The Big Picture

OCTOBER 24, 2024

What do the Great Depression, the Great Financial Crisis, the Stagflationary 1970s, and the upcoming 10-years have in common? If you are a strategist at Goldman Sachs , then a lot. At least if you do forecasts for market returns over the next decade (lol), you may see incredible similarities. ICYMI: David Kostin and his team of strategists see a 72% chance the S&P 500 underperforms Treasuries, and a 33% possibility equities return less than inflation.

Distribution 326

Distribution Economics Portfolio Economy 326

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 27, 2024

Markets Jeff Somer, "Hedging and prediction markets are certainly worth knowing about, but for financial well-being, I believe that straightforward strategies are superior for most of us — as long as the great U.S. experiment endures." (nytimes.com) On the danger of forecasting decade-long returns. (tker.co) The problem with broad emerging market indices.

Financial Advising 293

Financial Advising Economics Media Taxes 293

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 23, 2024

While the financial advice industry has transformed in many ways over the past several decades, one aspect that has remained relatively constant is the use of the Assets Under Management (AUM) fee model as a common way for many advisors to get paid. Though in practice, while a 1% AUM fee is a common 'starting point' in the industry, the actual fee structure can vary based on the firm's approach; for example, some firms may reduce the fee for high-net-worth clients, or charge an additional fee fo

Clients 246

Clients Financial Advice Financial Planning Financial Advisor 246

A Wealth of Common Sense

OCTOBER 20, 2024

There are certain financial publications that you can just tell have a European bent to them. They use words with an extra “u” like favourite, glamour, or colour. They use cheque instead of check. And per cent has a space for some reason. The Financial Times and The Economist come to mind. The Economist has a new special report with a series of stories about how America is the envy of the world, economically s.

Economics 145

Economics 145

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

Accounting

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 31, 2024

I once received an email from a family friend about long-term care insurance. He was frustrated over a premium increase – which wasn’t the first rate hike. Yet, he was thankful for the policy. Despite the rising cost, he knew the importance of long-term care insurance in helping protect himself and his family. Mostly because he knew the alternative and had seen examples of it play out time and time again.

Planning 141

Planning Insurance Retirement Medical 141

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 25, 2024

 This week, we speak with Toto Wolff , Team Principal & CEO of the Mercedes-AMG PETRONAS F1 Team. Prior to joining Mercedes, Toto spent time in the investment world, founding his own company Marchfifteen in 1998 and Marchsixteen in 2004. In 2009 Toto combined his passion for racing and business by investing in the Williams F1 Team. He eventually came to be the team’s Executive Director, helping to lead them toward their first win at the Spanish Grand Prix in eight years.

Healthcare 294

Healthcare Management Investing Investments 294

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 29, 2024

History You can't tell the story of indexing without the late John “Mac” McQuown. (on.ft.com) Mutual funds have been around for a 100 years now. (fhmagazine.org) Joachim Klement, "In economics, finance, politics, and most social sciences we create models with an error term and then conveniently ignore the error term as ‘noise.’ (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Global Increased globalization helps explain rising correlations.

Economics 290

Economics Portfolio Marketing Marketing 290

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 2, 2024

Given the frequent news headlines on the (un)sustainability of the Social Security system, many working-age financial advisory clients might harbor doubts about receiving their full estimated Social Security benefits (and many current Social Security recipients might be concerned that they will not continue to receive their full benefits throughout the remainder of their lives).

Retirement 246

Retirement Clients Financial Planning Taxes 246

A Wealth of Common Sense

OCTOBER 15, 2024

The Great Financial Crisis decimated the balance sheets of most Americans. How could it not? Housing prices were down by nearly 30%. The stock market crashed almost 60%. The unemployment rate hit double-digits. It was the worst economic period most of us have ever lived through. The collective net worth of American households reached roughly $66 trillion by the end of 2007.

Economics 138

Economics Marketing Marketing 138

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

Accounting

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 24, 2024

Retiring abroad can be a dream come true for many Americans, offering the opportunity to explore new cultures, enjoy different climates, and potentially stretch retirement savings. But moving to a new country involves significant financial planning. If you’re considering making the leap, there are key financial considerations you need to weigh before you make this major life change.

Retirement 142

Retirement Healthcare Taxes Medical 142

Fortune Financial

OCTOBER 14, 2024

It has been my experience when reviewing portfolios that diversification is typically expressed simply as a number of various stocks owned, or owning a handful of asset classes, usually stocks of various sizes and geographies, and bonds of varying maturities. While such a simple asset allocation may work for many investors, it is my view that too little thought is given to other diversification tools that may enhance a portfolio by addressing some vulnerabilities that can result when a portfoli

Asset Allocation 131

Asset Allocation Government Financial Advisor Portfolio 131

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 7, 2024

@TBPInvictus here: If you’re not aware of the brouhaha that was stirred about a year or so ago when CA Gov Gavin Newsom signed into law (taking effect April 1, 2024) a new $20 minimum wage for so-called “limited service” (a/k/a fast food or QSR) restaurant workers, read up here , here , or here. In a nutshell, the usual suspects’ heads exploded well before the legislation even took effect, claiming it would lead to widespread devastation in the fast food space: job losses

Food 290

Food Media Economics Numbers 290

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 27, 2024

Top clicks this week Why we diversify. (awealthofcommonsense.com) We have entered an era where the economy is good, but everyone thinks it sucks. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Howard Marks thinks nearly every investor should look at private debt. (on.ft.com) Google's ($GOOGL) big businesses are in a slow, decline. (wheresyoured.at) Now is not a horrible time to rebalance your portfolio.

Media 289

Media Portfolio Economy Management 289

Advertisement

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

Accounting

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 10, 2024

Here are a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year. This declined and is now up 4.4% YoY. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through September 2024. Services were up 4.7% YoY as of September 2024, down from 4.8% YoY in August.

Food 131

Food 131

A Wealth of Common Sense

OCTOBER 24, 2024

We also answered questions about how to write engaging content, defining your audience when writing, how to balance stories vs. numbers in a presentation and more. Further Reading: 50 Ways the World is Getting Better 1The other choices were What I Learned Losing a Million Dollars and The Money Game. The post Am I a Permabull? appeared first on A Wealth of Common Sense.

Numbers 131

Numbers 131

Alpha Architect

OCTOBER 18, 2024

There’s no reason to think that the use of AI should lead to persistent fund outperformance, with any advantages gained likely being short lived. Artificial Intelligence, Textual Analysis and Hedge Fund Performance was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

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Discipline Funds

OCTOBER 22, 2024

You just have to love the short-term overreactions of Mr. Market. Just two months ago we get a weak employment report and investors are panicked that the Fed is too tight. Then we get a strong employment report in September and investors are panicked that the Fed is too loose. In May the 10 year interest rate was as high as 4.75%. By September it was as low as 3.6%.

Government 119

Government Economy Communication Banking 119

Advertisement

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

Banking

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 9, 2024

 ATM: Valuation is an exercise in faith with Aswath Damodaran. (October 9, 2024) Do you understand the difference between price and value? How much faith do you have that any stock or market will eventually return to its intrinsic value? Full transcript below. ~~~ About this week’s guest: Professor Aswath Damodaran of NYU Stern School of Business is known as the Dean of Valuation.

Valuation 269

Valuation Investing Investments Numbers 269

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 13, 2024

Top clicks this week If diversification is good, why not diversify globally? (humbledollar.com) Don't make your investing more complicated than it needs to be. (flyoverstocks.com) What institutional investors are doing isn't working. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) There is a whole class of pundits out there trying to knock you off your game. (downtownjoshbrown.com) Who died and paid the IRS a $7 billion estate tax bill?

Taxes 296

Taxes Investing Investments Marketing 296

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 16, 2024

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 17.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending October 11, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 17.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

Government 128

Government Marketing Marketing 128

A Wealth of Common Sense

OCTOBER 22, 2024

The U.S. stock market has been on fire of late. But it doesn’t feel like we’ve entered the euphoric phase of investor psychology just yet. In fact, many prognosticators have been lowering expectations. Goldman Sachs put out a research piece that posits the S&P 500 could return just 3% annualized over the next 10 years (just 1% after inflation): These are their baseline assumptions and they offer a range o.

Marketing 130

Marketing Marketing 130

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

Financial Advice

Advisor Perspectives

OCTOBER 1, 2024

Expanding outreach to include a well-orchestrated digital lead generation strategy is the most effective and efficient way to grow a client roster and help new generations navigate the Great Wealth Transfer with optimal financial strategies.

Clients 122

Clients 122

Trade Brains

OCTOBER 20, 2024

The cryptocurrency world is once again abuzz as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) reignites its legal battle against Ripple. This latest development has sent ripples through the crypto market, leaving investors and industry watchers on edge. SEC’s Appeal and Ripple’s Response Ripple (XRP) is a digital currency and payment network.

Sales 117

Sales Retail Commission Assets 117

Wealth Management

OCTOBER 28, 2024

Based on the results of the FPA Financial Planning Challenge, these eight colleges unlock the most value for students training to be financial planners.

Financial Planning 118

Financial Planning Financial Planner Planning 118

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 22, 2024

Trend following Why trend following is unique. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) If you want trend following returns just do trend following. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Research Want small cap exposure? Go microcap. (mailchi.mp) What ideal diversification looks like. (caia.org) AI is becoming table stakes for hedge funds. (alphaarchitect.com) European investors still prefer dividends over buybacks.

Portfolio 289

Portfolio 289

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

Numbers

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 9, 2024

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 5.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending October 4, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 5.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

Government 128

Government Economics Marketing Marketing 128

A Wealth of Common Sense

OCTOBER 8, 2024

Each year the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) updates consumer expenditure data on how Americans collectively spend and earn their money. These numbers are averages so your personal household budget probably looks different in some ways. Your circumstances — where you live, your standard of living, how much you make, family situation, etc. — often dictate how you spend.

Budgeting 132

Budgeting Numbers 132

Advisor Perspectives

OCTOBER 22, 2024

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) decreased in September to its lowest level since October 2016. The index fell 0.5% from the previous month to 99.7, marking its seventh consecutive monthly decline.

Economics 111

Economics 111