January, 2023

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How Do Active Managers Invest Their Own Money?

The Big Picture

Fascinating discussion this morning from Robin Powell. He points to a research note from Kings College where the authors surveyed active managers about how they were responding to the shift in favor from active to passive fund management over the past decade or two. But they also asked questions about how these managers invested their own monies. Robin buries the lede in his discussion, but allow me to correct that oversight: “ Active managers invest their own capital passively.” Man

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

Hung with my friends Haley Sacks (Mrs. Dow Jones), Pat McAuliffe (Barstool Sports) and Gabe Walker (PRE.VEYOR) at the Knicks game this week. That’s after doing Closing Bell from the NYSE and then a quick slice at Joe’s Pizza (“Famous Since 1975). A very New York night, really reminded me of what I love so much about this town, despite its flaws and annoyances.

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Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 69% YoY; New Listings Down 5% YoY

Calculated Risk

Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report released today from Chief Economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Jan 21, 2023. Note: They have data on list prices, new listings and more, but this focus is on inventory. • Active inventory growth continued to climb with for-sale homes up 69% above one year ago.

Numbers 145
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Is It Realistic to Have 100% of Your Portfolio in Stocks?

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: Is it crazy to be 100% in stocks from age 32 to sometime in my 50s for my retirement accounts? And another reader asks a similar question: I don’t get why people work a 30+ year career while investing in stocks only to glide path into a heavier bond allocation around retirement. Why not just stay 100% in stocks, benefit from share price appreciation and collect dividends for life?

Portfolio 144
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Register Now: Sneak Peek Into Close Automation SkyStem Web Demo

Technology is rapidly changing the way accountants perform and manage month-end activities. Spreadsheets, email, and shared drives no longer have to slow us down. Join us as we present a "sneak peek" recorded demo of SkyStem's month-end close solution – ART. In under four weeks, your team can start reaping the benefits of month-end close automation by vastly reducing spreadsheets, cut down on reconciliation work, speed up the month-end close, and better manage your remote team.

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Fundamental Analysis of Tejas Networks – Company, Financials & More

Trade Brains

Fundamental Analysis of Tejas Networks: Broadband connectivity to homes and businesses is an essential service like gas, electricity, and water, especially with the onset of the pandemic. High-speed connectivity is an enabler of business continuity and resilience, it is the engine of e-commerce. And telecom equipment companies play a major role in enabling connectivity.

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Freudenschaude

The Big Picture

Merry Christmas, Happy New Year, and all the rest of the seasonal glad tidings for you and yours in 2023. Before we roll up our sleeves and start to engage in the serious business of managing risk in the capital markets, I wanted to share a story that is more in keeping with the spirits of the season. I ran track in high school. My father’s advice when I joined the team was: Find the fastest guy on the team and keep up with him.

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Wait for it

The Reformed Broker

I had a bit of a flashback last night to the year 2000, sitting in my office after hours watching JDS Uniphase collapse on the heels of its conference call after reporting “better than expected” earnings for the quarter. Throughout 2000, techs and telecoms were still making a ton of profit, but it was becoming apparent that they were still coasting on the spend from 1999.

Marketing 325
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The Normal Seasonal Pattern for Median House Prices

Calculated Risk

Earlier, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter on December existing home sales, NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.02 million SAAR in December , I mentioned that the median price was down more than normal seasonally. Below is a table of the seasonal pattern over the last several years. Seasonally prices typically peak in June (closed sales for contracts signed mostly in April and May).

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Stock, Bond & Cash Returns Over the Past 95 Years

A Wealth of Common Sense

Each year Aswath Damodaran at NYU kindly updates the annual returns for stocks (S&P 500), bonds (10 year Treasuries) and cash (3-month T-bills) going back to 1928. I love this data because stocks, bonds and cash are the building blocks of asset allocation.1 Sure, you can add other asset classes and strategies but those three are where most investors should start when it comes to figuring out your portfolio mix.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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FINRA Fines Wedbush $975K Over Trade Supervision Lapses

Wealth Management

In a settlement, FINRA said the firm mistakenly believed that third-party b/ds executing the trades were responsible for spotting potential market manipulation.

Marketing 144
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Satyam Scam – The Story of India’s Biggest Corporate Fraud!

Trade Brains

A Case Study on ‘Satyam Scam’ Accounting Scandal: When the 2008 recession hit the world, India was not only going through a financial crisis but also an ethical crisis. Imagine a hypothetical scenario in the stock market where the very basic financials provided to you by a company are manipulated. This was what happened with Satyam Computer Services.

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Observations to Start 2023

The Big Picture

Welcome to 2023! Let’s jump into the new year with some fresh observations, some of which are quite surprising: • Astronomical Measures of Time Are Unrelated to Investing : 2023 – a new year! It is natural to hope the flipping of the calendar brings something new and different. But why? It takes the Earth 365 days, 6 hours, 9 minutes, and 9.76 seconds to complete one orbit – to return to its exact same place in space relative to our star, the sun.

Economy 318
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Registration now OPEN for Future Proof 2023

The Reformed Broker

FUTURE PROOF FESTIVAL 2023 TICKET REGISTRATION IS NOW OPEN Join us September 10th-13th in Huntington Beach, CA! It’ll be the lowest rate you’ll ever pay to attend. Prices jump in 2 weeks. Use the link down below to register now. See you there[link] pic.twitter.com/BTO0RNivhJ — The Compound (@TheCompoundNews) January 18, 2023 Last September we threw the biggest wealth management festival (and proba.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in November

Calculated Risk

The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI: According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% in December. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index increased 0.4% in December. "The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland based on data released in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) monthly CPI report".

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Updating My Favorite Performance Chart For 2022

A Wealth of Common Sense

We have a handful of traditions in my family. We watch the Lions lose every year on Thanksgiving. We wear Hawaiian shirts at holiday dinners (try it…it’s fun). We get Chinese takeout for lunch every year on Christmas day. And we update my asset allocation quilt once a year when the calendar turns (OK that’s just me). Let’s do this.

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YCharts: With An Eye On Fees And Returns, More Clients Are Looking For a New Advisor

Wealth Management

As portfolio performance becomes the top concern among clients, one in four have either thought about switching, or switched, financial advisors in the last three years, a YCharts survey found.

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Talk Your Book: What Makes an Index Fund Work

The Irrelevant Investor

On today’s show, we are joined by Rodney Comegys, Head of Vanguards Equity Investment Group to discuss index fund investing with Vanguard. See here for more information and research on investing with Vanguard On today’s show, we discuss: Rodney’s background What it’s like to work at Vanguard The back-office work involved in low-cost indexing Debunking misconceptions about indexing Price discovery and.

Investing 123
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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Stop Worrying About All Those Tech Layoffs…

The Big Picture

I wanted to drop a quick note about the endless spate of layoff announcements — and why you should (mostly) ignore them. Let’s start with some numbers: Microsoft 22,000 (10%) Amazon 18,000 (1%) Google 12,000 (6.4%) Salesforce 7,000 (10%) Tesla 10,000 (10%) Twitter 3,700 (50%) Apple 0 (0%) Keep in mind a few things as you con

Economics 314
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Think you have it bad?

The Reformed Broker

If you’re a financial advisor or a fund manager and you weren’t down 20% last year, you won, basically. The S&P fell into a 20% bear market while the Nasdaq crashed almost 40%. Bonds were down double digits as an asset class. International stocks, while outperforming the US and not down as much, were still down a lot. Except for Turkey, which inexplicably doubled last year – here’s the TUR ETF, The post Think you have it bad?

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December Employment Report: 223 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 223,000 in December, and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.5 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, health care, construction, and social assistance. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for October was revised down by 21,000, from +284,000 to +263,000, and the change for November was revised down by 7,000, from +263,000 to +256,000.

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How Do Stocks & Bonds Perform Following Big Down Years?

A Wealth of Common Sense

It’s now well-documented that 2022 is one of the worst years in history for financial markets. Last year was one of the worst years ever for stocks and the worst year ever for bonds. The logical next step is to look at what has happened next following the prior worst years for stocks, bonds and diversified portfolios. Past performance tells us nothing about future performance but studying market history can provide.

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Putting the ‘Tech’ in Spend Management Techniques

Speaker: Wayne Spivak, President and CFO of SBA * Consulting Ltd., Industry Writer, Public Speaker

If you’re lost in the world of spend management needs and your GAP analysis is lacking perspective on the future state of your business performance, listen up! With the advancement of technology, the implementation of spend management best practices and concrete GAP analyses is more streamlined and accessible than ever before. And while this may sound like great news for you and your clients, it won’t be worthwhile unless you have the latest techniques to back up your ambitions!

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The 10 Most Important Things I Tell Clients

Advisor Perspectives

Over the past couple of decades, I’ve told clients many very important things. Most of them are timeless, which is why I find myself saying the same things repeatedly. Here are the top 10, and I’ve saved my most important for last.

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Animal Spirits: Is the Stock Market Getting Ahead of Itself?

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts: Enter your information here to get 20% off YCharts (new clients only) On today’s show, we discuss: The narrative vortex December 2022 retail sales Auto market weekly summary: January 13 Tesla’s price cuts are roiling the car market Over 5M new US startups show Covid-era boom has legs Google laid off high performers and earners while largely sparing &#821.

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Future Proof 2023

The Big Picture

Last year, we hosted the first Future Proof conference , and it was. The reviews were fabulous: Morningstar , L.A. Times , Investment News , Financial Planning , RIA Biz , Think Advisor , Business Insider ; Afterward, I told you the traditional financial conference was kaput. Attendees from all over the country (and the world!) came to discuss the most important issues surrounding advising clients.

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

Happy New Year everyone! Great to be back in the saddle this week, working with our new president as we prepare for 2023 and beyond. We’ve got lots of projects and initiatives underway at Ritholtz Wealth, some of which you’ll be hearing about from me very soon. This week we went back to our regularly scheduled programming, with fresh episodes of all your favorite shows – What Are Your Thoughts, Animal Sp.

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Connect, Care, Convert: Secrets to Establishing Trust with Niche Markets and Turning Them Into Clients

Speaker: Lynnette Khalfani-Cox, The Money Coach®

Niche markets represent a huge opportunity for the financial services industry in America. From college students and women to communities of color and low-to-moderate-income households, niche populations have specialized financial needs – but they often underutilize many valuable financial products and services. How can you better connect with these consumers?

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Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 67% YoY, Slightly Below Pre-Pandemic Levels

Calculated Risk

Here is another monthly update on framing lumber prices. This graph shows CME random length framing futures through January 3rd. Lumber was at $374 per 1000 board feet this morning. This is down from the peak of $1,733, and down 67% from $1,148 a year ago. Prices are slightly below the pre-pandemic levels of around $400. Click on graph for larger image.

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The Long-Term Wins

A Wealth of Common Sense

Some people might think it’s bizarre that turning the page on the calendar should matter to investors. Why do investment professionals care about the end of a month, quarter or year? These periods do seem arbitrary but the changing of the calendar from one year to the next offers a good chance for market nerds like myself to update some long-term market data.

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Funding Special Needs Clients with ABLE Accounts

Advisor Perspectives

Special needs trusts and ABLE accounts are the pillars of special needs funding. I have a professional here to discuss the differences between them and how each can be used to maximize financial resources. This includes protecting government benefits, understanding eligibility requirements, guidelines for use, and funding options. The discussion will explain how you can best support families to provide quality of life and a lifetime of care.