You set up a marketing company with a name such as Palamedia Research.
The purpose of this company is not research but pumping prices of your Crypto token which is owned by a sister organisation.
To do this you create several entities which buy and sell the tokens – one entity to another – no actual real or fiat currency changing hands after all the entities are semi fictitious. Eventually the price of the token artificially moves up until and with a bit of “Marketing” the rises are noticed or publicised as a fast moving investment. Then the “marketing department” gets the Charismatic, well educated, well connected CEO out into the various media platforms. Eventually real investors are sucked in and put their funds into buying the tokens. Price still increasing. An institutional investor gets onto the movement followed by sheep traders from other institutions.
et viola : Billions.$$$
It all falls down when some head of department with the life experience of a school child gets caught out using real investors funds for the companies own purposes.
Who could have seen this coming? Ummmm, you can’t trust the government so trust the man behind the curtain. What a bunch of bozos. Sorry I am usually not so dismissive of people’s misfortune but this was obvious. We go from mania to mania. At least with tulip bulbs you got a pretty garden.
The digital world has trained a lot of people to believe in magic, which in the end isn’t much more than Moore’s Law. Add the faux mystique of an alternative to fiat currency — a mirage — and you have the ingredients for a classic mania, right out of Charles McKay’s Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds. Call it my Midwestern upbringing, but I have never bought into magic. I am often a sucker for a hard-luck story, but not this one. Call me cruel, but I am laughing at the idiocy.
I’m familiar with the first quote. Meh. If there’s any magic, it’s electricity. The rest is engineering.
JackWebb
1 year ago
Now the crypto issuers, traders, and holders are pleading for regulation. Their pleas are desperate bids for legitimacy, and should be bluntly and sarcastically rebuffed. Any “regulation” should take place through the criminal and bankruptcy courts. The crypto sphere should suffer the fate of the slaves who joined Spartacus against Rome. Crucify them, and hang their rotting bodies for the ravens to devour. Do it before my MSTR puts expire in Dec 23, okay? A humble request. LOL
JackWebb
1 year ago
I have all these mechanical questions about crypto. I know I can answer them through research, but I don’t yet do that because I’m not sure it matters to know the details surrounding something that’s not even a thing. For now, I will look at it as mainly a bank run. Also elements of a consumer fad, and the stocks of companies involved.
Example: Premium cigars in the 1990s. I have been a cigar smoker for 45 years. I lived in Boston for a while, and arrived before the fad. A box of 25 Ashton robustos (a very, very good cigar) cost $75. There were only a few places in the metro to find those or other premium cigars. Then came Cigar Aficianado and all the p.r., and that same box went for north of $300 if you could even find it. The mechanics:
1. Fad starts, i.e. is successfully manufactured.
2. Customers look for premium cigars. Can’t find it, and start asking for it.
3. Stores ask for premium cigars from their distributors, who ship stocking orders. Those stocking orders are placed all over the country, so the top line numbers look fantastic. Media, with help from the p.r. people who supply 90% of the stories, keep stoking the fire.
4. Cigar companies go public. (Anyone recall Consolidated Cigar?) IPOs double or triple or more. Smart money knows Eccelesiastes 1:9 and gets out.
5. Men who bought cigars mostly don’t like them. Even if they do, their wives don’t. Stocking orders not backed up by sell-through. This is masked for a while as the fad continues (America is a big country; not everything happens everywhere at once) and growth from stocking orders obscures tepid sell-through. Smart money sees it, and selling brings down that stock price.
6. Yours truly meets the last new cigar smoker in America, a blonde 20-something surfer chick selling premium cigars from a cart in Irvine, California’s fake downtown. Calls broker and sell his Consolidated Cigar. Waited too long, but still made money.
All of this has happened with crypto. It’s why $70K is now $16K. Valuations don’t go to $0 right away, but they will.
Just saw that something called CoinCloud, which operates bitcoin ATMs, is doing the things that insolvent companies classically do before entering Chapter 11: trying to reschedule debt.
After the other costs, I think I’ll stay home. By the way, as someone who really does know, Cuban cigars aren’t worth the premium. The other countries have stepped up their game. Cubans are still better, but not by that much.
JeffD
1 year ago
Since all these firms are in bed together, once one firm passes audit, they can ship all the resources to another firm for holding so it can pass audit, and so on. Fraud, cubed.
AAPL is a 40% position of Warren Buffet stock portfolio. AAPL lost $600B within few months, almost like creepto. The radical left force Ilan to sell TSLA. If BRK/B drop few AAPL, like SNB, the stock markets will tank.
Gotgold
1 year ago
Wasn’t blockchain supposed to give you a ledger total anytime?
RonJ
1 year ago
Crypto investors, post-FTX: “Regulators have delayed too long. We demand crypto regulation NOW.”
The SEC regulated bank leverage to 12 to 1. The Big Five investment banks got it removed for them. CRASH. The Citi-Travelers merger was illegal, so Glass-Steagall regulation was eliminated. Congress told FASB to allow banks to lie about the value of their assets. Bankers were never prosecuted for crimes committed during the housing bubble.
I thought one of the big selling points of crypto was it was beyond government reach. Now they want to be regulated. Doesn’t regulation imply the regulators will know what you have?
Regulation confers confidence. That’s why they want it. The whole “parallel financial system” talk was never anything but a con to lure the stupid.
JeffD
1 year ago
Inflation beating store of value. Lol! Just like any good ponzi, the focus of their marketing message is to HODL.
8dots
1 year ago
The market is volatile. Tomorrow Trump might announce that he will no longer will be a presidential candidate to reduce volatility. The D stole Mark Levin – our democracy at stake in Nov 8 – mixed it up with jan 6, blame MAGA and lost the house. Creepto sucked $1T
liquidity from the market o/n. Creepto sent shock waves to the markets. The banks celebrated after the demise of their competitor. XLF weekly failed to close above Aug 15 high. The banks party might be premature. XLF might pull back for a sling shot, or be in major troubles. If so, DX will rise…
FX is so much easier and deeper market and many of the cross rate carry interest pay decent rates of return. payed once per day at 6pm.
Irondoor
1 year ago
How to stay afloat: Let’s assume you have a couple of large competitors to whom you happen to owe large sums of borrowed money. Let’s also say that those competitors hold on their balance sheets not only the loans you owe, but also shares of your major balance sheet asset (a “token”). Secondly, assume that these competitors get themselves into such trouble that they are threatened with bankruptcy, and in bankruptcy their assets will be liquidated to pay their own creditors. So, if they go bankrupt your traded asset (perhaps a “token”) will be sold to the highest bidder and your loans will also be sold for maybe pennies on the dollar, and perhaps called. What would be the result to you? Your balance sheet would be devastated.
Solution: You buy out your creditors using more “tokens”, you bring their balance sheets onto yours, you now no longer owe the liability, since you now own your own loans. Your “tokens” retain whatever value you place on them, which is the last mark that you used to buy the creditors and the “tokens” that were previously on your competitors balance sheets are now on yours.
And, all of their customers’ account balances now become your customers. You can then transfer/lend those balances to your own trading arm. The “tokens” you used to pay the creditors are out there in their corporate or individual accounts or in the accounts of their own creditors. Everyone involved has all the incentive in the world to continue to prop up the ponzi scheme.
Seems like FTX debacle is a reminder that US founders knew what they were doing. They had a deep distrust of the whole corporation concept having seen how the East India Company had completely corrupted Parliament. So in the new republic they severely limited corporations. (Would have been better to have banned them altogether!) One corporation could NOT own another corporation. That one restriction would have prevented all the FTX shenanigans. Probably would have prevented FTX from ever coming into being in the first place!
Not to mention they can arbitrarily “burn” tokens to artificially inflate the valuation. Similar to a stock buyback, except you need not spend any money to do it, and it goes into “somebody’s” wallet 🙂
“Burning” crypto means permanently removing a number of tokens from circulation. This is
typically done by transferring the tokens in question to a burn
address, i.e. a wallet from which they cannot ever be retrieved. This is often described as destroying tokens.
A
project burns its tokens to reduce the overall supply. In other words,
it creates a “deflationary” event. The motivation is often to increase
the value of the remaining tokens since assets tend to rise in price
whenever the circulating supply falls and they become more scarce.”
Who “owned” the “tokens” before they were “burned?” The quote marks because my view is that there’s no there there. But Inguess I’m a little curious about this mirage. Kill me now. LOL
Cryptos are unstable, prone to corruption and fantasy land. Fiat currencies in monetarily sovereign nations with decent productive capabilities are unstable primarily because they do not sufficiently regulate financial idiocies like we saw in 2008, but they could be stabilized and serve both the individual and legitimate enterprise instead of just the wealthy and financial gamblers…if we broke up the monopoly paradigm for the creation and distribution of new money AKA Debt Only.
You want a safe and prosperous economic environment for investment? Change the monetary and financial paradigm.
TheCaptain
1 year ago
– Why does this seem like a shell game?
– With multiple players participating, why is this not being viewed as a massive criminal conspiracy?
– Who here thinks anyone holds crypto for a legit purpose other than price speculation?
– Who here still thinks any crypto is in ANY way “just like gold”?
– Who here thinks oligarchs and politicians are not completely involved so that they can make a personal profit or have their campaign financed by crypto-laundered cash? The scam is soooo obvious: send $80 billion to Ukraine in the name of “freedom and democracy”. Let them keep 60bn of it and spend it completely unaccounted for so that they can kick back $20bn to pump up these criminal scams like crypto. How else do politicians who never worked an honest job in their lives sport $100+ million net worth? Expert speculators, all of them, I guess. OR they know which of these con games the money is being funneled into AND when the money flow stops in time for them to get out. No doubt that dems and gops both play this game which is why they never tell on each other – Mutually Assured Destruction.
“Who here thinks oligarchs and politicians are not completely involved so that they can make a personal profit or have their campaign financed by crypto-laundered cash?”
I’ve said this repeatedly, where crypto is so often the payment medium for Russian hackers’ ransomware, I’d wager once the FBI started demonstrating an ability to trace transactions – NFT’s were no longer useful to them, so then, a massive pump n’ dump scheme using social media to lure buyers.
Flame me for being distrustful of Putin and the Russian Oligarchy, but when I see a publicly traded digital trinket with no tangible value in an unregulated market, well… it’s not rocket science.
I honestly think the currency part of cryptocurrency is irrelevant. It could be crypto-anything. Using “currency” just made for a more alluring fraud; scratch a crypto holder and you’ll find a goldbug. The gold market is manipulated, or so I believe from what I’ve read, so why would anyone think crypto wouldn’t be?
KidHorn
1 year ago
I wonder what’s preventing a complete collapse of all things crypto. There must be some big holders desperately propping things up hoping some idiot buys their assets.
Reminds me of the dot com failures in early 2000. Once one never profitable company went under, a bunch followed.
good question. bitcoin has been in a serious downtrend since November of last year. Just playing around with the apparent EW’s, it looks like it’s in the 5th wave down and that wave could bottom as low as ZERO! Maybe this is the end of crypto?
on the other hand, if it drops below $10 grand, it could be a huge buying opportunity! 😉
Never catch a falling knife, even if it’s a virtual knife. Once bitcoin goes to $10,000, it’ll race down to $0. The chartists will rule, and once some support levels get pierced, it’ll end quickly and badly.
MarkraD
1 year ago
sTRASH:
A new derivative, used by lazy kids to convince parents trash will earn value if taken out less often.
.
Captain Ahab
1 year ago
I’m sorry, really! I am laughing so much, I can’t focus on typing.
For some reason, kiting is NOT a word in my lexicon. I had to look it up:
Investopedia: What Is Kiting?
Kiting is the fraudulent use of a financial instrument to obtain
additional credit that is not authorized. Kiting encompasses two main
types of fraud:
Issuing or altering a check or bank draft, for which there are insufficient funds.
Misrepresenting the value of a financial instrument for the purpose of extending credit obligations or increasing financial leverage.
You never heard of check kiting? Usually done by individuals, but occasionally by institutions. Large-scale kiting was behind the overexpansion of money in the late ’20s, before it turned into the bank failures of the early 1930s.
What has been will be again,
what has been done will be done again;
there is nothing new under the sun.
Karlmarx
1 year ago
Didn’t Warren Buffet say that one should not invest in a business that they can’t understand. Have to say, I didn’t understand a word of this.
I agree. I read Mish’s explanation many times. I don’t understand much of it, if anything at all. I’ve never understood why BTC or other crypto has value just because someone says it does. If anyone can coin their own currency then everyone will, making them all worthless.
Crypto never made sense to me and I stayed far far away from it. I’m glad I did, even though I missed out on fantastic rises in temporary value.
I have lost virtually nothing over the last 6 months. Counting real estate values and rent, I’m wildly positive. I do not invest in things I do not understand, no matter how hyped they are.
I’m still in gold mining stocks, real estate, oil stocks, fertilizer stocks and a few corporate bonds. I’m heavily on the resource based stocks, probably too heavy. Gold has been terrible most of the year, but that’s about to change.
True. I understand the value of a unit of BTC, ETH, XMR, or RVN. I have no idea what firms like FTX or Binance would do with my crypto if I locked it up with them. Thus, I do not leave it with them but instead keep any crypto in a cold wallet.
Who could have seen this coming? Ummmm, you can’t trust the government so trust the man behind the curtain. What a bunch of bozos. Sorry I am usually not so dismissive of people’s misfortune but this was obvious. We go from mania to mania. At least with tulip bulbs you got a pretty garden.
typically done by transferring the tokens in question to a burn
address, i.e. a wallet from which they cannot ever be retrieved. This is often described as destroying tokens.
A
project burns its tokens to reduce the overall supply. In other words,
it creates a “deflationary” event. The motivation is often to increase
the value of the remaining tokens since assets tend to rise in price
whenever the circulating supply falls and they become more scarce.”
Kiting is the fraudulent use of a financial instrument to obtain
additional credit that is not authorized. Kiting encompasses two main
types of fraud:
What has been will be again,