Tue.Nov 22, 2022

The 2-10 Yield Curve Inversion Recession Signal is the Strongest in Over 40 Years

Mish Talk

Data from US Treasury, calculation and chart by Mish. Chart Synopsis There was no 30-year long bond issuance in the yellow highlighted interval. The 10-year to 3-month inversion is 64 basis points, the deepest since January of 2001.

#FA Success Ep 308: Accelerating Growth From Referrals By Building Checklists For Every Meeting Detail, With Matthew Blocki

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 308th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Matthew Blocki.


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Bitcoin Hits a New 52-Week Low, Where to From Here?

Mish Talk

Bitcoin daily chart courtesy of StockCharts.Com. I have been making notes, some of them incorrectly. Apologies offered. Generational Bottoms Bitcoin is Life Hoot of the Day (From May 2022). Hmm 6 months is up. On May 8, Bitcoin was $34,000. It's now under $16,000.

Transcript: Marcus Shaw

The Big Picture

The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Marcus Shaw, CEO of AltFinance , is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including the podcast extras on iTunes , Spotify , Stitcher , Google , YouTube , and Bloomberg.

Best Practices to Ace Your Close

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Whether you’re on a 1-day close or a 10-day close, there are some fundamental commonalities that all strong accounting departments share when it comes to the month-end close. Please join us for an informative webinar where we share best practices that your team can implement today to ace your close.

Under Pressure From the US, EU Agrees to Cap the Price of Russian Oil

Mish Talk

Image from Tweet Below. Bickering Over the Cap The EU agreed to scrap its plan to not insure tankers carrying Russian oil in favor of a Biden-sponsored plan to cap the price of oil. The insurance scheme was absurd. Russia would have exported oil in tankers not insured.

More Trending

Research links: economic forecasts

Abnormal Returns

Active managers Even money managers like to 'buy what they know.' papers.ssrn.com) Active managers are subject to the same biases as individual investors. alphaarchitect.com) Key takeaways from 20 years of the SPIVA report including 'Most active managers underperform most of the time.'

People hate inflation, but unemployment is worse

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ?Bob

It Might Take a Recession to Slow Down the Consumer

A Wealth of Common Sense

Sometimes life would be easier if everyone was more like Keanu Reeves: But other times you just can’t help yourself: I’m choosing door #2 today. Sorry, Keanu.


Animal Spirits: A Confusing Year

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts: Enter your information here to claim a FREE YCharts Professional account through December 16th, 2022 (first 100 submissions) On today’s show we discuss: The S&P 500 is not the economy Why hasn’t the crypto contagion spilled into the stock market?

Global Hiring Guide for Startups

Grow your startup beyond borders and boundaries. In this eBook, you’ll discover how you can gain a competitive edge over your business rivals through the latest technology, harnessing global contractors, and using a global employment platform.

3 steps to winning the endurance game

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Johan Fanggara, CFP After competing in endurance sports — including five marathons, two Ironman races and several triathlons — I realized the financial services profession is not a sprint; it’s a marathon. Therefore, having the right mindset is crucial to building something sustainable.

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Financial Advisors, What’s Your First Impression Like?

Wealth Management

Use all five of your senses when analyzing what you're putting out there for potential clients to see for the first time

Cristiano Ronaldo to leave Manchester United 'with immediate effect'


Portuguese soccer star Cristiano Ronaldo is leaving Manchester United , the club confirmed on Tuesday. Cristiano Ronaldo is to leave Manchester United by mutual agreement, with immediate effect," Manchester United tweeted on Tuesday.

It’s Now Clear That QE Was a Colossal Policy Mistake

Advisor Perspectives

The great quantitative easing experiment was a mistake. It's time central banks acknowledge it for the failure it was and retire it from their policy arsenal as soon as they’re able

Redefining Wealth: Money Management, FinTech, Inclusion, and Belonging

Speaker: Marguerita Cheng - Chief Executive Officer at Blue Ocean Global Wealth

Join Marguerita Cheng for an engaging conversation on rethinking the concept of wealth and how everyone can benefit from professional money management.

How Will A Global Recession Affect The Indian Economy?


As the global economy is headed toward a recession, India’s market conditions are becoming hostile. Predictions state that this situation will be prolonged up to the end of 2023.

Blackstone shares fall on Credit Suisse downgrade to underperform


Blackstone Inc. shares fell 2.5% on Tuesday after Credit Suisse downgraded the alternative investment manager to underperform from neutral and cut its price target to $67.50 a share from $85.50 a share.

Loans and Hardship Withdrawals From 401(k)s Are Rising

Wealth Management

A new study finds more Americans tapping their retirement accounts early with the economy on shaky ground

Tencent Music stock jumps after J.P. Morgan recommends investors buy


The U.S.-listed listed shares of Tencent Music Entertainment Group surged 3.6% in afternoon trading Tuesday, after J.P.

Top 7 Global Employment Challenges

Global expansion brings many opportunities for companies. However, there are pitfalls along the way that can slow down progress. In this eBook, we look at the 7 key challenges to global growth, and ways to minimize expansion headaches.

Lawler: Likely "Dramatic shift" in Household Formation has "Major implications" for 2023

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Lawler: Likely "Dramatic shift" in Household Formation has "Major implications" for 2023 A brief excerpt: Below is a chart showing the CPS/ASEC estimates of the % of 25-34 year olds living alone.


Baidu tops estimates as it says online marketing business recovers


Baidu , the Chinese internet giant, said a gradual recovery of its online marketing business and the steady growth of cloud revenue helped it post stronger-than-forecast revenue. Baidu lost 12 cents per U.S. share during the quarter. Baidu said its adjusted earnings per U.S.-listed

Sales 82

November Vehicle Sales Forecast: Down slightly from October; Up 11% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From WardsAuto: November U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales to Slow from Prior Month; Still Point to Stronger Q4 (pay content).

RIA Edge Podcast: Brandon Odell on the State of Advisor Compensation, Staffing

Wealth Management

The Ensemble Practice's Brandon Odell discusses the evolution of staffing and compensation in the RIA industry—and how the most successful firms are winning the war for talent.

Global Hiring Guide: Top Emerging Fintech Hubs

The fintech industry is growing exponentially. Companies can find the talent they need in top emerging fintech hubs around the world. Highly skilled global candidates are available to hire — companies just need to know where to look for them.

Dollar Tree stock drops after earnings beat expectations, but full-year outlook was downbeat on margin pressure


Shares of Dollar Tree Inc. dropped 3.2% in premarket trading Tuesday, after the discount retailer reported fiscal third-quarter earnings that rose above expectations, but said full-year profit would be at the low-end of guidance as strong consumable sales pressure margins. Net income rose to $266.9

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RPA Conversations With Vestwell's Aaron Schumm

Wealth Management

The use of managed accounts especially as the default option

Thanksgiving Thoughts

Dear Mr. Market

Dear Mr. Market: Aside from extending our warmest wishes to you for a Happy Thanksgiving, we want to remind you that there is something else happening this time of year.

Without a Fix, New Crypto Broker Rules Could Impact Charitable Giving

Wealth Management

Congress needs to address unintended consequences

The HR Compliance Playbook: How to Improve Speed-to-Hire

Every global growth to-do list should begin with compliance. Navigating international jurisdictions can be complex and time-consuming, but with solid, up-to-date compliance procedures, companies can maximize efficiency, speed-to-hire, and mitigate risks.

Lyft stock downgraded amid concerns about economic pressures, insurance costs


Shares of Lyft Inc. were down more than 1% in premarket trading Tuesday after Cowen & Co. analyst John Blackledge downgraded the stock to market perform from outperform, writing of potential pressures stemming from insurance costs and the macroeconomic climate.

Wealthies Circle Podcast: Bringing the Sexy Back to the Back Office

Wealth Management

Listen in and learn from these experts on how you can streamline your infrastructure for fast growth with the latest enhancements in workflow technology

Petrobras stock sinks below $10 on NYSE-leading volume after UBS swings to a sell rating


The U.S.-listed listed shares of Petroleo Brasileiro S/A sank 3.3%