2021: 4.5K 2020: -14.0K 2019: -6.4K Inventory bottomed seasonally at the beginning of March 2022 and is now up 126% since then. Altos reports inventory is up 32.1% year-over-year and is now 24.4% above the peak last year.

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Quick Start Guide to a Crystal Clear Close

Did you know automating your month-end close can save up to 40% of the time typically spent on manual reconciliations? CFOs and controllers are leveraging SkyStem's workflow management and reconciliation tool to eliminate costly mistakes, ditch manual reconciliations and close faster. Want to know how they do it? Download our Quick Start Guide to a Crystal Clear Close!

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Friday links: bull market magnitude

Abnormal Returns

Markets A 20% rally doth not a bull market make. (marketwatch.com) High yield bonds are bouncing. (allstarcharts.com) Companies The New York Times ($NYT) has attracted an activist investor in ValueAct. (cnbc.com) Why time isn't on Elon Musk's side when it comes to Twitter ($TWTR). (theverge.com) Which companies might get hit by a global minimum tax.

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Kitces & Carl Ep 92: When Clients Want Certainty You Just Can’t Give Them

Nerd's Eye View

Many clients seek financial advisors for their expertise and their abilities to guide them through financial decisions. However, for some clients, the ambiguity that inevitably arises from uncertain outcomes can be very distressing, especially when it comes to investments during volatile times. While these clients may have general concerns about their financial future, their concerns may also be in reaction to messaging from other sources that guarantee (unrealistically) low or even ‘no-ri

Clients 146
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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Adobe, defense stocks, Pinnacle West & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate increases in July

Calculated Risk

From Dodge Data Analytics: Dodge Momentum Index Moves Higher In July The Dodge Momentum Index (DMI) increased 2.9% in July to 178.7 from the revised June figure of 173.6. The Momentum Index, issued by Dodge Construction Network, is a monthly measure of the initial report for nonresidential building projects in planning. The index is shown to lead construction spending for nonresidential buildings by a full year.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Podcast links: effective altruism

Abnormal Returns

The biz Apple ($AAPL) is funding podcasts in search of new TV shows. (theverge.com) Economics 30 economics-related podcasts that Cardiff Garcia recommends. (twitter.com) Barry Ritholtz talks with Prof. Anat Admati co-author of "The Bankers’ New Clothes: What’s Wrong with Banking and What to Do about It." (ritholtz.com) Virginia Heffernan talks housing affordability with Aaron Glantz.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Aug 13-14)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the U.S. Senate has passed the Inflation Reduction Act, which while being light on individual tax changes, nevertheless includes some important financial planning provisions such as prescription drug price relief for Medicare enrollees, continuation of expanded Affordable Care Act healthcare premium subsidies, and tax credits for energy efficiency upgrade

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Goldman Sachs, Intl. Flavors & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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