Sat.Sep 07, 2024 - Fri.Sep 13, 2024

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week High yields come with risk. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise. (wsj.com) Three reasons why the stock market declines. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Early in retirement is the time to do some tax planning. (whitecoatinvestor.com) Three reasons to buy Josh Brown's new book "You Weren’t Supposed To See That." (ritholtz.com) How pour-over coffee got so good.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (September 14–September 15)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that the SEC this week fined 4 RIAs for violations of its marketing rule related to their claims that they offered 'conflict-free' financial advice. Which means that while many fee-only RIAs use the reduced conflicts that come with the fee-only model (as opposed to firms that receive compensation from commissions and other sources) as a key marketing talking point, the fact rem

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MiB: David Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group

The Big Picture

 This week, we speak with David Rubenstein , Co-Founder and Co-Chairman of The Carlyle Group , which manages over $426 billion is private equity, credit and venture funds. Prior to forming the firm in 1987, David practiced law and served as Deputy Assistant to the President for Domestic Policy, as well as Chief Counsel to the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee’s Subcommittee on Constitutional Amendments.

Medicine 184
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Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $2.8 Trillion in Q2

Calculated Risk

The Federal Reserve released the Q2 2024 Flow of Funds report today: Financial Accounts of the United States. The net worth of households and nonprofits rose to $163.8 trillion during the second quarter of 2024. The value of directly and indirectly held corporate equities increased $0.7 trillion and the value of real estate increased $1.8 trillion. Household debt increased 3.2 percent at an annual rate in the second quarter of 2024.

Nonprofit 133
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If It Aint Broke, Don’t Fix It: A Dangerous Mindset

Time and time again we tell ourselves and others NOT take action on something that is not "broken." We apply that mindset at home and at work. Sometimes, it doesn’t work out so well. Because when it's truly broken, it's usually an emergency, costs more and causes stress. Join us in this webinar where we share ways where you are able to anticipate your needs, understand benefits that you will get from getting better now instead of later, and relieving your team of tasks that they don't need to be

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Longform links: dealing with trolls

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from Tim Harford’s book, “The Undercover Economist Strikes Back.” (on.ft.com) A Q&A with Alison Fragle author of "Likeable Badass: How Women Get the Success They Deserve." (annieduke.substack.com) AI Why AI really could disrupt work. (danielmiessler.com) Just how transformational is AI in the big picture? (thezvi.substack.com) 11 predictions about AI including 'AI will create more disruption than profit.

Retail 236

More Trending

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At The Money: Managing Bond Duration

The Big Picture

 At The Money: Karen Veraa, Head of iShares US Fixed Income Strategy, BlackRock (September 11, 2024) Full transcript below. ~~~ About this week’s guest: Karen Veraa is a Fixed Income Product Strategist within BlackRock’s Global Fixed Income Group focusing on iShares fixed-income ETFs. She supports iShares clients, generates content on fixed-income markets and ETFs, develops new fixed-income iShares ETF strategies, and partners with the iShares team on product delivery.

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Why Housing is Everyone’s Favorite Investment

A Wealth of Common Sense

Each year since 2011, Gallup has asked people what they think is the best long-term investment: After a brief love affair with gold, real estate has been in the top spot every year since 2013. Stocks are a distant second. So why do we Americans love the housing market so much from an investment perspective? There is something about the American Dream of homeownership combined with the size of the price tag involved for s.

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Podcast links: overcoming cynicism

Abnormal Returns

Listening The 'Acquired' podcast is selling out arenas with the help of Zuck. (nytimes.com) Podcast 'historians' aren't bound by anything resembling the truth. (theatlantic.com) Economy Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler talk with Ed Yardeni about the potential for a 'Roaring 20's.' (youtube.com) James Pethokoukis talks American dynamism with Katherine Boyle who is a general partner at VC giant Andreessen Horowitz.

Startup 231
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Why Service Advisors Who Obtain CFP Marks Are Making More Money For Themselves And Their Firms

Nerd's Eye View

While the share of advisors with the CFP marks has risen steadily over time, today, about 2/3 of financial advisors are not CFP professionals. This means that, for most advisors, the decision to obtain this designation remains an open one. A crucial factor in an advisor's decision to prepare for the CFP exam – often requiring them to sacrifice evenings and weekends to complete the requisite coursework (which can take more than a year), and spending many thousands of dollars – is whet

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4 Things Great Companies Do to Improve Cash Flow

Speaker: Don Gallianza, Credit Manager at Chevron Phillips Chemical and Indy Chakrabarti, Chief Marketing Officer at HighRadius

4 Case Studies to Optimize DSO 26 Days Sales Outstanding. Already better than most. But, should you improve on that? Why would 3 fewer days even matter? It matters because it fundamentally transforms business outcomes. Join this webinar to explore 4 things companies do to reclaim hard dollars - not just soft costs - and go from good to great! What You'll Learn 6 operational KPIs every AR manager should track: Define and track these metrics to enhance performance, drive efficiency, and make infor

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Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-September 2024

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-September 2024 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-September provides a snapshot of the current housing market. I always focus first on inventory, since inventory usually tells the tale ! Here is a graph of new listing from Realtor.com’s August 2024 Monthly Housing Market Trends Report showing new listings were down 0.9% year-over-year in August.

Marketing 121
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Air Conditioning: An Economic Wonder

A Wealth of Common Sense

Mario Draghi, the former Jerome Powell of the European Union, was tasked with writing a detailed report on the economic competitiveness (or lack thereof) in Europe. His findings are striking. Here are some facts and figures that stood out: Across different metrics, a wide gap in GDP has opened up between the EU and the US, driven mainly by a more pronounced slowdown in productivity growth in Europe.

Economics 115
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Monday links: an economy on hold

Abnormal Returns

Finance Analysts are in no rush to cut earnings estimates. (sherwood.news) Kalshi won its lawsuit against the CFTC to offer political prediction markets. (coindesk.com) Apple Will AI drive a renewed iPhone upgrade cycle? (spyglass.org) What is Apple ($AAPL) spending all that R&D money on? (sherwood.news) How Apple ($AAPL) turned the watch into THE wearable.

Economy 234
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Voya to Acquire OneAmerica’s $60B Retirement Plan Business

Wealth Management

For an upfront purchase price of $50 million, the deal brings $47 billion of assets in the emerging and mid-market retirement plan segments and competitive ESOP administration.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q2

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q2 Excerpt: During the housing bubble, many homeowners borrowed heavily against their perceived home equity - jokingly calling it the “Home ATM” - and this contributed to the subsequent housing bust, since so many homeowners had negative equity in their homes when house prices declined.

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What Happens to the Money Market Cash on the Sidelines?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Our resident estate expert, Taylor Hollis, joined me on the show this week to discuss questions about CD rates, how trusts work, how to protect your finances from an illness in the family and paying off student loans with a 401k loan. Further Reading: How Individual Retirement Accounts Changed the Stock Market Forever 1Assets did fall and then stagnated coming out of the Great Financial Crisis but that was a period with.

Marketing 110
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Adviser links: staffing a growing firm

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Michael Kitces talks financial wellness with Zack Hubbard. Zack is the Director of Financial Planning and Participant Engagement of Greenspring Advisors. (kitces.com) Dave Zoller talks with Brian Portnoy about the essential skills of the best advisers. (youtube.com) Brendan Frazier talks with Michael Kitces about mastering the human side of financial advice.

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Consumer Price Index: Inflation Cools to 2.5% in August

Advisor Perspectives

Inflation cooled for a fifth straight month in August, dropping to its lowest level since February 2021. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the headline figure for the Consumer Price Index fell to 2.5% year-over-year, right in line with economist expectations. Additionally, core CPI cooled to 3.2% as expected.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increased 3% in August

Calculated Risk

From Dodge Data Analytics: Dodge Momentum Index Rises 3% in August The Dodge Momentum Index (DMI), issued by Dodge Construction Network, increased 2.9% in August to 220.4 (2000=100) from the revised July reading of 214.2. Over the month, commercial planning expanded 1.9% and institutional planning improved 5.7%. “Owners and developers continued to prime the planning queue in August, ahead of next year’s anticipated stronger market conditions,” stated Sarah Martin, associate director of forecasti

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Can This Continue?

A Wealth of Common Sense

I’m not good at timing the markets. I’m not good at predicting turning points. I don’t know when certain asset classes, stocks, or strategies will over- or underperform. I do know nothing is more dependable in the markets than cycles. John Templeton famously said the four most dangerous words in investing are “this time is different.” The hard part about cycles is sometimes things really are.

Assets 107
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Thursday links: the gadget aisle

Abnormal Returns

Apple How the new AirPod Pros 2 could upend the hearing aid industry. (cnbc.com) Why it's smart for Apple ($AAPL) to add a Camera Control button to the new iPhones. (macworld.com) The iPhone camera is going to be an onramp for 'visual AI.' (om.co) The iPhone 16s are not 'AI phones.' (spyglass.org) Companies Kevin Plank has a tough job in his second go-round as Under Armour ($UA) CEO.

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Unemployment Claims Up 2K, Worse Than Estimates Expected

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending September 7th, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 230,000. This represents an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's figure and is worse than the 227,000 economists were expecting.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year Brief excerpt: Tracking rents is important for understanding the dynamics of the housing market. For example, the sharp increase in rents helped me deduce that there was a surge in household formation in 2021 (See from September 2021: Household Formation Drives Housing Demand ).

Sales 118
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$3.6B Cetera OSJ Recruits Advisor to Lead New Family Office Division

Wealth Management

Cetera-backed Wilde Wealth Management Group has brought on Drew Kliber, who managed $400 million in assets at UBS, as head of its W Family Office division.

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Saturday links: snacking culture

Abnormal Returns

AVs When (and how) human operators step in for driverless cars. (nytimes.com) How self-driving cars could backfire from an environmental perspective. (theverge.com) Transport Electric school buses are the future. (vox.com) A wind-powered cargo ship just crossed the Atlantic. (fastcompany.com) Batteries are coming for your boat. (apnews.com) Fire Building codes need to change to reduce wildfire risks.

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60 Million Baby Boomer Votes Sway the Presidential Election

Advisor Perspectives

78 million baby boomers are about one-third of the voter-eligible population and 77 percent of them vote, so there are 60 million baby boomer votes. That 60 million is 38 percent of the 158 million votes cast in the 2020 presidential election. The baby boomer voters’ bloc is a big deal.

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Benchmarking ROI with Forrester: Measuring the Success of Finance Transformation

Finance Transformation Myths Busted Over 75% of organizations struggle to define the right success metrics to benchmark the impact of their finance transformation investment. Whether you are just initiating your digital transformation journey or planning to pitch your next AI project to leadership, without the right metrics and a rigorous tracking process - all your efforts might go to waste!

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Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 5.4% year-over-year in June; FHFA House Price Index Declined Slightly month-over-month in June

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: House Price Weekend: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 5.4% year-over-year in June Excerpt: S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for June ("June" is a 3-month average of April, May and June closing prices). June closing prices include some contracts signed in February, so there is a significant lag to this data.

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RIAs to Pay $1.2M To Settle SEC Marketing Rule Violations

Wealth Management

The firms named include Integrated Advisors Network, Richard Berstein Advisors and Abacus Planning Group, all of which paid six-figure civil penalties.

Marketing 116
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Research links: reasonably efficient markets

Abnormal Returns

Quant stuff AI is not just another technology. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) Using machine learning for portfolio optimization. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) A review of recent research on portfolio risk management including 'Does Systematic Tail Risk Matter?' (capitalspectator.com) Poker as a tool to learn trading. (wsj.com) Trend following Why trend following won't go away any time soon.

Marketing 188