Sat.Dec 31, 2022 - Fri.Jan 06, 2023

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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (January 2023)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the January 2023 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that Envestnet has decided to enter the RIA custodial business through a partnership with Australian bank FNZ to white-label what was once the State Street RIA custodial platform of many years ago –

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Freudenschaude

The Big Picture

Merry Christmas, Happy New Year, and all the rest of the seasonal glad tidings for you and yours in 2023. Before we roll up our sleeves and start to engage in the serious business of managing risk in the capital markets, I wanted to share a story that is more in keeping with the spirits of the season. I ran track in high school. My father’s advice when I joined the team was: Find the fastest guy on the team and keep up with him.

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Think you have it bad?

The Reformed Broker

If you’re a financial advisor or a fund manager and you weren’t down 20% last year, you won, basically. The S&P fell into a 20% bear market while the Nasdaq crashed almost 40%. Bonds were down double digits as an asset class. International stocks, while outperforming the US and not down as much, were still down a lot. Except for Turkey, which inexplicably doubled last year – here’s the TUR ETF, The post Think you have it bad?

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site Why you should choose simplicity over complexity: the case against FSAs. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Here is Eddy's 2023 Buy List. (crossingwallstreet.com) The best books Ben read in 2022 including "Die With Zero" by Bill Perkins. (awealthofcommonsense.com) A look at the best charts of 2022. (topdowncharts.substack.com) Six things that don't change in financial markets including the attraction of 'shiny objects.

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Register Now: Sneak Peek Into Close Automation SkyStem Web Demo

Technology is rapidly changing the way accountants perform and manage month-end activities. Spreadsheets, email, and shared drives no longer have to slow us down. Join us as we present a "sneak peek" recorded demo of SkyStem's month-end close solution – ART. In under four weeks, your team can start reaping the benefits of month-end close automation by vastly reducing spreadsheets, cut down on reconciliation work, speed up the month-end close, and better manage your remote team.

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Implementing Retirement Income Guardrails To Facilitate (The Right) Spending Raises And Spending Cuts

Nerd's Eye View

Financial advisors have a wide range of strategies at their disposal to create financial plans for their clients. And when it comes to retirement planning, one popular technique is the use of ‘guardrails’, which set an initial monthly withdrawal rate that can be later adjusted as the size of the client’s portfolio changes. This strategy is valuable because it generally allows for higher initial withdrawal rates than more static approaches that don’t accommodate clients wi

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It’s GLD, b*tch!

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, JC Parets, Steve Strazza, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss why JC is bullish precious metals, Bitcoin’s make or break moment, what Warren Buffett’s buying, value vs growth, and MUCH more. You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!

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Wednesday links: what winning looked like

Abnormal Returns

Markets 15 charts that explain 2022 returns. (morningstar.com) 2022 was a good year for value. (blog.validea.com) Consumer sentiment is awful. (alhambrapartners.com) Commodities Managed futures returns in 2022 were front-end loaded. (rcmalternatives.com) Natural gas prices in Europe have fallen to pre-war levels. (axios.com) Lumber prices are back down to pre-pandemic levels.

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#FA Success Ep 314: Focusing On The Planning Work You Enjoy By Providing Outsourced Virtual CFP Services, With Sue Chesney

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 314th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Sue Chesney. Sue is the owner of Delegated Planning, which offers virtual outsourced financial planning support to 55 advisory firms, and the co-founder of Planning Zoo, an outsourced financial planning data entry business that helps current and recently graduated students from college CFP educational programs connect with advisory firms that need paraplanner support for data entry into fi

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Billionaires Index

The Big Picture

Source : Bloomberg Billionaires Index. I was in the midst of my analysis of how the Fed would react to softening wage gains in the NFP data, when the markets exploded 2.5% higher. The Fed is very concerned that the perennially underpaid median worker has been seeing wage increases. The past few years follows 3 decades of lagging income. It kinda killed my motivation to write yet another pierce discussing Fed actions.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Clips From Today’s Closing Bell

The Reformed Broker

Investors need to accept we’re in a new paradigm, says Ritholtz’s Josh Brown from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Closing Bell appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Sunday links: the role of work

Abnormal Returns

Markets Global stocks and bonds lost more than $30 trillion for 2022. (ft.com) The 60/40 portfolio had a historically bad year. (finance.yahoo.com) Apple ($AAPL) lost $846 billion in market cap in 2022. (marketwatch.com) 2022 was a big year for ETFs, except for a spot Bitcoin ETF. (theetfeducator.com) IPO proceeds fell off the table in 2022. (cnbc.com) Strategy Average annual stock market returns are not-so average.

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December Employment Report: 223 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 223,000 in December, and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.5 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, health care, construction, and social assistance. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for October was revised down by 21,000, from +284,000 to +263,000, and the change for November was revised down by 7,000, from +263,000 to +256,000.

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State Coincident Indicators: November 2022

The Big Picture

The Philly Fed’s November State Coincident Indicators snuck out while I was away (1/28/22). There are increasing signs of local distress revealed in the midwest, and lots of softness elsewhere. As detailed here , over the past month, the SCI indicies increased in 30 states, decreased in 13 states, and remained stable in seven, for a one-month diffusion index of 34.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Why Wall Street is Bearish on 2023

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ►2023 Targets – Wall Street is going into the year the majority of strategists predicting muted gains or outright losses for the S&P 500. ►Dotcom Bubble Stocks – “Where are they now?

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Longform links: owning your content

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from Sheila Liming’s forthcoming book, "Hanging Out: The Radical Power of Killing Time." (theatlantic.com) An excerpt from Dacher Keltner’s new book, "Awe: The New Science of Everyday Wonder and How It Can Transform Your Life." (theatlantic.com) Society Americans are spending more time and money on pets. (washingtonpost.com) There seems to be a marked shift in attitudes toward work for younger generations.

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Comments on December Employment Report

Calculated Risk

With 4.50 million jobs added, 2022 was the 2nd best year for job growth in US history behind only 2021 with 6.74 million. The headline jobs number in the December employment report was above expectations, however employment for the previous two months was revised down by 28,000, combined. The participation rate increased, and the unemployment rate decreased to 3.5%.

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10 New Year’s Eve Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here — AND it’s New Year’s Eve! Pour yourself a mug of Porto Rico Importing coffee, grab a seat by the fire, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The Backstory of ChatGPT Creator OpenAI : Behind ChatGPT and other AI breakthroughs was Sam Altman’s fundraising—but skeptics remain. ( Wall Street Journal ). • 52 things I learned in 2022 : This year I worked on fascinating projects in energy, media and health* at Magnetic, and learned many learnings. ( M

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Johnson & Johnson, Goldman Sachs, Chubb from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Research links: the downside of diversification

Abnormal Returns

Research How do bonds perform after a 2-10 yield curve inversion? (simplify.us) What accounts for the difference between brown and green stocks? (alphaarchitect.com) A look at how various factors performed during different market cycles. (quantpedia.com) How is geopolitical risk measured? (alphaarchitect.com) Contrary to the life-cycle hypothesis, the elderly don't uniformly engage in decumulation of assets.

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Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 67% YoY, Slightly Below Pre-Pandemic Levels

Calculated Risk

Here is another monthly update on framing lumber prices. This graph shows CME random length framing futures through January 3rd. Lumber was at $374 per 1000 board feet this morning. This is down from the peak of $1,733, and down 67% from $1,148 a year ago. Prices are slightly below the pre-pandemic levels of around $400. Click on graph for larger image.

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10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My early morning train WFH reads: • Get Ready for the Richcession : Well-off Americans could get hurt more than usual in the next downturn ( Wall Street Journal ). • Why Markets Were Down in 2022 : there was also an Occum’s razor answer for the losses in financial markets in 2022. Sometimes the reason asset prices fall is because they went up too much in the first place. ( Wealth of Common Sense ) see also Observations to Start 2023 : From 2010 through 2021, The S&P500 Index gained 330% — a

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Quick Start Guide to a Crystal Clear Close

Did you know automating your month-end close can save up to 40% of the time typically spent on manual reconciliations? CFOs and controllers are leveraging SkyStem's workflow management and reconciliation tool to eliminate costly mistakes, ditch manual reconciliations and close faster. Want to know how they do it? Download our Quick Start Guide to a Crystal Clear Close!

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Fundamental Analysis of Tejas Networks – Company, Financials & More

Trade Brains

Fundamental Analysis of Tejas Networks: Broadband connectivity to homes and businesses is an essential service like gas, electricity, and water, especially with the onset of the pandemic. High-speed connectivity is an enabler of business continuity and resilience, it is the engine of e-commerce. And telecom equipment companies play a major role in enabling connectivity.

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Personal finance links: ignoring the lottery

Abnormal Returns

Retirement Why you need a diversified life portfolio in retirement. (wsj.com) Why you want to have options in retirement. (kiplinger.com) Everybody wants the FI in FIRE. (bestinterest.blog) Giving up How to de-prioritize activities that don't serve you. (genyplanning.com) Why you should choose simplicity over complexity: the case against FSAs. (abnormalreturns.com) This startup site is designed to provide people with information about divorce.

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Reis: Office Vacancy Rate Increased in Q4 as "demand plummeted", Mall Vacancy Rate Unchanged

Calculated Risk

From Moody’s Analytics Senior Economist Lu Chen and economist Xiaodi Li: Apartment struck a balance, Office demand plummeted, and Retail remains flat Corporate profits squeezed under macroeconomic uncertainties and flexible work arrangements weakened office demand and continued to transform the sector’s fundamental. Moreover, new office demand isn’t always reflected through direct leases.

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Stocks That Lost the Most Market Cap in 2022

The Big Picture

Source: Reddit. The post Stocks That Lost the Most Market Cap in 2022 appeared first on The Big Picture.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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10 Predictions For 2023

The Irrelevant Investor

Market predictions are silly. We all learned this a long time ago. But that doesn’t mean they’re completely worthless. Even though forecasts are almost always wrong, they can be entertaining and educational. That’s all I’m trying to do with this post. Entertain and educate. Needless to say, but I have to say it anyway, nothing in this list is investment advice.

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Tuesday links: detrimental behavior

Abnormal Returns

Markets How major asset classes performed in December 2022. (capitalspectator.com) 2022 was the third worst year for the 60/40 portfolio. (awealthofcommonsense.com) The Dow lead the major indices in 2022. (albertbridgecapital.com) Strategy Don't let the turn of the calendar overly influence your thinking. (ritholtz.com) It's been a long time since international stocks outperformed the U.S.

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BLS: Job Openings "Little Changed" at 10.5 million in November

Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings was little changed at 10.5 million on the last business day of November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, the number of hires and total separations changed little at 6.1 million and 5.9 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (4.2 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.4 million) changed little. emphasis added The following graph shows job openings (black line), hires (dar

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