The Blockchain Promise is Always Around the Corner, IBM and Maersk Scrap Efforts

Blockchain Scrapheap

The Tech Monitor reports IBM and Maersk Scrap Blockchain Trade Platform TradeLens

IBM and logistics company Maersk have called time on TradeLens, the blockchain-backed supply chain platform that came online for the first time in 2018, citing a “lack of global industry collaboration” for its demise. It is due to cease operations early next year, and the second IBM-backed blockchain trade platform to get the chop this year.

TradeLens was designed to be an industry-supported supply-chain data, document, and analytics platform that could be used by importers, exporters and anyone else involved in global trade, making use of distributed blockchain technology for its backend.

The document-sharing platform helped simplify workflows through a set of digital supply-chain visibility, collaboration and analytics tools. As well as IBM and Maersk, the project had support from a number of carriers, customs organisations, banks and transport providers to create an information ecosystem.

IBM says the platform saved companies on the blockchain about 20% in documentation costs and reduced the shipping time for goods by as much as 40%, thanks to more transparent records that were more secure due to the immutable nature of the blockchain technology. It wasn’t an ideal solution though as it came with privacy and scalability issues that relied on extensive industry collaboration for full operational success, something that both IBM and Maersk struggled to attract.

It isn’t the first time IBM-backed blockchain technology has faced the chopping block. Finance platform we.trade ran out of funds earlier this year and was forced to shut down. The blockchain-based trade finance platform was backed by IBM and 12 of the biggest names in finance but failed to raise additional funds.

Has Blockchain Failed?

No. But it has failed so far. This happens frequently with new technology. 

The Journal of Shipping and Trade discusses the advantages and disadvantages in a Review of Studies of Blockchain Technology Effects on the Shipping Industry by Kelly Gerakoudi-Ventouri. 

The article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. I made no changes to the snips. 

There is much more in the article. I went for a balanced approach showing the advantages and the problems with technology adoption.

Decision-making is being increasingly supported by artificial intelligence and autonomous systems (Calvaresi et al. 2019). A decentralized system (e.g., blockchain) helps to address agency and coordination problems by offering flexibility when sharing information (Perera and Czachorowski 2019). It enables decentralized, fast, and transparent sharing, solves problems of communication inadequacy, and makes decision-making simpler and quicker (Lafarre and Van der Elst 2018; Tsiulin et al. 2020).

Decisions based on blockchain technology are also executed much faster than conventional approaches (McCook 2018). For example, the use of smart contracts offers an automated mode of decision-making based on predetermined parameters agreed upon by actors (Van Rijmenam et al. 2018). Accordingly, shipping industry players are increasingly becoming convinced of the effectiveness of collaboration and collective decision-making for their sustained growth (Diordiiev 2018). Nevertheless, cooperation among parties involved in shipping transactions remains complex (Jain 2018), and extensive collaboration often encounters difficulties regarding issues of privacy, security, and confidence (Yang et al. 2019). 

Information asymmetry is a noteworthy problem in the shipping industry, partly because the generated information is often used by different parties (Mattila et al. 2016). However, some parties do not create useful data, resulting in information gaps (Mattila et al. 2016). Blockchain technology helps shipping industry third parties, such as banks, freight forwarders, and agents, overcome this problem (Jugović et al. 2019). Data cannot be edited or deleted from a blockchain, and they are secure and independent of any single computer node. Thus, the need for administration is eliminated (Jain 2018). The initial purpose of blockchain technology was to provide confidential information on financial transactions without interference from third parties (Jović et al. 2019). The fact that a blockchain eradicates the role of third parties makes the technology comparable to and compatible with the internet (Van Rijmenam et al.

The shipping industry is not only competitive, but it can also be regarded as technology- and information-intensive (Filom and Van Hassel 2020). However, the industry is characterized by several inefficiencies in its operations and execution of transactions. The research results (Fig. 3) indicate that there is a requirement for a large amount of documentation, and the processes are rather rigid and complex (Di Vaio and Varriale 2020). 

Code Map of Shipping Industry Code

Advantages of Blockchain Technology

Figure 4 suggests that blockchain might present a radical solution to the above-mentioned challenges faced by decision-makers, and it promises to be applicable to many industries (Huhmo 2018).

With its application, a single digital ledger could solve the problem of collecting, storing, and analyzing all the data available in the shipping industry (Jugović et al. 2019). Ocean carriers would benefit the most from the technology through instant sharing of data that would enhance the entire supply chain (Nga et al. 2020). Stakeholders would have instant and secure information about shipping operations (Jain 2018).

Blockchain technology also enables the possibility of exchanging information based on trust and transparency (Loklindt et al. 2018), relying on consensus and cryptography to prevent fraud (Jović et al. 2019). It is distinguished by objectivity and trust, and thus, competes with even the most trustworthy industry participants (Beck et al. 2017). Furthermore, it fosters a sense of trust in the sharing of information, resulting in faster, cheaper, and easier business transactions (Huhmo 2018).

Problems of Blockchain Technology

Figure 5 presents some drawbacks of the new digital technology. With regard to the problems associated with blockchain, we should underscore the fact that this technology is still very new (Tsiulin et al. 2020). Owing to its immaturity, blockchain technology currently lacks applicable standards (Jović et al. 2019) and is susceptible to interoperability problems, which limits its wider adoption and application (Van Rijmenam et al. 2018). Furthermore, blockchain is presently energy intensive (Jović et al. 2019), resulting in high (but spread-out) operational costs. These challenges require careful consideration for broad acceptance of the technology in the shipping sector.

Discussion Review

The research findings from the review of existing studies reveal that the adoption of blockchain technology can enable more efficient and faster flow of data (Jović et al. 2019). The application of blockchain technology in the shipping industry may help reduce paperwork, while fast-tracking transactions (Yang et al. 2019) and reducing operating costs. It can lead to enhanced control of the supply chain and improved administrative efficiency (Jović et al. 2019). Moreover, the review of prior studies suggests, that blockchain may support the dissemination of real-time information on vessels and minimize shipping delays (Komathy 2018).

Another potential of blockchain that must be highlighted is the enablement of instant cargo tracking and accurate shipment prediction (Jugović et al. 2019). It facilitates the transparent sharing of information and digital transacting (Ølnes et al. 2017), and with its utilization of cryptography also offers the possibility of automated decision-making, which may change organizational design (Van Rijmenam et al. 2018). Furthermore, blockchain technology enables documents to be made available to all stakeholders in a fast and secure manner (Green et al. 2020).

However, following the summary of the extant literature, we may infer that there remain some issues and limitations to blockchain technology that are worthy of consideration to enable a more effective and efficient application of this novice technology in the future (Loklindt et al. 2018; Green et al. 2020). For example, its broad application requires a large amount of computing power (Jović et al. 2019; Singh et al. 2020), which could be concentrated in one country (Huhmo 2018). The power consumption implications should be addressed before the use of the technology becomes conventional (Van Rijmenam et al. 2018). As previously noted, blockchain technology is regarded as not yet fully developed because of the lack of appropriate standards and regulations (Jović et al. 2019) and is thus currently difficult to implement (Jović et al. 2019). The absence of a central authority and the immaturity of the system cause uncertainty among users (Jović et al. 2019). Moreover, some shipping players may not desire the transactional transparency of blockchain technology (Green et al. 2020).

Conclusion

The findings of this study reveal several reasons for the adoption of blockchain technology for more effective decision-making in the shipping industry. These include inefficiencies in shipping operations, difficulties of data sharing, and information asymmetry. Although blockchain technology is still immature, it promises to be a panacea to these problems. The Fourth Industrial Revolution involves innovative modes of designing, producing, distributing, and paying for goods and services of which blockchain technology constitutes an essential and exciting element. The technology is expected to become significant to industry and society, offering the advantages of decentralization, cost reduction, and improved efficiency. It can be used in other transportation industries to simplify operations, enhance decision-making, and contribute to organizational efficiency and competitiveness.

Blockchain Will Succeed Eventually

I have no doubt that blockchain offers advantages that will eventually succeed. But energy use is a huge issue especially with the original Bitcoin implementation. 

With all the blowups in the crypto space, a question of trust is in play even it it is not really a problem in the base protocols. 

IBM says the platform saved companies on the blockchain about 20% in documentation costs and reduced the shipping time for goods by as much as 40%

If that is really accurate, then is IBM short-sighted in scrapping two projects?

Perhaps or perhaps not. If IBM was developing an opensource project then it would pay all of the upfront costs with no long term benefits other than praise. 

If it was developing a closed system, then perhaps it was doomed to failure in efforts to attract critical mass.

Technology is One Thing, Coins are Another

Regardless of whether IBM made the correct decision to exit, the technology is one thing, and price of the coins is another. 

In my view, Bitcoin has failed as money and will never succeed. 

That is where I strongly disagree with most Bitcoin and Ethereum advocates who say the coins cannot be separated from the technology. More accurately, the future is  one of four things.

Four Paths Forward

  • The existing technology and the coins will prove to be independent
  • New technology will succeed, replacing Bitcoin and Ethereum.
  • Mining costs (and the price of coins) will collapse.
  • A cost-efficient Ethereum or Ethereum-Like technology succeeds and Bitcoin fails totally.

One way or another, the technology will succeed even if the coins proves to be little more than another speculative mania. 

None of this has anything to do with the recent crypto space blowups, including FTX and BlockFi

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

Thanks for Tuning In!

Please Subscribe to MishTalk Email Alerts.

Subscribers get an email alert of each post as they happen. Read the ones you like and you can unsubscribe at any time.

If you have subscribed and do not get email alerts, please check your spam folder.

Mish

Subscribe to MishTalk Email Alerts.

Subscribers get an email alert of each post as they happen. Read the ones you like and you can unsubscribe at any time.

This post originated on MishTalk.Com

Thanks for Tuning In!

Mish

Subscribe
Notify of
guest

28 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Please send more money for my blockchain research, I’ve already burned through the first few grants.
Meanwhile, quantum computing will solve all of these problems, everywhere, all at the same time.
Art Fully
Art Fully
1 year ago
People want anonymity and hope to get it from crypto. The government(s) will never allow this. The paper dollar is still a better product. Trillions are out there. Half of US currency circulates outside the US and can’t be tracked by the US government. That’s why 70% of the US currency is in 100 dollar bills. Governments will only allow private crypto if they can use it to de-anonymize currency. Other non-token blockchain schemes suffer a similar flaw: they would allow governments unprecedented transparency into private sector business. Such transparency would be bound to become a tool for totalitarians. The “digital dollar”, of course, has exactly that purpose.
KidHorn
KidHorn
1 year ago
Blockchain is a solution looking for a problem. Just because something uses new technology, doesn’t mean it’s better than the old technology it’s supposed to replace.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
1 year ago
The whole, and entire, purpose of “blockchain”, is distributed recording of “truth.” In order to prevent any one (or N) party(parties) from gaining monopoly on deciding what is true and not, then using it to their advantage by robbing others.
Unless a Maersk blockchain gains an army, and a set of supranational courts, able to overrule local governments wrt who owns what of physical goods in transit, the whole exercise was nothing more than trivially pointless to begin with.
The sole and only reason this nonsense was even undertaken; was that we live in a world where NO spoils go to people and organizations competent enough to create ANY value (by now emphasis NO and ANY). With all of it instead going to those who play along with the redistributionary central banks whose mechanism for redistribution is asset pumping. Hence, the project was started, because “valuations” were high for what was then the latest hype, namely “blockchain”/”crypto.” Now, that hype has dwindled, hence mindless “valuations” by the society of undifferentiated rank retards on Fed welfare collectively referred to as “investors” and “the markets” are no longer so high. Hence, the project is cancelled. That’s all. Just as “That’s all” for everything in the undifferentiated, illiterate dystopia collectively referred to as The West.
LostNOregon
LostNOregon
1 year ago
I remember several years ago when people first started saying “blockchain”. I was working in Product Compliance where we had to chase our Conflict Minerals (Sn, Ta, W, and Au) back to the hole in the ground they came from. Everyone started saying that blockchain would give us a seamless chain of custody all the way to the miner. Good so far.
Then downstream customers and OEMs started hinting that we needed to share our complete supply chain with them, which we regarded as IP. Also, we did want customers using our conflict-free supply chain and handing it to a lower cost supplier and just saying “Here. Buy from these guys and I will put you in as our supplier. “
The problem is that you can’t be too transparent to your customers, as they will use that information to drive you out of business.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  LostNOregon
“The
problem is that you can’t be too transparent to your customers, as they
will use that information to drive you out of business.”
The same can be said of Governments.
vanderlyn
vanderlyn
1 year ago
what is everyone’s take on NFTs ? i think they will be around a long long time. another medium for art, is all it really is, with many advantages, too.
KidHorn
KidHorn
1 year ago
Reply to  vanderlyn
It’s amazing how technologically stupid people are. Any image that can be displayed on an electronic screen can be easily copied bit for bit.
Morn
Morn
1 year ago
Reply to  vanderlyn
I don’t get NFTs as ‘art’ much myself, but then again I can say that about the desire to collect anything in general. Gaming industry alone will ensure they’re here to stay. Secondary markets for in-game items for games like World of Warcraft, etc, will be huge.
Many other use cases once the legal framework is setup for it too:
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  vanderlyn
My favorite NFTs are kilo bars with a mint stamp and serial number.
The serial number makes them NF.
FlyNavy1
FlyNavy1
1 year ago
Learned more about blockchain in one article than three before it. Problem is, blockchain itself is like trying to invest in the internet. There’s no “there” there.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
1 year ago
Off the top of my head, a document system would require the following components.
1. Document creation, standardized forms.
2. Document integrity verification, standardized hash function.
3. Document signature system. Requires authority to generate and distribute public/private keys.
4. Distribution and storage system. Contractual parties should see each others documents while the competing parties shouldn’t.
5. Contract enforcement, requires each jurisdiction to implement relevant laws.
Nothing to do with blockchain so far.
Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
1 year ago
And how many employees will IBM lay off?
Corvinus
Corvinus
1 year ago
I’m not sure how a project can be cancelled if there was a savings of 20% in documentation and 40% better shipping times unless there was an increase in overall maintenance and/or operating costs that got left out of the marketing materials. Blockchain will have its uses but will it change the world? Who knows? Nobody does really.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
1 year ago
Reply to  Corvinus
Either they couldn’t get enough companies to use it to cover the operating costs.
Or more the energy cost was higher than the savings in documentation and shipping times.
It’s not clear who was covering those energy costs. It’s possible IBM was doing it as a loss leader to attract companies to use the technology but could not covert them into paying customers (ie cover the energy costs).
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
Why didn’t IBM just ask Watson if it was viable?
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
1 year ago
It seems to me that the solution to managing international trade/transactions in an era when trust/authenticating are issues, is some sort of global database with levels of encryption and validation. Of course, this assumes that the global database can avoid sanctions levied by rogue nations.
Now, whether this is blockchain-based, or an extension of Phil Zimmerman’s PGP encryption with public and private keys (no mining required), I have no idea. However, I do know that blockchain is a buzz-word used by the techno-scenti. IMHO, buzzwords and jumping on trendy bandwagons generally do NOT make good corporate strategies.
PapaDave
PapaDave
1 year ago
Anything that requires worldwide collaboration is likely to fail in most cases. Whether its competitors, or nations refusing to cooperate. But there are exceptions. Occasionally, we can agree on worldwide standards.
I agree that blockchain will find many uses. But I am unwilling to invest in any of them. Too much uncertainty.
Webej
Webej
1 year ago
INTEROPERABILITY
This is the problem that has dogged all new technologies.
Nobody decided to go with the Bell system, or Microsoft Word, or TCP/IP … they did so because everybody else is using it.
What’s the point of a better telephone system if the one has millions of subscribers and yours has ten?
History proves that organic (market) solutions generally fail to come about.
Usually some trust (technology standards committee) representing the most important market parties decides on some compromise model/standards that everybody accepts because they don’t have much choice without interoperability. True of the internet, email, WiFi, ethernet, etc. Even meters and kilos.
One of the most important aspects for interoperability is separation of well-defined service layers and interfaces between them … otherwise you are locked into monolithic technology stacks controlled by monopolistic parties. For block chain to succeed, it will need to split up the services rendered. Introduction of EPD (Electronic Patient Dossiers) faced the same problems for decades with competing models that could not interoperate … you need to split up various aspects of the problem and implement (less than ideal) interfaces.
MarkraD
MarkraD
1 year ago
Reply to  Webej
You do realize you’re making an argument in favor of regulation over free markets?
TheWindowCleaner
TheWindowCleaner
1 year ago
Reply to  MarkraD
Free markets are a fetish and free market theorists have confused chaos with freedom. Chaos because there isn’t any such thing as total freedom in the temporal and human universe. That’s why you can’t walk into a theater and yell fire! What we should strive for is more than adequate demand in the hands of every individual without inflation which would result in true economic flowingness. So long as the private banks have a monopolistic paradigm on the creation and distribution of new money, namely Debt Only they will be able to
1) dominate 95-99% of the general populace and virtually every business model except themselves and
2) continue to alternately goose and strangle the economy in which they will always rise like a Phoenix even after their own folly has caused recession/depression like we saw in 2008.
Aren’t you guys tired of their monopoly powers? Or are your mind filters still in rigid control of your thinking?
MarkraD
MarkraD
1 year ago

“Free markets are a fetish and free market theorists have confused chaos with freedom.”
I’m no proponent of Laissez-faire, I just see the humor of the cries for deregulation at a time when deregulation gave us the sub-prime crisis, from the right back ten years ago coming back to haunt us all.
Color me Independent, too much or too little of anything is a bad thing.
.
.
TheWindowCleaner
TheWindowCleaner
1 year ago
Reply to  MarkraD
Very good. Now all someone like you needs to do is raise their level of analysis from theoretics to operant concept/paradighmatic analysis. Virtually all of the supposed reform theorists on the left and the right have the area of the problem well surrounded, namely “money, debt and banks” as Steve Keen has said. This blog post and thread prove that as it is all about blockchain, i.e. money. Now all that’s needed is to discover the new operant concept and how to most efficaciously apply it to finance and the rest of the economy….and we’ll have a genuine paradigm change. I’ve done that in my book.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
We all know that a benevolent despot is the most efficient and effective form of Government.
The problem has always been the “benevolent” part.
TheWindowCleaner
TheWindowCleaner
1 year ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
Precisely. The trick is to realize that benevolence is an aspect of the natural philosophical concept/experience of grace. Love is universally recognized as the superlative spiritual/psychological value. The experience of grace is nothing more and certainly nothing less than love in personal action…or viz any temporal universe system…policy. Love and its active form grace/graciousness are the pinnacle concepts of wisdom. If you don’t think wisdom (the integrative impulse and mindset) and its applied concepts apply to the economic, monetary and political systems you’re (not you personally) an idiot and/or an almost 2000 year long unconsciously acculturated westerner who does Finance’s dominating bidding by not applying Monetary Gifting (an aspect of grace) to the economy and money system.
Webej
Webej
1 year ago
Reply to  MarkraD
No. Many standards have come about after spontaneous attempts to settle on a scheme failed.
Many came about through cooperation between competitors without any government intervention.
It does require a degree of coercion, but that typically comes from market power instead of government.
In other cases, like having your grid at 110V 60Hz or getting the railroad tracks to use the same gauge, government force has been necessary.
I would say it is more like creating a market (with competitors free to join in) where the market cannot grow without better conditions. Even tomato markets work in terms of conditions like common currencies, number system, weights, etc. USB and SCSI would not have grown without everybody adopting common standards/connectors (without government mandates).
Morn
Morn
1 year ago
Reply to  Webej
“One of the most important aspects for interoperability is separation of
well-defined service layers and interfaces between them … otherwise
you are locked into monolithic technology stacks controlled by
monopolistic parties. For block chain to succeed, it will need to split
up the services rendered.”
Pretty incredible that without realizing it, you precisely articulated what is considered one of the fundamental characteristics of Ethereum and what (currently) differentiates it from basically every other public blockchain out there. Not saying that it’s anywhere close to what it needs to be or even that they’ll succeed long-term (it might be an impossible task), but you pretty much nailed the ‘ideal’ there.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  Webej
Or perhaps monopolistic technology stacks controlled by monolithic parties?

Stay Informed

Subscribe to MishTalk

You will receive all messages from this feed and they will be delivered by email.