Sat.Oct 08, 2022 - Fri.Oct 14, 2022

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Groping for a Bottom

The Big Picture

There’s nothing like confusing market action to send people into narrative creation overdrive. Yesterday’s 2% collapse on hotter-than-expected CPI data, followed by ~5% recovery to finish the day up more than 2% is a perfect example of random market action begetting endless explanations. What was the takeaway from CPI? Check out the BAML chart above: Core goods are coming down ( that’s good!

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

Thanks for checking out piece from last Sunday “You weren’t supposed to see that” – it went crazy viral all over the place. I can’t believe how much feedback came in. Mostly in agreement with my conclusion but not all of it, there were some reasonable counterarguments too. And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait.

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Personal finance links: assigning blame

Abnormal Returns

Work There is a difference between avoiding failure and achieving success. (bankeronfire.com) Companies are not looking out for your financial needs. (tonyisola.com) Ambition comes with a price. (radreads.co) Investing Under what circumstances should you tweak an off-the-shelf portfolio? (morningstar.com) Don't let a market downturn prevent you from doing things you love.

Education 222
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Oct 15-16)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the Cost Of Living Adjustment (COLA) for Social Security beneficiaries will be 8.7% for 2023, the largest COLA since 1981. While this will help seniors keep pace with rising prices, it also creates tax planning opportunities for advisors and raises the possibility that the Social Security Trust Fund could be depleted sooner than expected.

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Register Now: Sneak Peek Into Close Automation SkyStem Web Demo

Technology is rapidly changing the way accountants perform and manage month-end activities. Spreadsheets, email, and shared drives no longer have to slow us down. Join us as we present a "sneak peek" recorded demo of SkyStem's month-end close solution – ART. In under four weeks, your team can start reaping the benefits of month-end close automation by vastly reducing spreadsheets, cut down on reconciliation work, speed up the month-end close, and better manage your remote team.

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Framing, Context, Asking (not answering) Questions

The Big Picture

It was one of those minor stories that seemed to have taken on a life of its own: The New York Times 1 reported last week about an adjunct Organic Chemistry professor at NYU who was fired after students complained his tests were too hard. I would have missed it, but for J.V Last discussing it at The Bulwark. 2. Both discussions touched on what a gut course org chem is; how many aspiring doctors see their career hopes dashed by the class.

Medical 326

More Trending

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Tuesday links: the mountain of success

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Mark Rzepczynski, "Every good trader thinks about opportunity cost and exit strategies. In fact, quitting is the core skill for protecting principal." (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Jason Zweig, "Try to watch a tree growing, and you see nothing; yet it is growing all the same. It can send out new branches and green foliage for several human lifetimes.

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Add Value To Client Relationships And Uncover New Goals By Asking: “What’s Possible Now?”

Nerd's Eye View

Prospective clients often approach a financial advisor because they have a problem. Perhaps they are approaching retirement and do not know whether their current path is financially sustainable, or maybe they have a complicated equity compensation problem to sort through. But after this initial problem is solved, long-term goals are discussed, and a financial plan is implemented, what comes next?

Clients 209
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MiB: Michael Levy, CEO of Crow Holdings on Commercial Real Estate

The Big Picture

? ?. Michael Levy is CEO of Crow Holding , a 75-year old real estate investment and development firm. Crow is the largest builder of multi-family apartment buildings in the United States. Previously, he worked in real estate finance and investment management at Morgan Stanley. Levy is currently a member of the Real Estate Roundtable, the Advisory Board at the Institute for Real Estate Operating Companies, and is an Urban Land Institute Foundation governor.

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Bad News is Good News

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Bob Pisani, Kyla Scanlon, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss stories from the stock exchange, investors of the future, the Fed’s toolbox, stocks for the long run, the most important developments in trading over the past 30 years, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your.

Marketing 141
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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Podcast links: knowing when to quit

Abnormal Returns

Podcasting Jim O'Shaughnessy talks with David Senra about the Founders Podcast. (infiniteloopspodcast.com) Jason Buck talks with Bill Brewster from The Business Brew podcast. (mutinyfund.com) Business Patrick O'Shaughnessy talks product pricing with Madhavan Ramanujam author of "Monetizing Innovation: How Smart Companies Design the Product Around the Price.

Marketing 195
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#FA Success Ep 302: Structuring Your Ideal Week To Become A Highly-Leveraged Individual Advisor, With Libby Greiwe

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 302nd episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Libby Greiwe. Libby is the owner of The Efficient Advisor, a financial advisor coaching and consulting business based out of Loveland, Ohio, that’s focused on helping advisors create systems and processes for themselves so that they can run their businesses in less time and with less stress.

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Saba Capital Management’s Weinstein on Whales, Tails, & Fails

The Big Picture

Boaz Weinstein, Founder & CIO, Saba Capital Management speaks with Barry Ritholtz, Co-Founder & CIO, Ritholtz Wealth Management; Host, Bloomberg’s Masters in Business at Bloomberg Invest. Source: Bloomberg. click for video . The post Saba Capital Management’s Weinstein on Whales, Tails, & Fails appeared first on The Big Picture.

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Deere, Dutch Bros & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Wednesday links: exposed to risk

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Sometimes your best trade is a loss. (allstarcharts.com) The all-weather portfolio has not fared well in 2022. (blog.validea.com) Companies Apple ($AAPL) is shifting more production out of China. (9to5mac.com) How Microsoft ($MSFT) could bring VR to the enterprise. (stratechery.com) A Labor Department ruling could make it easier for gig workers to get classified as employees.

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Communicating Client Value By Articulating Your Solution To Their ‘Job To Be Done’

Nerd's Eye View

Communicating ongoing value to clients and prospects can be a challenge for financial advisors. Although there are many ways to articulate how an advisor can create value for a client, there is no guarantee that any one particular method will resonate with every potential client. An expression of value that works for one prospect might fall completely flat with another – and for advisors, it might feel like guesswork to find out what message will be the most effective for a particular clie

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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • Fed’s Inflation Fight Has Some Economists Fearing an Unnecessarily Deep Downturn : Rapid rate increases provide less time for central bankers to study their economic effects ( Wall Street Journal ). • Eight ways Elon Musk could still get out of buying Twitter : TL; DR they’re all quite stupid ( Financial Times ) see also Twitter investors should be very careful about trusting Elon Musk : And it wasn’t going well for him.

Economics 276
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Retail Sales Unchanged in September

Calculated Risk

On a monthly basis, retail sales were unchanged from August to September (seasonally adjusted), and sales were up 8.2 percent from September 2021. From the Census Bureau report : Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for September 2022, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $684.0 billion, virtually unchanged from the previous month, but 8.2 percent above September 2021.

Retail 145
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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Three reasons why international stocks have been such a big disappointment. (morningstar.com) Why selling after a 25% decline has historically been a bad idea. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) For those people investing regularly, your money is going to do more work for you. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Every bear market is different.

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Medical Office Deals Slow Down as Rising Rates Reset Price Expectations

Wealth Management

“We know firsthand from deals we’ve been working on that buyers have pulled back and lenders are more conservative,” says one broker. Nevertheless, the medical office sector is still considered a favored asset class among investors.

Medical 138
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1978 Porsche 911SC (Modified)

The Big Picture

One of the hottest trends in cars lately is retro-modding. It can go in either direction: Take a modern car and make it look like a retro classic — see the post-2000s Ford Mustang or the new Bronco as examples. But the other way to go is to take an older car and modernize it. Perhaps the most outrageous approach to this is done by Singer — as an example, see this gorgeous baby blue 1989 Porsche 964 Carrera 4 Coupe , that is bid up to $950k.

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Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 31% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 15%

Calculated Risk

Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report released today from economist Jiayi Xu: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Oct 8, 2022. Note: They have data on list prices, new listings and more, but this focus is on inventory. • Active inventory continued to grow, increasing 31% above one year ago.

Sales 145
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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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Friday links: brutal market sell-offs

Abnormal Returns

Markets Bond market volatility is at crisis levels. (axios.com) The biggest risk to the market right now is central bank policy error. (awealthofcommonsense.com) When the stock market is down 25% we are usually already in a recession. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Expectations for the 60/40 portfolio have been reset this year. (morningstar.com) Companies Details on Netflix ($NFLX) Basic with Ads is here.

Marketing 130
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Bad News is Good News

The Irrelevant Investor

One simple way to explain how markets function is rising prices attract buyers, and falling prices attract sellers. They might sound like opposite yet equivalent truths, but they’re not. Fear spreads quicker than greed, which is why bull markets can grind on for years, while bear markets often end quickly and in a panic. The chart below shows what I just described.

Marketing 136
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Boaz Weinstein: Live at Bloomberg Invest!

The Big Picture

I will be discussing “Whales, Tails & Fails” with B0az Weinstein at Bloomberg Invest at 1:00 pm. I’ll post it when the video goes live if you miss the stream. The post Boaz Weinstein: Live at Bloomberg Invest! appeared first on The Big Picture.

Investing 174
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FOMC Minutes "Purposefully moving to a restrictive policy stance in the near term"

Calculated Risk

"Purposefully moving" towards a more restrictive policy. From the Fed: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, September 20-21, 2022. Excerpt: In their assessment of the effects of policy actions and communications to date, participants concurred that the Committee's actions to raise expeditiously the target range for the federal funds rate demonstrated its resolve to lower inflation to 2 percent and to keep inflation expectations anchored at levels consistent with that longer-run goal.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Longform links: credentialism and technocracy

Abnormal Returns

Books A Q&A with Dr. Wes Ely author of "Every Deep-Drawn Breath: A Critical Care Doctor on Healing, Recovery, and Transforming Medicine in the ICU." (statnews.com) An excerpt from "Of Boys and Men: Why the Modern Male Is Struggling, Why It Matters, and What to Do About It" by Richard V. Reeves. (nationalaffairs.com) An excerpt from "Belonging: The Science of Creating Connection and Bridging Divides' by Geoffrey L.

Medicine 130
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The Worst Kind of Financial Advice

A Wealth of Common Sense

A new research paper from an economist at Yale did a deep dive into 50 of the most popular personal finance books of all-time. If you’re a personal finance nerd like me you should be familiar with the authors — Dave Ramsey, Suze Orman, Robert Kiyosaki, Ramit Sethi, David Bach and the like. The point of the paper was to show how typical personal finance advice differs from academic economic models.

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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My end-of-week morning train WFH reads: • You’re going back to the office. Your boss isn’t. Bosses are ordering people back to the office from the comfort of their own homes. ( Vox ). • In the Battle With Robots, Human Workers Are Winning : As central bankers around the world are rushing to cool labor markets and tame inflation — a lot of policymakers are hoping that this week’s employment report shows declining demand for new workers — a few economic and technological truths have become evident

Insurance 158