Thu.Dec 29, 2022

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The Street vs. The Fed

The Big Picture

Barry Ritholtz, Ritholtz Wealth Management Chairman & CIO and “Masters in Business” Bloomberg Radio & Podcast Host, told Kailey Leinz and Matt Miller Wall Street is savvier than the Fed when it comes to the realities of inflation. Ritholtz said this Wednesday morning on “Bloomberg Surveillance.” Street vs. Fed with Ritholtz.

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Thursday links: failing utterly

Abnormal Returns

Markets The energy sector dominated in 2022, and it wasn't even close. (capitalspectator.com) The stock market is not a Ponzi scheme. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Here is Eddy's 2023 Buy List. (crossingwallstreet.com) Companies Inside the Southwest Airlines ($LUV) meltdown. (wsj.com) Cal-Maine Foods ($CALM) stock rode higher egg prices all year, until today.

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2023 Investment Outlook (Video)

Pragmatic Capitalism

Here is our 2023 investment outlook. I did this a little differently this year by providing a scenario analysis with different probability distributions.

Investing 188
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Kitces & Carl Ep 102: Reflecting On The Journey Of Building A Career And Business

Nerd's Eye View

For many seasoned financial advisors, the road toward building a career and a business can be challenging and rewarding. And even though most advisors would agree that the road to success involves many years of hard work and sacrifice, each advisor’s path to ultimate success can consist of massively different experiences. In our 102nd episode of Kitces & Carl, Michael Kitces and client communication expert Carl Richards discuss the challenges they have each faced in their decades-long

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Register Now: Sneak Peek Into Close Automation SkyStem Web Demo

Technology is rapidly changing the way accountants perform and manage month-end activities. Spreadsheets, email, and shared drives no longer have to slow us down. Join us as we present a "sneak peek" recorded demo of SkyStem's month-end close solution – ART. In under four weeks, your team can start reaping the benefits of month-end close automation by vastly reducing spreadsheets, cut down on reconciliation work, speed up the month-end close, and better manage your remote team.

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Longform links: the vagaries of fate

Abnormal Returns

Companies Why a Swedish company, Embracer, is buying up hundreds of game companies, publishers and IP. (msn.com) How Ticketmaster came to dominate the ticketing industry. (prospect.org) Why did Tesla ($TSLA) stop reporting Autopilot safety numbers? (msn.com) Longreads The biggest venture capital firms are becoming quasi-index funds. (investing1012dot0.substack.com) How the chestnut tree could return to American forests.

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More Trending

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Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.8% Below Peak

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.8% Below Peak; Houses are the least “affordable” since 1982 when 30-year mortgage rates were over 14% Excerpt: It has been over 16 years since the bubble peak. In the October Case-Shiller released Tuesday , the seasonally adjusted National Index (SA), was reported as being 62% above the bubble peak in 2006.

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World Stock Market Timings in Indian Standard Time (IST)

Trade Brains

World stock market timings : The markets around the world have evolved to become soo accessible that one can now participate in various stock exchanges around the globe. A stock exchange is a market where shares of companies are purchased and sold. The ‘stock exchange timings’ are the timings these exchanges are open and investors can trade shares.

Marketing 105
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Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 9.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019

Calculated Risk

From CoStar: STR: US Hotel Performance Slows During Lead-Up to Christmas U.S. hotel performance came in lower than the previous week and showed weakened comparisons to 2019 on the unfavorable side of a holiday calendar shift, according to STR‘s latest data through Dec. 24. At the same time, occupancy on the 24th was the highest for any Christmas Eve on record.

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5 Post-Holiday Shopping Tips for Retirees

Integrity Financial Planning

Holiday shopping can be stressful, and unless you took advantage of Black Friday or Cyber Monday, you might find it tough to find the deals you need to keep your gifts within your budget. Well, post-holiday shopping may be the perfect opportunity to take advantage of clearance sales on your favorite products and gifts. Use Your Credit Cards Wisely. Credit cards come with many perks as well as a variety of interest rates.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Why Should You Invest in the Stock Market?

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: Do you think the stock market is a form of a Ponzi scheme and eventually investors will figure that out and quit investing? The average dividend payout for all stocks is a little over 1%. Back in the 1958 the average lifespan of a corporation was 58 years, but is now down to around 15 years. So, why are people investing in the stock market?

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 225,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending December 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 225,000 , an increase of 9,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 216,000. The 4-week moving average was 221,000, a decrease of 250 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised down by 500 from 221,750 to 221,250. emphasis added The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since 1971.

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5 Important Investment Formulas for Financial Success

WiserAdvisor

Managing your finances can sometimes be overwhelming, as most people lack the proper understanding of how the market functions. This may come in the way of your basic savings and investment decisions. The reluctance to create a budget, use formulas and data, and arrive at decisions can impact your present and future finances. Apart from professional degrees, investment formulas and strategies are rarely taught in schools and colleges.

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Las Vegas November 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 7.0% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic Down 3.4%

Calculated Risk

Note: I like using Las Vegas as a measure of recovery for both leisure (visitors) and business (conventions). From the Las Vegas Visitor Authority: November 2022 Las Vegas Visitor Statistics Even with typical late fall/early winter seasonal volume decreases kicking in after a stellar October, November 2022 saw visitation of approx. 3.27M, about 5% ahead of last November and ‐7% shy of November 2019 tallies , supported by a variety of events including the Automotive After Market Week and the Raid

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Top 10 Blog Posts of 2022

Covisum

The Most Popular Blog Posts in 2022. Over the past year, you've spent a lot of time reading about financial planning best practices, financial technology, and attracting new prospects. We're thrilled that you love our content! Enjoy this recap of the 10 blog posts our readers found most impactful over the past year.

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The 70% Solution

Advisor Perspectives

Bear markets end with widespread capitulation while a chorus of the stock trader’s prayer (God, if you get me out of this mess, I swear I will never buy another stock) spreads though out the land.

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What Does it Take to Build Wealth?

WiserAdvisor

Wealth creation is a common objective that many people share. It is the foundation for most things in life. The wealthier you are, the more successful you are considered and the more financially secure you can be. While wealth may not be the most important thing in life, it does affect everything that is. For instance, the level of education you get, the quality of healthcare you can afford, and the lifestyle you can adopt all depend on your wealth.

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The Roaring Twenties Are Now Over. Time to Get Real.

Advisor Perspectives

It’s hard to believe that the post-Covid world at one point was supposed to usher in a new consumer-led boom worthy of the “Roaring Twenties.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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9 Smart Ways to Invest $1,000

Good Financial Cents

According to a recent Gallup poll , more than half of American adults (58%) have money invested in the stock market. Although the median holdings (amounts invested) vary based on age, income, and other demographic factors, it’s clear that Americans see the value of investing — even if their exposure is limited to a workplace 401(k). If you have a fully-funded emergency fund and have an extra $1,000 that you don’t immediately need, you have a lot of options.

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It’s a Make-or-Break Year for These Battered Companies

Advisor Perspectives

US companies had a lot to overcome in the latter half of 2022 with rising interest rates, more budget-conscious consumers and a sagging stock market.

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Top Navratna Stocks in India 2023 to add to your watchlist

Trade Brains

Top Navratna Stocks in India: The public sector has been one of the driving forces of development within India. But often this sector is overlooked as an investment opportunity. In this article, we take at what the companies that have been conferred the Navratna status are and which companies come under this category. Keep reading to find out. What are Navratna Stocks/Companies?

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Weekly Unemployment Claims: Up 9K, At Forecast

Advisor Perspectives

This morning's seasonally adjusted 225K new claims, up 9k from the previous week's figure, was at the Investing.com forecast.

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 30 States in November

Calculated Risk

From the Philly Fed : The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the coincident indexes for the 50 states for November 2022. Over the past three months, the indexes increased in 35 states, decreased in 11 states, and remained stable in four, for a three-month diffusion index of 48. Additionally, in the past month, the indexes increased in 30 states , decreased in 13 states, and remained stable in seven, for a one-month diffusion index of 34. emphasis added Note: These are coincident i

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Six Climate Breakthroughs That Made 2022 a Step Toward Net Zero

Advisor Perspectives

The damage caused by climate change over this past year was at times so immense it was hard to comprehend.

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Finding the Right Fit for your Client’s Long-term Care Planning

Nationwide Financial

Key Takeaways. There are a variety of products available today that can provide an opportunity to match a policy with a client’s budget, their planning needs for long-term care (LTC) coverage, and provides guaranteed premiums and benefits. The cost of LTC coverage depends on factors including age, sex, and health of the insured as well as planning details such as the amount of coverage, whether inflation is added, and whether or not the LTC plan will be paired with a financial product.

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Stocks Set to Rebound to Begin the Day

Advisor Perspectives

U.S. stocks are rising in pre-market trading, looking to rebound from yesterday's drop.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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Defusing Political Emotions

Inside Information

As you know, I read the trade magazines (including online sources like Advisor Perspectives and kitces.com) and report on the various articles, This gives me some insight not only into trends in the profession, but into the reporting on them. Recently, I’ve noticed an area where there is a huge trend but the reporting has been unusually timid: clients are increasingly politically polarized, and increasingly strident and insistent on their political beliefs.

Clients 40
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Newsletter Volume 15, No. 6 December 2022

Advisor Perspectives

“Advisors have been given scripts to use when explaining the move to affected clients, who may incur greater fees, according to Business Insider…”

Clients 40
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Your Clients' Biggest Holiday Expense Could Be Hidden

Advisor Perspectives

For some holiday shoppers the most expensive holiday purchase this year was hidden.

Clients 52